Texans vs. Ravens Same Game Parlay | Divisional Round

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Jan 18, 2024

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The Houston Texans picked up a playoff win over the Cleveland Browns last week, and with that single win, C.J. Stroud and Lamar Jackson now have the same number of playoff wins in their careers.

After sitting out in Week 18, this will be Jackson’s first game in three weeks.

And with Baltimore failing to make the playoffs in the 2021-22 season, and backup quarterback Tyler Huntley stepping in for last season’s Wild Card loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, this will be Jackson’s first playoff start since January 16, 2021 (Divisional Round loss to Buffalo).

With the Texans rolling, winning four of their last five games, could a looser Houston squad pull off an upset over the potentially rusty Ravens in Baltimore?

For this intriguing Divisional Round matchup, I’ll place a Same Game Parlay on FanDuel.

Lamar Jackson – OVER 227.5 Passing Yards and Anytime Touchdown

Lamar Jackson averaged 229.9 passing yards per game this season, and when he completes at least 20 passes, he’s averaging 251.3 passing yards per game.

I mention the completions because BestOdds EDGE projects Jackson to complete 20 or more passes.

The Texans’ passing defense has been one of the weaker spots on this solid young team.

Houston’s passing defense ranks 24th in the NFL, allowing 235.9 passing yards per game, and they’ve allowed an opposing QB to record 250 or more passing yards in nine of their 18 games.

Baltimore offensive coordinator Todd Monken was brought in to transform the Ravens’ passing game, and it has worked.

Jackson recorded career-highs in completion percentage (67.2%), yards per attempt (8.0), and passing yards (3,678); Jackson’s passing yards total was 551 yards more than his previous best.

Also, the running skills for Jackson have remained, as he is averaging 51.3 rushing yards per game and has scored five touchdowns on the ground.

Jackson’s running has been used more for first downs instead of touchdowns, but no team in the NFL allowed more rushing touchdowns to opposing QBs this season than the Houston Texans (7).

The Texans have an opponent rushing touchdown percentage of 51.28%, the second-worst in the NFL, behind only the Seattle Seahawks’ 53.33%.

Jackson will be able to move the Ravens’ offense downfield with his arm, but his best path to crossing the goal line will be with his legs.

Pick: Jackson – OVER 227.5 Passing Yards (-114) FanDuel

Pick: Jackson – Anytime Touchdown (+100) FanDuel

C.J. Stroud – OVER 238.5 Passing Yards

I’m backing Stroud to go over his passing yards prop this week simply because he continues to outperform expectations.

Stroud has recorded at least 240 passing yards in 11 of 15 career games, and even against the Ravens strong passing defense, he should find a way to move his offense through the air.

The Texans are nearly 10-point underdogs in this game, too, so if Houston falls behind, it’ll be up to Stroud to chuck the pigskin and get the Texans back in it.

In the first start of his NFL career, Stroud threw for 242 yards against Baltimore back in Week 1.

Stroud has come a long way in that short time.

Pick: Stroud – OVER 238.5 Passing Yards (-114) FanDuel

Dalton Schultz – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards and Anytime Touchdown

The Ravens passing defense has been strong this season, but they have been beaten by opposing tight ends in recent weeks.

Here’s a look at how tight ends have done against Baltimore from Weeks 12 through 17, forgetting about the Week 18 “preseason” game.

BAL OpponentOpposing TETE Results
Week 12: Los Angeles (A)Gerald Everett4 rec, 43 yds, TD
Week 14: Los Angeles (N)Davis Allen4 rec, 50 yds, TD
Week 15: JacksonvilleEvan Engram4 rec, 28 yds
Week 16: San FranciscoGeorge Kittle7 rec, 126 yds
Week 17: MiamiDurham Smythe3 rec, 54 yds

In those five games against the Ravens’ starting defense, tight ends are averaging 4.4 receptions and 60.2 receiving yards.

I’m going out on a limb and taking Schultz to score a touchdown in this one.

Baltimore only allowed three touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, but I’m expecting Nico Collins to be heavily covered in an attempt to slow down the Stroud and the Texans passing game, leaving Schultz open in the middle of the field.

Hopefully, this exact scenario plays out in the red zone.

Pick: Schultz – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114) FanDuel

Devin Singletary – OVER 61.5 Rushing Yards

Baltimore allowed at least one 100+ yard rusher in four of the last five games, so I would expect Singletary to benefit as the lead back for Houston this week.

To hit the over, Singletary would need 62 rushing yards, a number he has reached in five of his last six games.

Singletary has done a solid job of finding one big gap in each of the last ten games, picking up at least one carry of 14 or more yards in nine of his last 10.

Once again, ignoring the Week 18 “preseason” game, here’s a look at how teams have ran against the Ravens’ defense.

BAL OpponentOpp. Rush AttemptsOpp. Rush YardsOpp. Yards/Carry
Week 12: Los Angeles (A)19 Carries86 Yds4.5 YPC
Week 14: Los Angeles (N)30 Carries128 Yds4.3 YPC
Week 15: Jacksonville17 Carries75 Yds4.4 YPC
Week 16: San Francisco18 Carries121 Yds6.7 YPC
Week 17: Miami25 Carries154 Yds6.2 YPC

In those five games, opposing teams ran for an average of 21.8 carries for 112.8 yards, which is 5.2 yards per carry.

Over the last 10 games, Singletary is averaging 16.7 carries, and if the Texans can hang around long enough and not abandon the running game, then I would expect him to receive at least 15 carries.

If Singletary can produce a yards per carry similar to what Baltimore has been allowing of late (5.2), then he would only need only 12 rushing attempts.

Asking Houston’s lead back to step up here and collect 62 rushing yards doesn’t seem like asking too much.

Pick: Singletary – OVER 61.5 Rushing Yards (-114) FanDuel

HOU vs. BAL SGP Legs – FanDuelOdds
Lamar Jackson – OVER 227.5 Passing Yards-114
Lamar Jackson – Anytime Touchdown+100
C.J. Stroud – OVER 238.5 Passing Yards-114
Dalton Schultz – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards-114
Dalton Schultz – Anytime Touchdown+300
Devin Singletary – OVER 61.5 Rushing Yards-114
Texans vs. Ravens Parlay Odds+3967

A $10 wager on this Same Game Parlay would win $396.76!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and en...

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