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NFL OPOY Odds

Malcolm Darnley

Updated: Aug 16, 2023

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While the MVP is the NFL’s most prestigious individual award, the NFL Offensive Player Award also carries some prestige around the league because of the impressive list of players who have won it.

The MVP Award is almost always given to the game’s best Quarterback.

The NFL Offensive Player of the Year award (OPOY) has a much larger range of positions that realistically have a shot at winning this award.

In the last ten years, four of the winners have been QBs, three were RBs, and three were WRs, including Justin Jefferson, the recipient of the OPOY last year.

How Is The Winner Decided?

Before getting into who may win it, let’s clarify who chooses the winner.

The Associated Press gives the award. It’s chosen by a nationwide group of sportswriters, who focus on NFL coverage.

Those selected AP writers choose the OPOY recipient each year.

2023 NFL Offensive Player Odds

For defensive player betting odds, see our report here.

Offensive Player Of The Year Betting Odds Reports

Wide receivers and running backs occupy the top five positions on the OPOY odds list.

Eventually, names like Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes and Justin Fields begin to appear, but eight of the top eleven players are not a QB.

Let’s dive into the names of some of the Favorites, Contenders and Longshots for this great award.

The Favorites

Ja’Marr Chase +1100 – CIN Bengals

Ja’Marr Chase has been in the league for two seasons and has already passed 2,500 yards receiving. In 2022, Chase went over 1,000 yards receiving despite not playing in five games.

The 2021 first-round pick from LSU AND close personal friend of Joe Burrow also has more than his fair share of touchdowns. In 29 career games, Chase already has 22 TD receptions.

Justin Jefferson +1400 – MIN Vikings

As a rookie in 2020, Justin Jefferson had over 1,400 receiving yards. In his second season, Jefferson hauled in more than 1,600 receiving yards.

In 2022, on his way to the Offensive Player of the Year Award, Justin Jefferson had 1,800+ receiving yards and 128 receptions.

If you believe in trends, Jefferson has raised his total yards by 200 in each of his three years in the league.

That puts him on pace for a 2,000-yard season, making him a likely repeat OPOY winner.

Christian McCaffrey +1400 – SF 49ers

Based on potential and his success in limited action, McCaffrey continues to make the top of the odds list for this award.

Over the last four years, the 49ers running back has played 11, 7, 7, and 3 games.

In 2019, when he was healthy enough to play all 16 games, McCaffrey had more than +1,300 yards rushing and more than 1,000+ yards receiving.

Those are super cool stat lines and the reason why McCaffrey is ranked so high, despite so many injuries in the last four years.

The Contenders

Nick Chubb +1800 – CLE Browns

Nick Chubb is elite at running the football. In 2022, Chubb had over 300+ carries and ran for over1,500+ yards. Those are both impressive numbers.

All Chubb does each year is rush for at least 1,000 yards, usually much more than that.

The 2018 second-round pick has over 1,000 carries in the last four years. At 27 years old, most expect Chubb to get another 250+ carries again this year.

Tyreek Hill +2000 – MIA Dolphins

When you are nicknamed The Cheetah, you are likely fast – and in the case of Tyreek Hill, that description would be accurate.

Hill is a big part of an impressive three in Miami, that includes fellow WR Jaylen Waddle and QB Tua Tagovailoa.

In 2022, Hill no longer had Patrick Mahomes as his QB but still managed to put up an impressive 1,700+ receiving yards. Far more than he ever had playing with Mahomes.

The extremely speedy receiver is already proclaiming that 2023 will be even more impressive than his eye-catching 2022 statistics.

If that is the case, The Cheetah could also be The OPOY.

The Longshots

Lamar Jackson +2200 – BAL Ravens

Lamar Jackson has missed ten games combined in the last two years, or else we might be talking about Lamar as a previous OPOY winner.

Jackson averaged just under 190 yards per game as a passer last year.

His 64 yards rushing per game was impressive but not enough to overcome the lack of passing yards.

However, in 2021 Jackson averaged over 240 passing yards per game. Those kinds of air attack stats, combined with his rushing yards, make him a definite OPOY threat.

Patrick Mahomes +2500 – KC Chiefs

In 2022, Justin Jefferson was ultimately voted the OPOY winner by the committee of writers. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes was busy hearing his name being called for the NFL MVP Award.

Mahomes finished second in OPOY voting, to go along with his MVP

In 2022, the Chiefs franchise QB:

  • Had his best completion percentage ever. (67.1%)
  • Threw for the most total yards of his career. (5,250)
  • Threw 41 TD passes, the second most of his career.

Justin Fields +2800 – CHI Bears

Justin Fields is an interesting long shot worth considering for this wager. On a list full of elite athletes, Fields might be the best of them all.

As a QB in the NFL, the 2021 11th overall pick hasn’t lived up to expectations in Chicago.

However, in the 27 career games he has played for the Bears, Fields has shown he is one of the greatest athletes to have played this sport.

One could assume that athleticism will eventually translate into a promising NFL career.

Previous NFL OPOY Winners

YearPlayer / PositionTeam
2022Justin Jefferson – WRMIN Vikings
2021Cooper Kupp – WRLA Rams
2020Derrick Henry – RBTEN Titans
2019Michael Thomas – WRNO Saints
2018Patrick Mahomes – QBKC Chiefs
2017Todd Gurley – RBLA Rams
2016Matt Ryan – QBATL Falcons
  • Wide receivers have won three of the last four OPOY awards.
  • Qbs have only won the award once in the last six years.

How To Bet On Offensive Player Of The Year

To bet on the OPOY award, you must:

1. Go into your sportsbook.

2. Look for the NFL betting odds tab.

3. Click on the Players Futures category.

4. Select the OPOY award to display the odds.

5. Choose the player you want to wager on.

6. Submit it from the bet slip window on the right-hand side.

How To Bet On Offensive Player Of The Year

To bet on the OPOY award, you have to:

1. Go into your sportsbook.

2. Look for the NFL betting odds tab.

3. Click on the Players Futures category.

4. Select the OPOY award to display the odds.

5. Choose the player you want to wager on.

6. Submit it from the bet slip window on the right-hand side.

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About the author

Malcolm loves to watch all kinds of different sports. He also writes about them.

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