2023 Super Bowl Prop

Super Bowl Sunday is a day when football and non-football fans come together to enjoy the game and the pageantry associated with North America’s most popular sporting event.

Super Bowl Sunday is also an opportunity for bettors of all experience levels to find a wager that interests them.

There are those of us who are passionate NFL fans and have been analyzing the data all week in preparation for some Eagles and Chiefs player prop bets.

There is also a crowd just as excited to see Chris Stapleton sing the national anthem and, of course, Rihanna’s halftime performance.

Whether you are more focused on the game’s outcome or what Rihanna’s halftime playlist will be, there is a Super Bowl prop bet that will be of interest to you.

Super Bowl LVII Prop Bets

Sure, hundreds of actual football-related bets are available for us on Super Bowl Sunday, but before every big football game, there is a big coin toss.

Why not start our betting card before the game begins and get on the board with a Coin Toss bet?

Super Bowl Coin Toss Prop

Odds: Heads +100 | Tails +100

Sportsbook: DraftKings

The first thing I noticed about this bet with DraftKings was the odds. They are paying +100 on either side, meaning they have eliminated any juice for this bet.

For reference, anything -105 or less was considered acceptable.

Diving into the coin flip analytics, Heads have dominated recently, winning four of the last five flips.

However, in the previous ten Super Bowls, heads and tails are evenly split with five wins each.

This allows us to create two very different headlines to help discuss this bet.

Headline #1 – Heads dominate coin toss at Super Bowl, winning 80% of flips.

Headline #2 – Heads and Tails are evenly matched in the Super Bowl Coin Toss battle.

Both of the above headlines are accurate. It’s a lesson to remind us that stats can be manipulated to prove a point and help tell a story.

Never be afraid to question stats and do your own analysis. There are tools that can help.

Jersey Number Super Bowl Prop Bets

Odds: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5

Sportsbook: DraftKings

There are several fun ways to bet jersey number props for this year’s Super Bowl.

Sportsbooks will set an O/U for the jersey number of the first touchdown scorer.

This year, that total is +11.5 with DraftKings. If someone like Jalen Hurts (#1) calls his own number and scores the game’s first TD, then Under +11.5 would be declared the winner.

However, the bet I am excited to play is the combined jersey numbers for all touchdown scorers.

The O/U for that bet is +170.5.

It doesn’t help that Jalen Hurts (#1), AJ Brown (#11) and DeVonta Smith (#6) all wear low numbers for the Eagles.

However, give me Dallas Goedert (#88), and Travis Kelce (#87) to both get into the endzone, helping this bet go OVER 170.5.

Will Any Kick Hit An Upright Or Crossbar?

Odds: Yes +450 | No -650

Sportsbook: DraftKings

Many of us already know odds, such as +450, represent an implied probability of a specific event occurring.

In the case of a kick hitting an upright or crossbar, +450 means an 18% chance of that event happening.

At -650 odds, a $10 wager on No pays out a total profit of $1.54.

If you want to play on this bet, you might consider parlaying No with another bet or talking yourself into Yes and hoping for a doink.

Whether the kick goes in or stays out is irrelevant to this wager. As a bettor, we just need to have the ball hit a post.

Doink in or doink out. It’s all good.

AJ Brown 4+ Receptions & Travis Kelce 5+ Receptions

Odds: Yes -200

SportsBooks: FanDuel

Be careful if something looks too good to be true. At first glance, Brown and Kelce combining to go for 4 and 5 catches each seems pretty do-able.

However, the odds are only -200, suggesting that this outcome is likely to occur 66.66% of the time.

And that just isn’t the case.

Hands up if you knew that AJ Brown had caught four or fewer passes in each of his last four games?

Brown’s player prop receptions total for the Super Bowl is +5.5, and Kelce’s is +7.5.

Those totals suggest that four and five receptions each is very do-able.

However, you also have to consider the price of -200 and if it is worth the risk.

That is a personal decision for each bettor to make.

Position To Score First Touchdown

Sportsbook: FanDuel

Position	Odds
Running Back	+175
Wide Receiver	+200
Tight End	+310
Quarterback	+600
Defense	+1300

This could be a fun bet to play and might be worth looking at some of the longer odds.

The Eagles have played two playoff games this year. Miles Sanders (RB +175) and Dallas Goedert (TE +310) scored the opening touchdowns in those two games.

In the Chiefs’ two playoff games, both times Travis Kelce (TE +310) was the first player to reach the end zone.

There may be value in the TE group paying out at +310.

Hard to argue with a strategy that involves Travis Kelce on your side.

Super Bowl Prop Bets History

Many of us know that William “The Refrigerator” Perry was involved in the first Super Bowl prop bet.

Most of us don’t know the idea of creating the first-ever prop bet belongs to Art Manteris, who recently retired after +20 years at Station Casino and a Hall of Fame career.

During the 1985-’86 season, the Chicago Bears beat up opponents with such ease that Head Coach Mike Dikta used the 350-pound William Perry in goal-line situations.

During the regular season, “The Fridge” punched the ball into the endzone three times.

Manteris, who was running the Caesars sportsbook during the 1980s, saw an opportunity to attract even more bettors and public money on the big game and decided to offer The Fridge to score an anytime TD at +2000 when the Bears faced the Patriots in the Super Bowl.

It didn’t take long for other sportsbooks to offer the same bet.

The public loved the opportunity to throw a couple of bucks down on a novelty prop, and by the time the game kicked off, Perry’s odds were down to +200.

Although the House took a beating in year one when Perry came into the game with the Bears leading 37-7 and rumbled his way into the endzone, there was no going back.

Super Bowl prop bets were here to stay.

Super Bowl Prop Bets In The 90s

Super Bowl Blow-Outs late ‘80s and early 90s

Year	Winning Team	Losing Team	Final Score
1986	Chicago	New England	46-10
1987	NY Giants	Denver	39-20
1988	Washington	Denver	42-10
1990	San Francisco	Denver	55-10
1992	Washington	Buffalo	37-24
1993	Dallas	Buffalo	52-17
1994	Dallas	Buffalo	30-13
1995	San Francisco	San Diego	49-26

Thanks mainly to the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills, during the late 80s and into the 90s, bettors were getting just a little bit frustrated watching the Super Bowl.

Even winning bet tickets were left with little drama as the Super Bowl repeatedly ended as a Super Blow-Out.

Repeated lopsided games spawned the next evolution of Super Bowl prop betting.

If Art Manteris is credited with the first Super Bowl prop bet, Jay Kornegay is credited with really blowing up prop betting into what we know it today.

During the 1995 Super Bowl, the 49ers were -19.5 favorites against the Chargers.

Bettors had little interest in the game itself, and at that time, most sportsbooks offered between 20 to 30 prop bets.

Kornegay and his team went from offering 30 to offering over 100 prop bets, and bettors loved it immediately.

Today, there are hundreds of different prop bets every Super Bowl, and names like Manteris and Kornegay are big reasons why.

Shop Around For The Best Odds

The single smartest thing anyone into sports betting can do to help their long-term ROI is to shop around for their BestOdds.

Let’s look at a simple game-related prop bet, and we will understand why.

Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes: First Touchdown Scorer

Player	DraftKings	FanDuel	PointsBet
Jalen Hurts	+700	+800	+700
Patrick Mahomes	+2800	+2400	+2000

Just by looking at the odds of the two starting quarterbacks scoring the game’s first touchdown, we can see some differences that could have a significant impact on our overall profit.

The difference between +2000 and +2800 is substantial.

Patrick Mahomes may not score many touchdowns, but at +2800, you might be tempted to lay a small wager on him.

Whereas, at +2000, you might decide the odds don’t justify the risk and pass.

The single greatest edge a sports bettor has against the sportsbooks is our ability to shop around and play only the odds that work best for us with each of our wagers.