Best NFL Parlay Bets Week 13

Will Armitage

Updated: Nov 28, 2022

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Christmas is only three weeks away.

We enter the festive month with not the most exciting set of games. The standout is the Chiefs-Bengals re-match of their epic AFC Championship game 11 months ago.

For this week’s parlay, I see value in other games.

Therefore, I shall not be betting on Kansas City-Cincinnati. That is one to watch without financial interest and enjoy!

The structure for my parlay has been constant throughout the season. I like to choose a moneyline dog. I then add two spread bets, an over and an under.

If they all land, this parlay would have one of his biggest possible returns of the season. It would pay just under +4500.

If my two spreads, over and under all cash, it will be a nervous Monday Night! If the Saints win, I’ll have made 45 times my money. If they lose, well, I’ll lose my stake as well.

Week 12’s parlay was one of my better efforts this year with three legs landing, one near-miss, and one way off.

Will unlucky number 13 actually be the week for some pre-festive cheer as I land my first parlay of the current NFL season? We shall see..!

Moneyline – Saints Vs. Buccaneers (Best Odds – +220)

The two best teams in the NFC South for three years running entertain the nation for Monday Night Football.

The eagle-eyed amongst you might say that the Falcons came 2nd in the NFC South in 2019.

However, that doesn’t count. Tampa was definitely the better team that season.

Anyways, the Saints and Bucs are still the most entertaining teams in their division. I expect this to be a titanic tussle of two teams smarting at having losing records this season.

Sean Payton is no longer at the helm in Louisiana. But he’ll have told Dennis Allen how to beat the Bucs!

They played sloppy in the fourth quarter in their Week 2 clash. The Saints lost 20-10 that day in the Superdome.

But I expect a revenge upset in Florida this MNF.

The Saints had defeated their local rivals seven times in a row during the regular season before Week 2’s defeat.

They are certainly Tampa’s bogey team. With tough games next up against the 49ers and Bengals, I expect Brady’s bunch to buckle at home in a not-so-surprising defeat.

The GOAT is human after all!

Spread – Dolphins Vs. 49ers (-3.5) (-105)

The era of Marino-Montana dueling for Super Bowl and GOAT glory is a memory from a previous millennium.

However, there is always a shiver of excitement when we have a rematch of Super Bowl XIX in 1985.

It took 19 years before the Dolphins finally tasted revenge for their 38-16 pummeling in that Championship game.

San Francisco has only won once since 2004 against the Dolphins. Two years ago they were embarrassed 43-17 at home.

That season they only won once at Levi’s Stadium. Last year, they went 4-4. Tua has proved many doubters wrong this season, especially since returning from his nasty concussion.

The Tua-Tyreek combo has been on fire.

However, Tua always has the ability to produce a stinker performance out of the blue. I think Week 13 will be an unlucky one for him.

The 49ers are playing good ball with quality under center. The Fins have been poor travelers for most of the 2000s.

I expect this to continue.

They will have a long flight home to reflect on a disappointing display away from the Hard Rock.

I expect the 49ers to win their fifth game on the bounce by a touchdown or more.

Over/Under – Chargers Vs. Raiders (50.5) (-105)

Looking back at my selections for the over so far this season, this is my highest total.

However, who can forget what happened 11 months ago?

These two teams put up 67 points in a truly spectacular game.

The Raiders went into the playoffs and the Chargers went home across state lines licking their wounds. It was a gargantuan effort from Justin Herbert et al.

At one point, he threw passes on 33 consecutive plays! It was truly a feast for the eyes and draining to witness.

I expect this game to be like one of those 15-round slugfest boxing bouts of the 1970s.

Two entertaining and talented franchises will throw caution to the wind. They have scored more than 50 points in three of their last four clashes.

Last week against the Seahawks, the Raiders scored 5 touchdowns and had 578 yards on offense. Pause, reflect, and read that again.

Las Vegas was on fire!

The Chargers may not have been quite so potent on Sunday against the Cards, but they certainly scored highly on the entertainment charts.

With AFC West honors and pride at stake, this promises to be a cracker. Hold on to your hats or seats. And don’t be out of the room for too long!

The over is the value bet here.

You never know what will happen next…

Spread – Commanders Vs. Giants (+2) (-106)

These two titans of the game have played each other a remarkable 180 times. The Commanders have gone 6-14 against the Giants over the past decade.

It’s been six seasons since one of these teams had a winning season. Remember Washington remarkably won the NFC East in 2020 with an unremarkable 7-9 record!

Remarkably, just two years later, we could have a situation where all four teams finish with winning seasons!

However, the Eagles and Cowboys look far more dangerous in terms of Super Bowl aspirations.

Give me a rejuvenated Giants team who have had ten days off since their epic Thanksgiving trip to Dallas. These two play again in a fortnight and I expect lightning to strike twice.

The Giants are not Super Bowl candidates. But you don’t need to be to defeat these Commanders.

I think the Giants will win it by at least a field goal.

Almost every week, I reiterate the need to shop around to attain the best odds and lines for your bets. Well, here I go again!

Not only are DraftKings the best priced for New York on the spread market on this game, but they were also the best odds on the Dolphins-49ers moneyline.

These seemingly small differences of 1 point and ½ point on spread markets might not seem that important.

However, they could be the difference between busting your parlay or winning 44 times your bet!

Be sure to do your own research or use our tools to find the best sportsbook for your parlay!

Over/Under – Broncos Vs. Ravens (39) (-107)

The last three meetings between Denver and Baltimore have averaged just 34 points. I think the toil of being in the NFL’s toughest division will weigh on the Broncos.

Their upcoming five games include the Rams, Chargers, and Chiefs, twice. If that isn’t distracting, I don’t know what is!

They know they will have to be playing outstanding football thru December and early January to stand a chance of reaching the playoffs.

Frankly, they will need to win every one of their six remaining games! And we know that ain’t happening.

This is just the kind of sleeper game out east that will scupper Russell Wilson’s chances of Super Bowl glory.

I expect the Ravens to keep him quiet and ease to a comfortable home victory in a low-scoring game.

Maybe Wilson will be so restricted that Brett Rypien makes an appearance. It really wouldn’t be that strange.

Hell, maybe the Broncos will simply bench Russell for the rest of the season?! Time will tell.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Denver restricted to just one or two scores. Their focus will surely be on their AFC West battles in Weeks 14, 16, 17, and 18.

The total has dropped by a touchdown since the summer when it first came out at 45. I still believe that 39 is too high.

I have the under in this game as the final leg of my parlay this week.

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.

Check out NFL parlay bets week 14 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 13 odds analysis worth checking out.

Latest update: 3 hours ago
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About the author

Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...

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