bestodds logo

2024 Super Bowl Parlay

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Feb 11, 2024


In the Super Bowl, it’s time to go big or go home, and ‘going big’ is exactly what I intend to do with this parlay.

After every Super Bowl, some winning player yells into the nearest camera, “I’m going to Disney World”.

Hopefully, a winning parlay here can get some bettors closer to visiting Disney World, too.

So this parlay could potentially cut down on the price of admission for the whole family!

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers are both chock-full of superstar talents worthy of being the legs of any great same game parlay.

Patrick Mahomes, Brock Purdy, Travis Kelce, Christian McCaffrey, Rashee Rice, Deebo Samuel, Isiah Pacheco, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk; the talent goes on and on, ad infinitum.

As the saying goes, “big time players make big time plays in big time games”.

The same should be applied to “big time bettors”.

For the legs of this parlay, let’s pinpoint a few key players that could step up on the grandest stage in North American sports.

To get to the fantastical world of Disney, I must turn fantasy into reality with this Super Bowl LVIII same game parlay, which I will place on FanDuel.

Christian McCaffrey – ALT Rushing Yards: 100+ and To Score 2+ Touchdowns

McCaffrey has played in 18 games this season, postseason included, and has run for over 100 yards in seven games. That’s hitting the century mark on the ground in 39% of games for McCaffrey.

McCaffrey has run for 90 or more yards in 11 games, which is 61% of the time. That’s a lot of games around 100 rushing yards.

The alternate line on McCaffrey to run for 100+ yards on FanDuel sits at +120, which has implied odds of 45.45%, which are odds I’d like to attack here.

The Kansas City defense has been great this season, it’s the main reason why they’re heading to Las Vegas for Super Bowl 58.

The Chiefs’ rushing defense has been their weak link though.

Kansas City allowed 182 rushing yards to the Buffalo Bills in their Divisional round win, showing that they can be run on.

Somehow, the Baltimore Ravens decided to abandon their running game against the Chiefs’ defense last week, and that could be the reason for their early departure.

Kansas City’s defensive front produced a 27% run stop win rate, which was ranked dead last in the NFL.

Squaring up against McCaffrey and the 49ers offensive line in the Super Bowl is probably the wrong time to finally be figuring out how to close those gaps.

The 83 targets that McCaffrey received in the passing game also shows that he’s a great checkdown target for Purdy.

McCaffrey could be a red zone threat on multiple occasions, so whether on the ground or through the air, he can deliver.

Maybe one of each, one rushing and one receiving.

Pick: McCaffrey – ALT Rushing Yards: 100+ | (+120) FanDuel

Pick: McCaffrey – To Score 2+ Touchdowns | (+290) FanDuel

Patrick Mahomes – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ and ALT Passing Touchdowns: 3+

The San Francisco 49ers’ passing defense ranked an unremarkable 14th in the NFL this season, allowing 232.3 yards per game, so I would expect attacking this defensive secondary with Patrick Mahomes’ arm to be the main offensive focus for Kansas City.

Mahomes has produced a staggeringly low number of 300+ yard games this season, reaching 300 passing yards in only four games.

But, in his postseason career, Mahomes is averaging 282.5 passing yards per game. On the biggest stage I expect him to fling it.

Over Mahomes’ previous three appearances in the Super Bowl, he is averaging 39.3 pass attempts.

For the sake of argument, I’m going to assume Mahomes will throw 40 attempts in Super Bowl 58.

In all eight games this season with 40 or more pass attempts, postseason included, Mahomes is averaging 282.6 yards; right in line with his career postseason average.

Considering that San Francisco is one the highest-scoring teams in the first quarter, I expect the Chiefs to be playing from behind early.

That’ll only boost Mahomes’ need to throw some life back into the Kansas City offense.

Also, I’m expecting the Chiefs’ offense to eventually abandon the running game against the 49ers’ 3rd-ranked rushing defense, allowing only 89.7 rushing yards per game.

While Mahomes hasn’t thrown for three or more touchdown passes in a game since Week 7, he may need to do so to keep Kansas City in the ball game.

Only one quarterback has thrown for three touchdown passes against San Francisco this season, and that was Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8.

This isn’t Week 8, this is Super Bowl 58, and sometimes you have to go with your gut when the situation dictates.

My gut is telling me to back Mahomes in a big way here.

Pick: Mahomes – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ | (+210) FanDuel

Pick: Mahomes – ALT Passing Touchdowns: 3+ | (+280) FanDuel

Travis Kelce – ALT Receiving Yards: 80+ and Anytime Touchdown

I see Mahomes having a strong Super Bowl performance, and that should heavily benefit Chiefs’ tight end Travis Kelce.

In the regular season, the 49ers’ defense was in the middle of the pack in defending opposing tight ends.

Against San Francisco, tight ends hauled in 88 catches (21st in NFL), 827 receiving yards (15th in NFL), but they only allowed three touchdowns (tied-2nd best in NFL).

In the Divisional round, the 49ers allowed a touchdown catch to Green Bay Packers’ tight end Tucker Kraft, and in the NFC Championship, Detroit Lions’ tight end Sam LaPorta was Detroit’s leading receiver, catching nine of 13 targets for 97 yards.

Kelce saw 11 targets in the AFC Championship game against the Baltimore Ravens and caught all 11 for 116 yards and a touchdown.

Here’s a quick look at all three of Kelce’s performances this postseason:

KC OpponentKelce’s Results
Wild Card: Miami10 tgts, 7 rec, 71 yds
Divisional: Buffalo6 tgts, 5 rec, 75 yds, 2 TDs
AFC Championship: Baltimore11 tgts, 11 rec, 116 yds, TD

That’s an average of nine targets, 7.7 receptions, 87.3 yards and a touchdown in the playoffs.

Kelce’s recent form looks good.

With “Mahomes-to-Kelce” being one of the strongest passing connections in the NFL, I’m expecting a boatload of targets to Taylor Swift’s boyfriend.

Pick: Kelce – ALT Receiving Yards: 80+ | (+128) FanDuel

Pick: Kelce – Anytime Touchdown | (+105) FanDuel

Super Bowl 58 Parlay Legs – FanDuelOdds
McCaffrey – ALT Rushing Yards (100+)+120
McCaffrey – To Score 2+ Touchdowns+290
Mahomes – ALT Passing Yards (300+)+210
Mahomes – ALT TD Passes (3+)+280
Kelce – ALT Receiving Yards (80+)+128
Kelce – Anytime Touchdown+105
SB LVIII Parlay Odds+5288

A $10 wager on this Super Bowl 58 parlay would win $528.85!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

BestOdds is the ultimate website for NFL bettors new and old. We offer educational content on the latest news and the best betting site options to bet on NFL football. Support us by signing up for one of the recommended sportsbooks and make sure to follow us on social!

chevron up