2024 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Odds

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Oct 17, 2024

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Many sportsbooks allow punters to wager on which player will record the most receiving touchdowns each season.

It is an extremely popular market, and the bet can be placed before or during the season, depending on the bookmaker.

In this article, we’ll showcase certain players who have a chance to lead the league in touchdown receptions. Odds and history will also be provided.

How Is The Winner Decided?

The winner is decided by which player catches the most touchdowns during the regular season (Weeks 1-18).

Last year, both Mike Evans and Tyreek Hill shared the title for most touchdowns after catching 13 each.

Sportsbooks grade the bet after the conclusion of Week 18.

2024 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Odds

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds vary at different operators.

PlayerTeamOdds
Justin JeffersonMIN Vikings+700
Mike EvansTB Buccaneers+800
CeeDee LambDAL Cowboys+1000
A.J. BrownPHI Eagles+1400
Tyreek HillMIA Dolphins+1400
Ja’Marr ChaseCIN Bengals+1400
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Lions+1400
Stefon DiggsHOU Texans+1400
Rashee RiceKC Chiefs+1600

The Favorites

Justin Jefferson (+700)

The superstar wide receiver has only reached double-digit touchdowns once in his career (10 in 2021) but is widely considered to be the best player at his position.

Minnesota’s offense flows through the former first-round pick (22nd overall) out of LSU.

In 2022, Jefferson led all wide receivers with 28 red zone targets and scored eight touchdowns. Last year, he only played in 10 games due to injury.

During the 2022 season, Jefferson also led the NFL in receiving yards after accumulating 1,809 over 17 contests.

With former Pro Bowl quarterback Kirk Cousins gone to Atlanta, it’ll be up to journeyman Sam Darnold to put the ball in his top weapon’s hands.

Regardless of the quarterback, Jefferson will be targeted heavily and always has a chance to lead the league in touchdown catches.

Mike Evans (+800)

After scoring 13 touchdowns in 2023 and co-leading the NFL in the category, it’s no surprise Evans is second on the odds board.

The Texas A&M product is arguably the most underrated wide receiver ever.

He doesn’t have a bright media spotlight despite being the only player ever to begin his career with 10 1,000-yard seasons.

The stat is mind-boggling because he’s never played a season since he came into the league in 2014 and recorded less than 1,000 receiving yards.

Evans has also caught 12 or more touchdowns in five of his 10 seasons. The most he’s recorded in a single campaign was 14 in 2021, two behind Cooper Kupp.

At 6-foot-5, the five-time Pro Bowler is a massive red zone target and is a quarterback’s best friend.

CeeDee Lamb (+1000)

The Oklahoma product ended 2023 with 12 touchdowns, just one shy of Evans and Hill.

During training camp this year, the Cowboys gave Lamb a four-year $136,000,000 deal.

With both Dak Prescott and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer still with Dallas, Lamb will certainly have a chance at catching the most touchdowns in 2024.

The 25-year-old enjoyed his best season last year after leading the league in receptions (135). He also was tied with Davante Adams for the most red zone targets (27).

The Contenders

Tyreek Hill (+1400)

After finishing tied for first in 2023 with 13 touchdowns, it’s a little surprising to see Hill at +1400 odds.

The West Alabama product likely won’t finish the season with the most red zone targets, but his 4.29, 40-yard dash speed makes him a threat to reach the end zone whenever he has the pigskin.

Hill also came close to having the most touchdown catches in 2020 when he recorded 15, three behind Davante Adams.

There’s no doubt Hill will find the end zone frequently this year, but it’ll be largely dependent on quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s health to see if he can go back-to-back in terms of touchdown titles.

Ja’Marr Chase (+1400)

The former No. 5 overall pick exploded onto the scene as a rookie in 2021 by scoring 13 touchdowns, the third most in the NFL.

The next year, Chase only played in 12 games due to injury but still found the end zone on nine occasions.

Last year wasn’t ideal for the LSU product because his Pro Bowl quarterback, Joe Burrow (former teammate in college), suffered a season-ending wrist injury in Week 11.

This all but ended any opportunity for Chase to record the most touchdown receptions.

Chase has been targeted often in the red zone throughout his young career. In 2021, he had 25 targets (the third most) and in 2023 he had 21 (eighth most).

If both Burrow and Chase can stay healthy in 2024, the stars could align, and Chase could contend for the most receiving touchdowns.

2023 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Leaders

PlayerReceiving TDsTeam
Mike Evans13TB Buccaneers
Tyreek Hill13MIA Dolphins
CeeDee Lamb12DAL Cowboys
Jordan Addison10MIN Vikings
Sam LaPorta10DET Lions
Amon-Ra St. Brown10DET Lions
Courtland Sutton10DEN Broncos

Jordan Addison’s 10 touchdowns were impressive, especially due to being a rookie. It’ll be hard for him to eclipse this number since he took advantage of Jefferson missing seven games.

Sam LaPorta also caught 10 touchdowns as a rookie. He led all tight ends in touchdown catches.

NFL Receiving Touchdowns Leaders: Last 10 Years

YearPlayerReceiving TDsTeam
2023Mike Evans and Tyreek Hill13Bucs/Dolphins
2022Davante Adams14Raiders
2021Cooper Kupp16Rams
2020Davante Adams18Packers
2019Kenny Golladay11Lions
2018Antonio Brown15Lions
2017DeAndre Hopkins13Texans
2016Jordy Nelson14Packers
2015Doug Baldwin14Seahawks
2014Brandon Marshall14Jets

Cooper Kupp has been hampered by injuries in the last few seasons, so it’ll be interesting to see how he performs fully healthy.

Adams is still extremely talented but hasn’t posted impressive touchdown-scoring numbers since he’s been paired with Jimmy Garoppolo and Aidan O’Connell rather than Aaron Rodgers.

This year, his QB1 will be Gardner Minshew.

Most Receiving Touchdowns in a Single Season

YearPlayerReceiving TDsTeam
2007Randy Moss23Patriots
1987Jerry Rice2249ers
2020Davante Adams18Packers
1984Mark Clayton18Dolphins
1994Sterling Sharp18Packers
1995Cris Carter17Vikings
1961Bill Groman17Oilers
2011Rob Gronkowski17Patriots
1951Elroy Hirsch17Rams
1942Don Hutson17Packers
1998Randy Moss17Vikings
2003Randy Moss17Vikings
1995Carl Pickens17Bengals
1989Jerry Rice1749ers

No player has come close in recent history to Randy Moss (23 touchdowns) and Jerry Rice (22 touchdowns).

Since the NFL extended its schedule to 17 games in 2021, receivers are being provided with an extra opportunity compared to the players of the past.

Always Find the Best Odds

Odds shopping is imperative when sports betting. Be sure to shop across all sportsbooks to find the best available odds for any wager type.

We’ll use CeeDee Lamb to lead the NFL in touchdown catches as an example.

Lamb’s preseason odds on DraftKings are +1000. On FanDuel, he’s +550 and both Caesars and BetMGM list him at +650.

A $10 bet at DraftKings would earn you $100 if he led the league in the category. The same $10 wager would pay $55 at FanDuel and $65 at Caesars and BetMGM.

This is a huge discrepancy so instead making a bet using the first odds you see, shop around.

Remember to bet responsibly and carefully manage your bankroll.

How to Bet on Most Receiving TDs

To bet in this department, follow this step-by-step guide:

  1. Go to your preferred sportsbook and log into your account.
  2. Select the ‘NFL Odds’ tab option amongst the menu of sports available.
  3. Go to the ‘Player Futures’ submenu.
  4. Click on ‘Most Receiving TDs.’
  5. Pick your wager, review it and place it in the bet-slip window.
Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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