2024 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Odds

Last year, George Kittle had 765 receiving yards for the San Francisco 49ers while catching 11 touchdown passes.

Justin Jefferson led the NFL in receiving yards, with over 1,800, but Jefferson finished three touchdown receptions short of Kittle, finishing the year with eight.

Of the ten players who led the league in touchdown receptions in 2022:

• 7 were wide receivers
• 2 were tight ends
• Jerick McKinnon of the Chiefs was the lone running back.

The odds suggest a wide receiver will have the most touchdown catches this year.

Of the top 18 players according to their odds, 17 are wide receivers, and the other is Travis Kelce.

If betting on the NFL receiving touchdowns is something that might interest you, then we have you covered with everything you need to know down below.

How Is The Winner Decided?

The most popular way to bet on receiving touchdowns is a season-long futures bet – trying to predict who will end the season with the most touchdown catches league-wide.

The player who catches the most TDs will be the winner. It is as simple as that.

The fun thing about this is you don’t only have wide receivers.

Tight ends and even running backs can get into the party.

TE Jimmy Graham was the last non-WR to win the award in 2013. As for records, the mythical Jerry Rice got 22 in 1987.

The record stood for 20 years until another all-time great, Randy Moss, broke it in 2007 when he caught 23. Moss’ number still commands the record to this day.

Additionally, these two are the only players to get 20+ receiving TDs.

2023 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Odds

Justin Jefferson led the NFL in receiving yards (1,800+) and total receptions (128) last year.

But it was Davante Adams who led the NFL in total receiving TDs, with 14.

The Favorites

Tyreek Hill +650 – Lead League in TD Catches

The duo of Tua to Tyreek is undoubtedly one of the most dangerous passing threats in the league.

In his first year with the Dolphins, Tyreek Hill was as good or better than advertised.

Hill was drafted in the 5th round of the 2016 draft and is a year shy of his 30th birthday.

Despite being almost 30, the speedy receiver set career highs with 1,700+ receiving yards and 112 receptions last year.

In 2020 and 2018 – Tyreek had 15 TD receptions and 12 TD receptions respectively.

Those are the only two years Hill has reached double-digits for touchdowns, but it looks inevitable that it will happen again in 2023.

Ja’Marr Chase +750 – Lead League in TD Catches

There was a time when Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Joe Burrow were all playing on the same LSU football team, and college coaches were going crazy trying to figure out a way to stop them.

Since being drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals only two years ago, Chase has been reunited with his college QB, and the two of them continue to give defensive coordinators nightmares, this time at the pro level.

In his rookie season, the fifth overall pick went for over 1,400+ receiving yards, with an impressive 13 touchdowns.

Last year, Chase had over 1,000 yards receiving and 134 targets thrown his way in only 12 games.

If you project those numbers over a 17-game season, it becomes evident that the former Tiger, now a Bengal, will be at or near the top of many NFL receiving categories.

Travis Kelce +850 – Lead League in TD Catches

In 2022, the Kansas City Chiefs lost Tyreek Hill, a Pro Bowl-caliber receiver, and all that happened was the Chiefs offense continued to roll all the way to the Super Bowl, with Patrick Mahomes leading the league in passing yards and winning a second MVP.

There is no doubt that Travis Kelce is a huge reason Mahomes accomplished so much last year despite losing one of the game’s most dangerous wide-outs.

In nine seasons in the league, Kelce has at least 850 yards receiving in every single year he has played. In the last seven consecutive seasons, the Chiefs tight end has gone over 1,000 yards receiving.

In the previous five years, the 2013 third-round pick has 47 touchdowns, averaging almost ten touchdown receptions per season.

Kelce is currently rewriting the record book for tight ends, and there is no doubt the veteran pass catcher will be the number one target for Mahomes again in 2023.

The Contenders

Stefon Diggs +1000 – Lead League in TD Catches

Stefon Diggs is one of the better 5th-round draft picks playing in the league today.

For five seasons, Diggs was very good while with the Minnesota Vikings. 

Stefon Diggs – Minnesota vs. Buffalo

Team	Games	Receptions	Rec. YDS	Touchdowns
Minnesota	70	365	4,623	30
Buffalo	50	348	4,291	30

Our table above shows that while Diggs was very good in Minny, he has been great with Buffalo.

In 2022, Diggs was over 1,400 receiving yards, hit double-digits in TDs (11), and proved yet again he is elite.

Justin Jefferson +1200 – Lead League in TD Catches

First 3 Years in NFL – Randy Moss vs Justin Jefferson

Player	Games	Catches | Rec YDS	Touchdowns
Randy Moss	48	226 – 4,165 yards	43
Justin Jefferson	50	324 – 4,825 yards	25

When we think of all-time great receivers and players who can change the direction of a game on one single throw, Randy Moss is one of the Hall of Fame names that might come to mind.

Randy was admired for his immediate impact on the game, producing 1,000+ yard seasons each of his first three years.

Of course, when you see how Jefferson compares to the HOF Moss after his first three seasons, we recognize that when talking about Jefferson, we are also talking about Hall of Fame caliber greatness.

Davante Adams +1200 – Lead League in TD Catches

After so many incredible years in Green Bay, playing with Aaron Rodgers, it was time for Davante Adams to wander from the nest and go out on his own.

Some fans and bettors wondered how Adams would produce with the eventual Hall of Famer no longer throwing him the ball.

After three weeks with the Raiders, Adams had less than 200 receiving yards, and the whispers about Adams needing Rodgers started to get louder.

Fast forward to the end of the season, and Adams managed 1,500+ receiving yards, 100 receptions, and a league-leading 14 touchdown receptions.

Those are pretty incredible stats for someone who wasn’t supposed to make it without a certain QB throwing him the ball.

AJ Brown +1300 – Lead League in TD Catches

Every year AJ Brown plays in the NFL, his offensive coordinator realizes they need to throw him the ball more.

In each of Brown’s first four years, he has seen his targets per game increase. As a rookie, Brown averaged 5.25 targets per game. (2019)

Last year, Brown was averaging 8.53 targets per game, his first year with the Eagles.

Although that doesn’t sound like a huge difference, throughout a 17-game season, it equates to an additional 55 passes thrown in A.J.’s direction.

The 2019 second-round pick is always a touchdown threat because at 226 lbs, he is a physical receiver capable of winning jump ball battles.

2022 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Leaders:

Currently, the NFL is loaded with an amazing amount of talented receivers who could all conceivably lead the NFL in touchdown receptions this year. 

There is a healthy mix of veteran receivers like Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams, who continue to prove their dominance into their thirties.

There is also an incredible amount of youth, names like Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Jaylen Waddle, and many more, all under the age of 25 years old.

2022 Receiving TD Leaders

Player	Receiving TDs	Team
Davante Adams	14	LV Raiders
Travis Kelce	12	KC Chiefs
Stefon Diggs	11	BUF Bills
George Kittle	11	SF 49ers
AJ Brown	11	PHI Eagles
**5 Players tied with 9	9	N/A

Davante Adams got off to a slow start with his new team in Las Vegas.

Even without the great Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball, Adams proved he is a force for defensive coordinators to worry about for a long time.

NFL Receiving Touchdowns Leaders: Last 10 Years

The list below is an interesting mix of names.

Obviously, you must be a talented receiver to lead the NFL in touchdown receptions.

However, we see names like Kenny Golladay, Jordy Nelson, and Doug Baldwin – who were all very good players but maybe not great.

Year	Player	Receiving TDs	Team
2022	Davante Adams	14	Raiders
2021	Cooper Kupp	16	Rams
2020	Davante Adams	18	Packers
2019	Kenny Golladay	11	Lions
2018	Antonio Brown	15	Lions
2017	DeAndre Hopkins	13	Texans
2016	Jordy Nelson	14	Packers
2015	Doug Baldwin	14	Seahawks
2014	Brandon Marshall	14	Jets
2013	Allen Robinson	14	Jaguars

Recently, Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, Antonio Brown, DeAndre Hopkins would all be considered great receivers who have led the league in TD catches.

NFL Most Receiving Touchdowns Single Season

When it comes to the most receiving touchdowns in a single season, our list below is filled with some of the greatest names ever to play the position.

In his prime, Randy Moss was arguably the biggest receiving threat ever.

His 23 TD receptions in 2007 stands today as the single-season record.

Just behind Moss is the greatest ever to play the wide receiver position, Jerry Rice. Rice and Moss have a combined five seasons with at least 17 touchdown receptions.

Year	Player	Receiving TDs	Team
2007	Randy Moss	23	Patriots
1987	Jerry Rice	22	49ers
2020	Davante Adams	18	Packers
1984	Mark Clayton	18	Dolphins
1994	Sterling Sharp	18	Packers
1995	Cris Carter	17	Vikings
1961	Bill Groman	17	Oilers
2011	Rob Gronkowski	17	Patriots
1951	Elroy Hirsch	17	Rams
1942	Don Hutson	17	Packers
1998	Randy Moss	17	Vikings
2003	Randy Moss	17	Vikings
1995	Carl Pickens	17	Bengals
1989	Jerry Rice	17	49ers

Always Find Your Best Odds

When it comes to finding an advantage against the sportsbooks, the single greatest edge a recreational sports gambler has is to shop around for their very Best Odds.

This is true when making any type of wager, but it is especially true when looking at odds for Futures Betting and Player Props.

When setting moneylines and point spreads for a football game, you will see a slight variance in odds between sportsbooks.

However, a gambler might see significant odds discrepancies with Futures Betting and Player Props.

Stefon Diggs could be +900 to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns, or you could shop around and find him somewhere else at +1200.

Sometimes, the payout might not seem like a huge deal for one specific bet when we shop around.

However, over time – the difference between shopping for your Best Odds or using just one sportsbook can significantly impact your ROI.

How To Bet On Receiving TDs Betting Odds

To bet in this department, follow this step-by-step guide:

1. Go to your preferred sportsbook and log into your account.

2. Select the ‘NFL Odds’ tab option amongst the menu of sports available.

3. Go to the ‘Player Futures’ submenu.

4. Click on ‘Most Receiving TDs.’

5. Pick your bet and make it real by submitting it in the bet-slip window.