Odds For NFL Week 1
The first week of the NFL season is always special as fans and bettors get their first real glimpse at teams that will compete for the LVII Super Bowl in February.
Sportsbooks have posted NFL Week 1 odds to view and bet on.
The pro football lines include the marquee first game of the season on Thursday night, September 8, which will feature the Super Bowl champion LA Rams hosting the Buffalo Bills.
Buffalo Bills (+100) Vs. Los Angeles Rams (-106)
What a game to kick off the new NFL season! The reigning Super Bowl champs entertain Buffalo Bills, who topped the AFC East.
This is a mouth-watering clash of two free-scoring offenses who will certainly fancy their chances to be still playing their seasons into February next year.
I’m not sure when was the last time that the actual SuperBowl favorite was the underdog in their opening game, but that is what the Bills (just +650 to lift Super Bowl LVII) are for Thursday’s season curtain opener.
As you can imagine for a team that is the favorite to lift the most famous trophy in sport, they had a very strong roster prior to the Draft.
The consensus is that they recruited well, picking up a classy cornerback, Kaiir Elam, and a pass-threat rusher in James Cook.
Add these into the existing superstar-filled squad and you can expect Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, et al to have a great season ahead.
Last year’s champions will be confident that they have the artillery to compete again for the top prize, especially after they traded their Draft picks so magnificently last year to pick up Messrs Stafford and Miller, not to mention bringing in a Mr. Beckham Jr.
They were the latest team to make their first draft pick (No 104), but the Rams will be pleased with their eight recruits.
This promises to be a thrilling game and the Bills will edge it with seconds left on the clock.
New Orleans Saints (-189) Vs. Atlanta Falcons (+165)
With two games to go last season, both these NFC South rivals sat with 7-8 records, trying to squeeze into the playoffs.
The Saints won their final two games, but the Eagles pipped them to the playoffs with the same 9-8 record. Atlanta, yet again, ended their 2021 with a whimper and close with a 7-10 record.
New Orleans will hope their star WR pick in this year’s Draft, Chris Olave (No 11 overall), will slot in with Jameis Winston and fulfill his clear potential in the big league.
Having only picked up five new players this time around, pundits are ranking theirs as one of the most unsatisfactory drafts. It would certainly be a surprise for the Saints to be challenging for the Super Bowl and their odds are around the +4000 mark.
Given Atlanta suffered the ignominy of sharing the worst home record last season with the Texans and Panthers (just 2 wins), you can imagine why the sportsbooks have the Falcons as underdogs for the first game of the new season in Georgia.
They are currently friendless in the overall Super Bowl victor market. Only the Texans are less fancied and they share odds of +15000 with the Lions.
However, they have brought in a lot of fresh talent into their squad in the postseason and draft, including the first selected WR in Drake London.
This game spells upset to me and the Falcons will be the ones flying high at the end of Week 1.
Cleveland Browns(-188) Vs Carolina Panthers (+175)
If the Browns are to justify their declining odds to lift Super Bowl LVII next year, this is just the sort of game they need to win. (They have been backed in from an early +3000 to +1800).
Last season they suffered from travel sickness in that they only emerged victorious twice on the road.
The Panthers performed their usual second half of the season collapse losing an impressive seven games on the bounce to go from 5-5 to 5-12 on the year!
Cleveland had a mightily busy off-season with nine players picked up in the draft along with a controversial superstar QB in Deshaun Watson.
Eyebrows were certainly raised in the number of first-round picks that they gave up in order to secure who they hope will be their talismanic leader for years to come.
Sam Darnold will need to step up this year and put the bitterly disappointing November and December 2021 behind him.
The six players from their draft pick this spring have been well received and maybe Matt Corral will feature at QB before too long if the Panthers losing streak continues. (Will it run the Jaguars’ 20 consecutive defeats close this year?!)
I sense another upset on the cards here in fact, with Deshaun taking time to fire on all cylinders. Carolina will eke out a close-fought victory.
San Francisco 49ers (-250) Vs. Chicago Bears (+230)
It’s been a few decades since these two teams would have been favorites to contest the NFC Championship game.
Only one of these two teams has a realistic chance of glory this season, well, according to the odds that is. The 49ers (+1600) are around 6th on most odds tables to win next year’s Super Bowl, whilst the Bears (+12500) are around 6th from the bottom!
The 49ers were 15 minutes away from Super Bowl LVI and now kick off their campaign at the not-so-scary Soldier Field.
With Jimmy G packing his bags and wunderkind Trey Lance at the helm with a hefty dose of 9 new players from the draft, you can see why San Francisco is favored to advance a long way this season.
The Bears seem to have been in transition since their last Super Bowl appearance in 2007! After yet another losing season, they have brought in a whopping 11 new faces from the draft, plus a new Head Coach.
It will be a tough ask for Chicago to finish ahead of Green Bay, Minnesota or a likely resurgent Detroit in the NFC North.
Despite attaining good grades in their drafting this year, there simply isn’t the strength in depth to see them achieving a winning season.
The 49ers will waltz into Illinois and disappoint the Soldier Field faithful.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+225) Vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-240)
An intriguing AFC North match-up between the two teams in this division last season.
The odds would have been reversed for this match last season, with very few pundits or even Bengals fans foreseeing the dramatically exciting season that unfolded for them through 2021.
Big Ben has moved on, seemingly rather acrimoniously, into retirement. Kenny Pickett, the first QB taken in this draft will have big boots to fill, both physically and metaphorically speaking!
Much of the Steelers’ season will depend on how quickly he can slot in with his six other draftees, as well the established core stars in the backfield and out wide. A tough reckoning awaits.
Last season’s surprise package and Super Bowl finalists unsurprisingly sought pass defense future stars in this year’s draft.
If Daxton Hill and Cam Taylor-Britt can hit the ground running, with the red-hot offense having another year of experience under their belts, the Bengals’ odds of +1800 might be looking generous come the playoffs.
Is a second consecutive Super Bowl appearance possible?
Kenny Pickett is about to realize how tough life is in the NFL, as the Bengals take the bragging rights after the season opener.
Philadelphia Eagles (-190) Vs. Detroit Lions (+172)
This might not be at the top of many NFL fans’ lists for a must-see game. The Eagles did manage to squeeze out the Saints to reach the Super Wild Card Weekend last season.
They failed to show for three quarters and were pummelled into a 31-0 submission by the Bucs before salvaging some pride in the fourth quarter.
As for the Lions, well, after losing or tying every one of their first eleven games of the season, they finished 3-3.
Occasionally, they were absolutely blown away, but they lost many games by just one score and played most entertaining ball at times.
The Eagles will travel to Motor City’s Ford Field confident in their chances to give off the 2022 season with a victory.
They were free-scoring last year and have enjoyed one of the best drafts this year, with the five recruits all being out of the top drawer, as well as picking up A.J. Brown. Their odds to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy have fallen from an original +4000 to +2500.
The Lions frankly didn’t deserve to finish bottom of the NFC last season and they concluded with a mini flourish.
History will relate whether Michigan’s own son, Aidan Hutchinson will step up and claim the Defensive Rookie of the Year, but hopes are high.
Should Jameson Williams repeat what Ja’Marr Chase did for the Bengals last year, we might have ourselves this season’s surprise package. It’s been a remarkable 31 years since the Lions last won a playoff game…
Could it be around the corner?!
The Lions will cause one of the upsets of the weekend and thwart the Eagle threat.
Indianapolis Colts (-360) Vs. Houston Texans (+300)
NRG Stadium will play host to the largest underdog home team of the first weekend in an AFC South match-up that is unlikely to make for prime-time viewing.
The Colts just failed to make the playoffs as Pittsburgh snared the final playoff spot from the Dolphins, Chargers, and Colts, who all finished with 9-8 records.
The Texans limped along last season and found themselves shoring up the AFC along with the equally poor Jags and Jets.
Despite Indianapolis being busy in the draft with eight new signings, the general view is that they had one of the worst selections and they are still ruing what happened with the Carson Wentz trade.
The AFC will be a tough division for the mid-ranking teams to make the playoffs this year and the Colts at +2500 to win the Super Bowl holds little appeal.
Given Houston had such a mediocre season, a rather uninspiring draft and now that they have signed away their talisman, Deshaun Watson in a mega-trade to the Browns, you can see why the sportsbooks have the Texans as rank outsiders for the big prize this season.
They have eased from +15000 to +25000. It would be a very brave bettor to put their hard-earned dollars on the table for a Houston celebration in February.
The Colts will gallop away from the slumbering Texans in a sign of what’s to come for Houston this season.
New England Patriots (+130) Vs. Miami Dolphins (-140)
This AFC East match-up should be one of the games of the weekend. Mac Jones and Tua are two of the most exciting younger gun-slingers out there (despite some rude comments on social media about how far Tua can throw).
Both teams will have high hopes that they could chase down Buffalo for the mantle of division winners.
The Patriots won 75% of their road games last season, as Mac Jones stole the show. In a Brady-less era, they were the 5th highest scorers in 2021.
They went shopping in the draft, picking up ten new names to add to their roster. However, the consensus is that they traded poorly for these selections.
The Patriots’ odds to win the Super Bowl have slid from a 3% chance down to just a 2% likelihood.
The Dolphins had a shocking time of it last season. After winning their season opener by a solitary point against, yes, the Patriots, they proceeded to lose seven on the bounce.
They then contrived to win eight of their last nine and just failed to make the post-season. With a certain Mr. Hill hopping across from the AFC West to Florida, hopes are high that the playoffs beckon this time around for the Fins.
Indeed, their percentage probability of winning the big one in February 2023 has shifted from 2% to 3%; despite having a league-low four draft picks.
History is likely to repeat itself with the Patriots going 0-1 for the second season in a row after succumbing to the Fins.
Baltimore Ravens (-195) Vs. New York Jets (+200)
A clash between the two teams who finished bottom of the AFC North and East respectively; and not one likely to be the game of choice for a neutral fan.
When the Ravens were 8-3, there were not many people who would have thought they would come last in 2021 and miss the playoffs. Only the inept Panthers had a worse conclusion to their season.
The sportsbooks are seeing a fair bit of money for the Jets to win the Super Bowl, but that is surely down to New Yorkers being able to bet legally now and wagering with their hearts rather than their heads?!
If you take the first half of last season’s Ravens and add in their 11-strong draft, which has been awarded top marks by analysts, then you would probably think their odds should be around the +1200.
Instead, the best odds are closer to the +2200 mark. Which Ravens will show up during this 2022 season and will they be consistent? I would be very surprised if they bring up the rear of the AFC North this season.
The Jets have not won a playoff game since 2010 and with their Super Bowl odds being +10000, the sportsbooks don’t expect them to change this stat any time soon.
However, with three first-round picks and a cracking RB in the second round, will all these bets on New York to finish on top of the other 31 teams in the league prove to have been inspired?!
Maybe 2023 is a more realistic target to achieve their next win?!
The Ravens will fly out of MetLife Stadium with a hard-fought victory.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+175) Vs. Washington Commanders (-190)
Another game that will not appear early in the Best of the Weekend action round-up.
The poorest team in the AFC against a team who flattered to deceive last season. It feels as though the Jags haven’t yet won on the road this decade and the Commanders performed better last season when away from home.
I am not expecting fireworks at FedEx field!
The woeful Jags only better the Texans in terms of the likelihood of winning this season’s Super Bowl out of the AFC.
Despite securing the No1 draft pick in Travon Walker and having a decent overall selection of other new faces into Jacksonville, there is not much anticipation for them to turn the ship around any time soon.
The Commanders are low down on people’s lists for the likely NFC Championship winner and they are not expected to repeat their surprise 2020 NFC East crown this coming season.
WR Jahan Dotson is fancied to light up the league in his debut year, but the rest of their draft selections do not stand out as being exceptional.
It feels like this could be a season of mid-table mediocrity for Washington.
Jacksonville’s staggering poor road form will surely continue for yet another week, no!?
New York Giants (+240) Vs. Tennessee Titans (-280)
The likelihood of this match being repeated come February 2023 in Arizona is incredibly remote. It has been a decade since the Giants last won the fourth of their Super Bowls and it’s highly unlikely they will enter the playoff picture soon.
However, the same cannot be said for the last year’s AFC South winners. A fully-fit Derrick Henry is a great sight for the neutral fan, but for the Giants’ D, you’ll be fearful.
Both New York teams finished with dismal 4-13 seasons and the 2021 low scorers in the NFC travel to Tennessee having had a decent draft with 11 new recruits including two of the first 7 selections.
However, they surely will not have the firepower to stop the free-scoring Titans.
It’s rather surprising to see the Titans drifting in the betting markets. They are currently at +3300, having been as low as +2200 when the books opened.
They steamrollered many teams last year. If their superstar behemoth of a back, Derrick Henry, can stay fit, surely those odds will be halved come December.
With a well-received intake of fresh talent in the draft, I cannot see the Titans not making the post-season.
It will be a very tough day at the office for the New York side who will likely lose their seventh game on the hop.
Kansas City Chiefs (-150) Vs. Arizona Cardinals (+140)
A tantalizingly exciting game featuring two of the most dynamic, mobile, and talismanic NFL leaders in the massive Patrick Mahomes and the comparatively diminutive Kyler Murray.
It should make for some fascinating and exciting viewing. Normally a Packers-Vikings NFC North match-up would take precedence over any other game in my household, but this should be the more entertaining spectacle!
Patrick Mahomes sparked a cracking rally for the Chiefs in the second half of the last season. Despite losing Mr. Hill to the Dolphins, Kansas City has been given a 10% likelihood of winning Super Bowl LVII by the sportsbooks.
The third highest scorers last season had a strong draft this spring and look well-positioned to be challenging for top honors over the coming months.
The Cardinals have been drifting in the Super Bowl betting odds from +2000 out to +3500. Last season they went 7-0 out of the blocks, but are priced as clear underdogs for their first game this time around.
Arizona didn’t have a first-round pick this year but has traded for Marquise Brown, with whom Kyler Murray had a great rapport at college.
Should these two clicks again and the team play as well as last year, the Super Bowl champs could struggle to retain their NFC West title.
Arizona could wrestle the mantle away for the first time since 2015.
The Chiefs started last season 2-3 and will be slow into stride in 2022, as the Cards fly out of sight with a dominant display.
Las Vegas Raiders (+160) Vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-180)
This is another appetizing match-up for the second batch of games with these AFC West rivals going head-to-head.
The Raiders had a topsy-turvy season, yet finished with a flourish of four consecutive victories to scupper the hopes and dreams of Chargers fans, whose final day defeat typified their season.
So close, but no cigar; after Justin Herbert et al had seemingly been nailed on to make the playoffs.
The Raiders will hope to build on the momentum they managed towards the tail end of last season.
Las Vegas has brought in a true superstar wide man in Davante Adams and coupled with a decent-looking draft, there are hopes for glory in 2022. The best odds for the Super Bowl have shifted from +5000 to +3000.
Maybe the sportsbooks in Nevada are seeing a flood of money from locals, which is skewing their odds?
If last season is anything to go by, the Chargers will play high-scoring ball in 2022 and make for entertaining viewing.
Intriguingly, they were the 3rd highest scorers in the AFC last season and yet conceded more points than any team aside from the Jets!
They have enjoyed an impressive draft in many experts’ eyes and would have high hopes to run the Raiders and Chiefs close for the AFT West title.
The Raiders had a better record away from Las Vegas last season and I expect an upset in California.
Green Bay Packers (-120) Vs. Minnesota Vikings (+105)
One of the oldest rivalries in football sees these NFC North titans hope to secure bragging rights and steal a march on the old enemy.
With the Bears and Lions amongst the rank outsiders for the Super Bowl, it is likely that the Pack and Vikes will be the two teams tussling for the playoffs throughout this season.
Green Bay has been one of the big movers in the betting markets to claim Super Bowl LVII and the current best odds on their winning have moved from +1600 to just +1000.
A comparatively easy division, a busy draft with 11 new faces, of which two were first-rounders and a supremely talented quarterback, all make for helpful ingredients towards possible success.
However, their performance on the road last season did not set the world alight, compared to their uniquely undefeated regular season at home.
The Vikings had a decent draft and hope will be high in Minnesota that they can return to the playoffs in 2022.
Last season, of their nine defeats, seven were by less than one score (and they lost by eight points to the 49ers).
If they can turn some of these into victories, the +4500 Purple People Eaters could well represent good value for bettors.
Were the Pack at home, they would be a shoo-in. However, Justin Jefferson et al will send the U.S. Bank Stadium into early season euphoria.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-132) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (+115)
Another mouth-watering game to start the season for the 2021 top scorers hosting the next generation Bucs.
The NFC South champs travel west to meet the NFC East victors! It will be fascinating to see how the Bucs fare this coming season with 44-year old You-Know-Who at the helm.
Whilst the GOAT decided that heading off into the sunset with Gisele wasn’t quite up to his street just yet, the Bucs’ management was busy executing a strong draft strategy and entering the 2022 season with lofty ambitions, expectations, and skinny odds of lifting the Super Bowl at +700.
The flood of money on the Bucs has been considerable given the volte-face by Mr. Brady, having started out at +2200 upon the announcement that he was quitting.
The Cowboys were rampant on offense in 2021 and will hope to pop the Bucs’ bubble at the start of this campaign.
Their draft has not had many pundits applauding whom they acquired. However, the firepower at their disposal should make them the dominant force in the NFC East again this coming season.
Tom Brady’s final season at the helm of the Bucs will not be an unbeaten one. In fact, I expect the Cowboys to cause an upset in Week 1
Denver Broncos (-179) Vs. Seattle Seahawks (+172)
Russell. Wilson. Enough said. The sporting gods duly delivered the game that many a neutral would have wished to see when the schedule was released in May.
Both these teams had rather ignominious and disappointing 7-10 2021 seasons. The Broncos appeared set for the playoffs when 7-6, but lost their final four games of the season. The Seahawks did little but stutter all season long.
Broncos’ fans must be incredibly excited about their new star QB. That news, coupled with a cracking draft, will have many a Coloradan dreaming of glory. Best odds of +1600 to go the whole way do not hold a huge amount of value in them.
The Seahawks were favorites to win the NFC West year last year. They finished last. Prior to Wilson’s departure, they were just +4000 to reverse their 2021 misfortune.
Fast forward a few months. Seattle has lost their talismanic leader, suffered what many pundits consider one of the weakest drafts, and now finds their odds to repeat their XLVIII success at a huge +12500.
The Seahawks have a listless season ahead and Russell will leave familiar grounds with a victorious debut (unlike in 2012).
Check out next NFL week 2 betting odds.