2024 NFL Rookie Of The Year Odds
Malcolm Darnley
Updated: Sep 22, 2023
When we think of the NFL MVP award, we typically think of Quarterbacks.
QBs have dominated that award over the last 20+ years, and the odds once again suggest a QB will win it again in 2023.
However, when discussing the NFL’s Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year award, players at all positions appear to have an equal opportunity to claim the hardware.
In 2017, the Offensive Rookie of the Year (O-ROY) went to the talented Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints, although most people believe Patrick Mahomes has turned out to be the best player of that draft.
In 2021, Trevor Lawrence was the consensus #1 overall pick when Jacksonville selected him at the top of the draft.
Lawrence was the betting favorite to win the O-ROY that year, but Ja’Marr Chase was the eventual award winner after Lawrence struggled in his rookie season.
Last year, the Steelers’ Kenny Pickett was the odds favorite on the offensive side of the ball, while Aidan Hutchinson had the lowest odds of all the rookies on defense.
When the votes were calculated, the NY Jets Garrett Wilson won the O-ROY award, while Hutchinson prevailed on the defensive side of the ball.
Let’s see what the NFL odds say for the 2023 Rookie of the Year voting.
2023 NFL Rookie Of The Year Odds
NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year
From 1967 – 2003, only one time did an NFL Quarterback win the O-Roy, and that was Dennis Shaw of the Buffalo Bills in 1970.
Since Ben Roethlisberger won the award in 2004, nine of the last 19 winners have been a quarterback, including Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray.
- In the 2021 NFL draft, the top three selections were all quarterbacks, and five of the first 15 picks were QBs.
- In 2022, the first quarterback wasn’t selected until the 20th pick overall.
- In 2023, the first two picks were QBs, and three of the first four picks overall were quarterbacks.
The Favorites
Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons +200
The Texas Longhorns have had some truly incredible running backs go through their system. Ricky Williams is the all-time rushing leader from U of T, with over 6,200+ yards.
Third on the all-time Longhorns rushing list is Earl Campbell, who went for more than 4,400 yards in his four years at Texas.
Bijan Robinson, who was drafted 8th overall by the Atlanta Falcons this past NFL draft, is right behind Campbell and has the fourth most rushing yards all-time.
Before the 2023 draft, Robinson was called the most complete player available. Because of his position, he slipped to the 8th overall pick, where the Falcons were very excited to grab him.
Anthony Richardson – Indianapolis Colts +350
At the 2023 scouting combine, Anthony Richardson was the most athletic quarterback at the draft, joining Cam Newton and Daunte Culpepper as the only three QBs in combine history to record perfect scores. (RAS Scores)
While playing at the University of Florida, AR didn’t achieve the same statistical success that Bryce Young and CJ Stroud achieved during their collegiate careers. However, what makes Richardson such a unique prospect is his athleticism.
In his first professional game, AR threw for over 220 passing yards and picked up another 40 yards rushing. It was a start that showed off just how much potential the Colts franchise QB has.
Bryce Young – Carolina Panthers +2500
Nick Saban is regarded as possibly the best college coach currently and one of the greatest coaches in college history.
Bryce Young was with Saban for three years at Alabama and started 27 games for him. Young finished with a 24-3 record at school and over 8,300 passing yards.
In 2021, Young was named the best player in college football, winning the Heisman Award that year. He returned to college for the 2022 season, finishing sixth in the Heisman voting.
The Texans chose Young over CJ Stroud, who went second overall to the Houston Texans. The two franchise QBs will be forever linked and compared because of where they were drafted.
CJ Stroud – Houston Texans +1400
Justin Fields, Dwayne Haskins, Troy Smith, Terrelle Pryor – the list of outstanding Ohio State QBs who could not replicate their success at the pro level is long and somewhat confusing.
Why Ohio State QBs have achieved so much success at the collegiate level but not at the pro level has yet to be fully understood by football experts, but they do know that CJ Stroud hopes to change all that.
At Ohio State, Stroud dazzled fans and scouts everywhere he played. He has three games in his collegiate career with six touchdown passes and finished third in the Heisman voting last year.
Stroud finished with a 21-4 career record as a starter with Ohio State.
Offensive Rookie Of The Year – Last 10 Years
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson | Jets | Wide Receiver |
| 2021 | Ja’Marr Chase | Bengals | Wide Receiver |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | Chargers | Quarterback |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Cardinals | Quarterback |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | Giants | Running Back |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | Saints | Running Back |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | Cowboys | Quarterback |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | Rams | Running Back |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr | Giants | Wide Receiver |
| 2013 | Eddie Lacy | Packers | Running Back |
NFL Defensive Rookie Of The Year
After watching five QBs go in the first 15 picks of the 2021 NFL Draft, the 2022 draft belonged to the defensive side of the ball.
Travon Walker and Aidan Hutchinson were the 1st and 2nd overall picks. Both players were DEs who impacted their teams significantly in their first year in the league.
In fact, the first five players selected in that draft were all defenders.
When the season ended and the D-ROY votes were calculated, the New York Jets Sauce Gardner won the Defensive Rookie of the Year award.
The Favorites
Jalen Carter – Philadelphia Eagles +210
While at the University of Georgia, Jalen Carter found himself in a very serious and unfortunate situation. Carter was part of a group racing cars – that resulted in someone losing their life.
Carter won National championships and numerous personal awards while at Georgia, but because of his off-field legal issues, the DT slipped to the 9th overall pick despite being ranked much higher.
The Philadelphia Eagles already had a Super Bowl caliber defense, and many believe it’s a perfect fit for Carter, who has a chance to really excel in the veteran environment.
Will Anderson – Houston Texans +550
The Houston Texans had the second and third pick of the NFL draft last year and hoped to find a franchise player to build around on both sides of the ball.
After selecting QB CJ Stroud with the second overall pick, the Texans grabbed Will Anderson Jr. from Alabama.
Anderson was dominant in college, twice being named SEC Defensive Player of the Year. During his final two years in college, Anderson recorded 27.5 sacks and racked up numerous awards, suggesting he will be an outstanding player in the NFL for a very long time.
Christian Gonzalez – New England Patriots +850
As a freshman at the University of Colorado (before Deion Sanders arrived!) Christian Gonzalez started every game. His second year in Colorado was even better than his impressive first.
Gonzalez would transfer to Oregon and played for the Ducks in 2022. The 21-year-old CB was named to the All Pac 12 team his lone year in the conference.
Gonzalez declared for the draft after just one year at Oregon, where Patriots coach Bill Belichick scooped him up with the 17th overall pick.
Gonzalez impressed the future Hall of Fame coach enough in the pre-season to earn a starting spot with the Patriots coming out of training camp.
Defensive Rookie Of The Year – Last 10 Years
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
| 2022 | Sauce Gardner | Jets | Cornerback |
| 2021 | Micah Parsons | Cowboys | Linebacker |
| 2020 | Chase Young | Football Team | Defensive End |
| 2019 | Nick Bosa | 49ers | Defensive End |
| 2018 | Darius Leonard | Colts | Linebacker |
| 2017 | Marshon Lattimore | Saints | Cornerback |
| 2016 | Joey Bosa | Chargers | Defensive End |
| 2015 | Marcus Peters | Chiefs | Cornerback |
| 2014 | Aaron Donald | Rams | Defensive Tackle |
| 2013 | Sheldon Richardson | Jets | Defensive End |
Yikes! At least on the defensive side of the ball, the names who have won the D-ROY award are all truly impactful NFL players.
1st Overall Picks – NFL Rookie Of The Year Award
Making the transition from college to the pro level is not easy. Scouts and teams do their best to project how stars at the college level will perform in the NFL.
Even with all the information available today, it is still rare for the number one pick to earn a Rookie of the Year award.
Kyler Murray was the last player to do it back in 2019. Only three times since 1981 has the number one overall pick earned a Rookie of the Year award.
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Cardinals | Quarterback |
| 2011 | Cam Newton | Panthers | Quarterback |
| 2010 | Sam Bradford | Rams | Quarterback |
| 1981 | George Rogers | Saints | Running Back |
| 1980 | Billy Sims | Lions | Running Back |
| 1978 | Earl Campbell | Oilers | Running Back |
Always Shop Around
If you like to bet on sports and are looking for an edge against the sportsbooks, the greatest advantage a bettor has is their ability to shop around for the Best Odds available.
This is true for single-game betting and especially for long-term futures betting, like NFL Rookie of the Year wagers.
It is not uncommon to see a significant price difference for players between the different sportsbooks. Someone could be listed at +900 with one operator and +1200 at another.
When it comes to profit, the differences in those odds would be $300 in profit for a $100 bettor.
If you are looking for an edge and trying to be profitable against the ‘books, the best thing a bettor can do is shop around and find the Best Odds available for that specific bet.
