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Bears Vs. Commanders | TNF Player Props

Brent Booher

Updated: Oct 6, 2023


Week 5 of the NFL season is upon us, and it’s rare to get a matchup of NFC heavyweights on Thursday Night Football…

… which is why we get the Bears and Commanders this week.

(If you want the whole NFC titans matchup that comes Sunday Night)

But, nonetheless, there is an NFL game on Amazon Prime tonight, and gambling was invented precisely for nights like these. After all, how else can you enjoy watching a Bears game?

Without further ado here are our favorite player prop bets of the night. Let’s dive in!

Brian Robinson Jr. Anytime Touchdown

Brian Robinson Jr. enters tonight’s contest with four touchdowns on the season, with three of those coming on the ground.

That should bode well for the former Alabama RB when he gets to face one of the worst defenses in football this evening, as the Bears surrender 115 yards on the ground and 34 points per game entering this contest.

Robinson has been the workhorse in the backfield for the Commanders so far this season. He has 47 carries this season, with no other player on the team having more than seven rushing attempts.

That tells you that Robinson is the clear No. 1 in the Washington stable, and that should yield plenty of opportunities for him to find the end zone tonight.

Look for B-Rob to pace the Commanders tonight as they look to halt their two-game slide.

Best Odds: DraftKings (-110)

Terry McLaurin OVER 4.5 Receptions

With it being the month of October, what better player to back on the prop market than the guy that goes by the nickname of ‘Scary Terry’?

Sam Howell and Terry McLaurin are slowly starting to mesh together and McLaurin’s production has steadily climbed as the season has gone on.

After just two receptions in the season opening win over the Cardinals, McLaurin has rattled off a five reception performance against the Broncos, a six reception performance in a blowout against the Bills, and eight grabs in last week’s overtime loss against the Eagles.

Tonight, McLaurin gets a juicy matchup when he faces a Bears defense that ranks 29th overall in pass defense and will be without Jaylon Johnson and Eddie Jackson in the secondary, with Jaquan Brisker listed as questionable leading into kickoff.

That has all the makings of another strong performance from the Commanders’ number one receiving threat.

Best Odds: FanDuel (-130)

Justin Fields OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards

At some point in time, you have to believe the Bears will revert back to what worked for them on offense last season when Justin Fields rushed for over 1,100 yards.

After clearing his rushing total in six of his last seven games to end 2022, Fields has only cleared his rushing total one time this season in their opening loss to the Packers.

While the Commanders’ defense is much better off this season than the Bears’ defense, they do have their weak spots, one of those being that they have surrendered the third-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks.

The Bears have continued to try to mold Fields into a pocket-passing QB, but when you are staring a 14-game losing streak in the face and nothing seems to be working, it stands to reason that you go back to what did work for you a season ago.

Look for Fields to top his rushing total in a similar manner to how Daniel Jones managed to do so on Monday Night – by frantically running away from a frenetic defensive line in a trailing situation and occasionally having some nice chunks of yards on designed QB keepers.

Best Odds: BetMGM (-110)

D.J. Moore OVER 3.5 Receptions

A lot of things haven’t gone right for the Bears this season, but despite those struggles D.J. Moore has actually had a very nice start to his Bears career.

Moore has seen at least six targets in each of his last three games and is coming off of a sensational eight catch, 131 yard day against the Broncos, giving him a 100+ yard game in two of his last three outings.

Thursday night, Moore sees a Commanders’ secondary that has shown signs of vulnerability.

Last Sunday, A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith skewered Ron Rivera’s defense with a combined 16 receptions and 253 yards receiving.

They gave up eight receptions and 111 yards to Stefon Diggs, and let Marvin Mims get 113 yards receiving on just two grabs, and gave up five receptions and 66 yards to Courtland Sutton.

The Commanders are one of the best defensive groups at defending the tight end (4th NFL), so Cole Kmet might get freezed out.

That leaves Moore as the undisputed top weapon in the passing game for Fields and we see Moore snagging at least four catches tonight.

Best Odds: DraftKings (-150)


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