2022 NFL Week 12 Odds
Week 11 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment. From the Texans’ first win in eight games to the Titans and the Bills losing. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 12.
Last week’s parlay was a bust, and I was right on seven out of my ten other bets.
With NFL odds for Week 12 finding their range, let’s preview all 15 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams, while I shall be making other picks for the remaining games.
Chicago Bears (-175) @ Detroit Lions (+160)
Bears: Chicago lost to the Ravens in a tight game on Sunday night. Justin Fields was injured during the game after completing just four of eleven passes for 79 yards.
Andy Dalton replaced Fields and threw for 201 yards and two TDs from just eleven completions. Darnell Mooney was excellent, with 121 receiving yards from five catches.
The defense managed to keep the Bears in the game by picking off Huntly once and sacking him six times. This meant the Ravens finished with a moderate 342 yards and one TD.
Lions: Detroit lost a low-scoring game to the Browns. Backup QB Tom Boyle had a shocking day with only 77 passing yards as well as throwing two picks.
Due to the incompetence at QB, the Lions had to rely on their ground game to keep them in the contest. D’Andre Swift went for 136 yards at an average of 9.7 yards per carry, including a 57-yard TD.
The Lions’ defense was effective against the injured Baker Mayfield. They gave up just 176 passing yards and intercepted him twice. However, Nick Chubb trampled the Lions’ front seven on his way to a 130-yard day.
The Lions are still the only team without a win in the league. They might have a chance against a Bears team that has been very underwhelming this season.
The Bears have been disappointing compared to their previous few seasons. The NFC Norths’ bottom teams have second-rate offenses, so I think they will score under 42.5 points.
However, I am picking the Bears to win and cover the spread of 3.5 points.
Las Vegas Raiders (+270) @ Dallas Cowboys (-290)
Raiders: Las Vegas lost to the Bengals at Allegiant Stadium. The game started positively for the Raiders before conceding 19 fourth-quarter points to seal the game for the Bengals.
Derek Carr continued his fine form with 215 yards from 19 completions. He now has the third-most passing yards this season and is just 159 yards behind the rejuvenated Patrick Mahomes.
Darren Waller was outstanding as usual. He finished with 116 yards. The run game was very disappointing again. The Raiders are now only averaging 3.7 yards per attempt on the season.
Cowboys: Dallas was convincingly beaten by the Chiefs on Sunday. Dak Prescott didn’t have the best of days. He threw for 216 yards and two interceptions. The offense didn’t score a TD on Sunday.
With the passing game being inefficient, the Cowboys need the run game to step up to the plate. However, the running backs only managed 82 yards from 16 carries.
The defense couldn’t handle the red-hot Chiefs. Kansas finished with 386 total yards and two TDs. Las Vegas’ offense turned over the ball three times, meaning the Chiefs often had a short field to start drives.
Las Vegas is now 5-5 but somehow are still one just win outside of the playoffs. The Cowboys will start to feel pressure from the Eagles, who are slowly closing in on them in the NFC East.
I think the Cowboys’ offense will come alive and put up some big numbers against this inconsistent Raiders’ defense. So you could bet these teams would hit over 51 points.
I am betting on the Cowboys to win and they are the first team into my parlay.
Buffalo Bills (-195) @ New Orleans Saints (+180)
Bills: Buffalo suffered a shock loss to the Colts on Sunday. The Colts dominated the Bills all game. Jonathon Taylor ran riot by going for 185 rushing yards and four TDs, in addition to a TD reception.
The Bills’ front seven has been much improved this year. However, they didn’t turn up this game and conceded 264 rushing yards compared to just 106 passing yards.
On offense, the Bills only managed 319 total yards and coughed up four turnovers. Josh Allen threw an interception on the Bills’ opening drive, which set the tone for the rest of the game.
Saints: New Orleans lost to the Eagles on Sunday. The Saints never looked like overturning the 20-point halftime deficit. Trevor Siemian was distinctly average on Sunday with two picks, but at least he did manage three TDs.
The running game was without Alvin Kamara again, but that didn’t seem to make a difference. The backs still averaged 4.95 yards per carry. Mark Ingram was the most productive offensive player with 113 total yards.
The defense, which is usually very reliable, lets the side down. The front seven conceded 242 yards and three TDs to the Eagles’ running game. They just couldn’t handle the dual-threat QB play from Hurts.
The Bills’ loss to the Colts pushes them from the third seed to the seventh seed in the AFC. That shows how tight the playoff spots are. The Saints require some more accurate QB play from Siemian.
The Saints’ defense has also lost its mojo the last two weeks. I don’t expect the Bills to produce two bad performances in a row. That means the Bills’ offense could dominate the Saints’ unconfident defense.
For that reason, I am picking the Bills to cover the four-point spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+160) @ Cincinnati Bengals (-175)
Steelers: Pittsburgh’s late fourth-quarter comeback was halted by two Chargers sacks. Even though the Steelers were missing multiple key players, they still came within four points of the win in one of the season’s most entertaining games.
Ben Roethlisberger had a good day with 273 yards and three TDs. Diontae Johnson was the Steelers’ most productive receiver with 101 yards and a TD. However, this offense had a massive blow, with Najee Harris leaving the game injured.
The defense was missing its best two players in Fitzpatrick and Watt. However, that showed with Justin Herbert being able to escape the pocket regularly for 90 rushing yards on the game.
Bengals: Cincinnati produced a massive win over the Raiders. The game started ominously with a fumble by the Bengals. However, Joe Burrow led the team to a 19-point win.
Joe Mixon was outstanding with 123 rushing yards and two TDs. The passing game wasn’t firing on all cylinders. Burrow only had 148 passing yards from 20 completions.
The defense held the Raiders to under 300 total yards. The D also came up with two turnovers, two sacks, and three tackles for a loss to round off a solid day for the Bengals.
This is a divisional match that could help decide the fate of these aspiring playoff teams. The Steelers will most likely be missing multiple starters again this week.
Joe Burrow will be hoping he can find his early season form against a beaten-up defense. The Bengals are favorites for this game. I think the Bengals will win, but they won’t cover the spread of 3.5 points.
However, I feel the safe bet is these teams hitting over 45 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-128) @ Indianapolis Colts (+128)
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay cruised to victory over the Giants. Tom Brady continued to be the best QB of all time with another 300-yard two TD game. He is now over 3000 passing yards for the season.
The run game was non-existent again, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry against the Giants. However, the GOAT did produce a 10-yard run of his own which was one for the scrapbook, especially how high his feet were as he went to the ground!
All of the receivers chipped in with contributions. However, Brady was helped by the returning Gronkowski, who finished with 71 yards.
The defense managed three turnovers and limited the Giants to just 233 total yards. It was a dominant defensive performance, especially in the second half, where they didn’t concede any points to the Giants.
Colts: Indy produced a dominant performance to demolish the Bills. The Colts were on fire from the start with a TD on Indy’s first two drives and an interception on the Bills’ first drive.
Carson Wentz was hardly needed for this game. This was due to the running game going for 264 yards, including a 185-yard four TD rushing day for Jonathon Taylor. Taylor also had 19 receiving yards and a TD. Let that sink in!
The defense didn’t give an inch to the Bills. They held Josh Allen to 209 yards, two TDs, and two interceptions. They came away with four turnovers on the day.
This game will be very intriguing. The Bucs haven’t been their dominant selves on offense recently. The Colts, led by Taylor, have been very productive on offense.
The Bucs’ front seven is exceptional, so that will be an exciting matchup between them and the Colts’ run game. The Bucs are narrow favorites. However, I feel Indy will produce an upset.
Therefore, I am adding the underdog Colts to my parlay.
Carolina Panthers (-118) @ Miami Dolphins (+110)
Panthers: Carolina couldn’t mount a comeback to beat the Football Team. Two turnovers on downs cost the Panthers late in the game.
Cam Newton started his first game of the season. He was pretty effective with 189 passing yards and two TDs. He also had 46 rushing yards and a rushing TD. He was backed up by Christian McCaffrey, who finished with 5.9 yards per carry.
The defense was to blame for this loss. They conceded 190 rushing yards at 4.75 yards per carry to the Football Team. However, the D still managed three sacks and five tackles for a loss.
Dolphins: Miami had its third win in a row after beating the Jets. Tua Tagovailoa continues to produce and go under the radar. He finished with an impressive 82% completion rate and threw for 273 yards.
Tua is also throwing to a receiving core missing its two best players in DeVante Parker and Will Fuller. However, Jaylen Waddle has proven to be a valuable asset as he now has the fifth-most receptions in the league.
The defense continues to show its true colors with another fantastic day. The performance included a strip-sack that they recovered in their own red zone.
The Panthers’ offense looks like a new team under Cam Newton. A healthy Christian McCaffrey is also helping this offensive move the ball downfield. Miami is slowly turning their season around, and they still have an outside shot at the playoffs.
I think this will be a low-scoring game as Miami’s defense is dominating currently, and their offense is inconsistent, so you could bet under 42.5 points.
I am betting on Miami picking up a fourth straight victory and am adding them to my parlay.
Tennessee Titans (+210) @ New England Patriots (-225)
Titans: Tennessee suffered a shock loss to the Texans on Sunday. Ryan Tannehill had a shocking game with four interceptions. Tannehill showed us why the offense needs to rely on the run game and Derrick Henry.
It was a game of mistakes for the Titans on both sides of the ball. Even Tennessee’s special teams unit made a mistake when Rogers muffed a punt return which Houston recovered on the Titans five-yard line.
The defense only conceded 190 total yards to the Texans and just two TDs. But they couldn’t accomplish much when the Texans were often starting inside their own half.
Patriots: New England dominated the Falcons last Thursday. Mac Jones continues to be incredibly accurate with a completion rate of 86% against the Falcons.
As usual, the Pats ran the ball very efficiently for 134 yards. The combination of rookies Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris is proving to be a success as they both managed over 55 yards in this game.
The defense shut out the Falcons. They managed four interceptions, four sacks, and six tackles for a loss. Matt Judon looks to be a valuable addition with 10.5 sacks this season.
The Titans are still the number one seed in the AFC, yet are underdogs for this weekend. They could run into trouble against a resurgent Patriots team.
The Pats are coming together and showing they are back for good with their new QB. I like the under 44.5 points, with both teams having robust defenses.
I am betting on the Pats to win, but the Titans to cover the spread of 5.5 points.
Philadelphia Eagles (-170) @ New York Giants (+155)
Eagles: Philly beat the Saints at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles produced an excellent offensive performance. Jalen Hurts wasn’t accurate, but he made up for it on the ground.
Hurts finished with 69 yards to help Philly achieve 242 rushing yards on the day. Miles Sanders managed an outstanding 5.9 yards per carry and finished with 94 yards on the day.
The defense certainly played their part in the victory, with Darius Slay producing a pick-six. That was the second of three turnovers the Saints coughed up.
Giants: New York was never really in the game against the Bucs. The offense only managed 233 yards, and Daniel Jones threw two interceptions on his way to a 167-yard day.
The run game usually is very productive for the Giants, even without Saquon Barkley. Even though the Giants averaged 5 yards per carry against the Bucs, they only carried the ball 13 times.
The defense was effective against the Bucs’ average rushing attack. But Raymond Johnson was the only Giants player to muster a sack. That meant Brady had time to throw for 307 yards.
I feel that time is running out for Daniel Jones in New York. He must prove he can be consistent at a higher level than he is currently playing.
The Eagles are starting to close in on the Cowboys at the top of the NFC East. The Eagles are also just one win outside the playoffs after winning three of their last four games.
I fancy the Eagles for this game, so I am adding them to my parlay.
Atlanta Falcons (-110) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+100)
Falcons: Atlanta was dominated by the Patriots last Thursday. The offense never showed up due to the three QBs who took a snap, all throwing at least one interception. Another good stat to take with you this week.
The offense was only able to go for 198 total yards, including just 40 rushing yards at an average of 2.5 yards per carry. Russell Gage was the only receiver to go for more than 30 yards.
The defense was quite effective. They only conceded one TD and forced the Pats to kick six field goals. The D finished with an interception, two sacks, and four tackles for a loss.
Jaguars: Jacksonville was convincingly beaten by the 49ers. This team is usually a solid rushing team, but they only managed 54 yards at 3.4 yards per carry on Sunday this week.
Trevor Lawrence played averagely, not for the first time this season. He completed 64% of his passes but only went for 158 yards. He needs an actual number one receiver; with none of the Jags’ current receivers being able to make big plays.
The defense let the 49ers rush the ball 39 times for 167 yards. Deebo Samuel rushed for 79 yards on jet sweeps and backward passes. The defense just couldn’t handle the quick-footed wide-out.
These are two of the worst teams in the league. Combined, they are 6-14 for the season, and both teams have little chance of making the playoffs. Usually, both teams’ defenses are shocking, so I expect this to be a high-scoring game and hit over 46.5 points.
However, I am betting on the Falcons to win and they make it into my parlay.
New York Jets (+125) @ Houston Texans (-128)
Jets: New York lost to the Dolphins at home on Sunday. Joe Flacco started over Mike White after his awful performance against the Bills. Flacco finished with 291 yards and two TDs.
Michael Carter led the way in rushing yards with 63 of the 102 total rushing yards. Elijah Moore was outstanding. The rookie wide-out finished with 141 yards and was Flacco’s favorite receiver.
The defense made the costly mistake of letting Mack Hollins score a 65-yard TD, which took the game away from the Jets. The defense also didn’t have a sack against one of the worst offensive lines in the league.
Texans: Houston had a huge win over the Titans on Sunday. The defense showed up and picked off Ryan Tannehill four times. The D was also outstanding against the run, only conceding four yards per carry.
The offense was gifted multiple short field opportunities, of which they took advantage. From the Titans’ five turnovers which they coughed up, the Texans came away with points on three of the following drives.
The offense didn’t put up incredible stats, but they did enough to win the game. They only finished with 190 yards and two TDs.
Both these teams are well out of playoff contention. They are both 2-8 and will be hoping not to be last in the conference.
Zach Wilson could return, and the Jets will want to give him as much time as possible to develop. I think these teams will score under 44 points due to both teams having poor offenses.
I am betting on the Texans to win and cover the spread of -2.5.
Los Angeles Chargers (-145) @ Denver Broncos (+135)
Chargers: Los Angeles scored a late TD to beat the Steelers on Sunday night. Justin Herbert was excellent. He finished with 382 yards, three TDs, and an interception. Herbert showed he can run the ball as well, with a 90 yard rushing day from just 9 carries.
The Chargers managed 159 rushing yards, with Austin Ekeler going for 50 yards from eleven carries and two TDs. Ekeler also added 65 receiving yards and two receiving TDs to round out an excellent day.
The defense came up with three sacks, three tackles for a loss and six pass deflections. Most notably, two of their sacks were on the Steelers’ last drive to force a turnover on downs.
Broncos: Denver is coming off its bye week. Last time out, Denver lost to the Eagles 30-13. The Broncos were dominated on offense by the Eagles, who finished with 394 total yards.
The Broncos’ defense couldn’t stop Jalen Hurts, who had 233 total yards and two passing TDs. The front seven conceded 216 yards at 5.5 yards per carry.
Teddy Bridgewater wasn’t as accurate as he usually is, with only a 61% completion rate. The run game was productive, but it was neglected due to the Eagles taking an early lead.
The Chargers looked like they have re-found their form on offense but will be coming up against a solid Denver defense.
Denver is sitting just outside the playoffs and could be poised to make a push down the stretch. I think this will be a one-sided game, with the Chargers winning by a significant margin.
Therefore, I am picking the Chargers to cover the spread of -2.5 points.
Los Angeles Rams (-103) @ Green Bay Packers (-110)
Rams: LA is coming off their bye week. Last time out, they lost to the 49ers. Matthew Stafford had his worst game in a Rams jersey. Stafford only completed 63% of his passes and threw two interceptions.
The rushing attack was non-existent with just 52 yards. Cooper Kupp’s outstanding season continued with 122 yards, meaning he is the first receiver to break the 1000 yard mark this season. Is he a good betting value at +2500 to be the first-ever wide receiver MVP?
The defense conceded 31 points and 338 total yards. They registered just one sack and conceded 156 yards to the rampant 49ers rushing attack.
Packers: Green Bay lost to the Vikings on Sunday in Minnesota. Aaron Rodgers led the way with 385 yards and four TDs, but the defense let the side down by conceding 34 points and four TDs.
The D let Kirk Cousins go for 341 yards and three TDs. The positive for the defense was the front seven played very well. They finished with two sacks, four tackles for a loss and conceded just three yards per carry.
Aaron Rodgers’ excellent performance was backed up by the run game, which had 95 yards. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Devante Adams were exceptional, with both going for over 110 yards.
This is the closest game to call in Week 12. These teams are scrapping over the number one seed in the NFC and are both coming off losses.
Both teams usually have exceptional offenses, so this could end up being a low-scoring game. I think these teams will score under 48 points.
But I am picking the Packers to handle their cold home condition and beat the Rams.
Minnesota Vikings (+145) @ San Francisco 49ers (-154)
Vikings: Minnesota produced an outstanding performance to beat the Packers at U.S. Bank Stadium. Kirk Cousins had an exceptional performance with 341 passing yards and three TDs.
Justin Jefferson had a massive game with 169 yards and two TDs from eight receptions. Adam Thielen managed 82 yards and a TD to backup Jefferson.
The defense conceded 385 yards to Aaron Rodgers and let two Green Bay receivers go for over 100 yards. They couldn’t limit the run game either, with the Packers going for five yards per carry.
49ers: San Francisco convincingly beat the Jags on Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo continues to be solid under center with 176 yards and two TDs against the Jags.
Deebo Samuel continues to be one of the best receivers in the league with 94 yards and two TDs. The run game continues to be efficient with a 167-yard day, ably helped out by Deebo showing his effectiveness as a rusher as well.
The defense only conceded 212 total yards and just ten points. The front seven finished with three sacks, five tackles for a loss, and two fumble recoveries. It was a truly dominant defensive display.
The 49ers are starting to look like a solid football team. San Fran is now 5-5 and is sitting just outside of the playoffs. The Vikings’ defense showed its weakness in the secondary on Sunday night.
Minnesota is still in second place in the NFC North with a three-win deficit to the Packers. Both these teams put up 30 points on Sunday so that these teams might hit over 48 points.
I am betting on the visiting Vikings to win and cover the three-point spread.
Cleveland Browns (+160) @ Baltimore Ravens (-180)
Browns: The Browns beat the Lions at home to move to 6-5. Baker Mayfield started even with multiple injuries. He finished with 176 yards, a TD, and two interceptions.
The run game had a massive day with the returning Nick Chubb going for 144 total yards and a TD. However, with Mayfield only completing 50% of his passes, the passing game was relatively non-existent.
The defense held backup Tim Boyle to just 77 yards and managed two interceptions. But, the run defense let D’Andre Swift go for 136 yards at an average of 9.7 yards per carry.
Ravens: Baltimore beat the Bears on Sunday. Tyler Huntley started owing to Lamar Jackson falling ill. Huntley was pretty solid. He threw for 219 yards, but he did throw a pick.
The Ravens had to lean on their run game more. They rushed for 123 yards at just 3.6 yards per carry. The offense was forced to punt six times in the game, which was disappointing.
The defense was excellent. They allowed just 280 passing yards and forced a fumble from Justin Fields. The secondary did look a little exposed when Dalton came into the game. Dalton averaged 18 yards per completion in this game.
The Browns and Ravens started the season looking like some of the dominant forces in the AFC. However, both teams have been extremely disappointing the last couple of weeks.
Their offenses were explosive to start the season, but they combined for just 29 points against bad teams last week. Will the Ravens snatch victory from the jaws of defeat again like they have managed an amazing five times this season?
Whether they do or not, I am betting these teams score under 46.5 points.
Seattle Seahawks (+100) @ Washington Football Team (-109)
Seahawks: The Seahawks season continues to unravel with their second straight loss. Even with a healthy Russell Wilson, the offense isn’t anything near its 2020 form.
Wilson threw for 207 yards from just 14 completions. His injured finger must not be fully healed as he only completed 54% of his passes. The run game did have some joy with 4.5 yards per carry.
The defense is the most disappointing part of this team. The D let a backup QB throw for 328 yards. However, the front seven were effective by holding the Cardinals to under 3 yards per carry.
Football Team: Washington beat Carolina on the road. Taylor Heinicke was accurate again with a 72% completion rate, 206 yards, and three TDs.
The run game was the main component of this win. The running backs rushed for 190 yards at 4.75 yards per carry. Antonio Gibson was outstanding with 95 yards rushing.
The defense is clearly missing Chase Young as the front seven managed just one sack, one tackle for a loss and conceded 111 rushing yards at 5.3 yards per carry.
Both of these teams are unlikely to go to the playoffs but never say never with how close the league is this year! I am pretty interested to see if Seattle can produce some improved play, mainly on the defensive side of the ball.
But my bet is for the Football Team to win.
Check out next week’s NFL betting odds.