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Buccaneers vs. Lions Same Game Parlay | Divisional Round

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Jan 19, 2024

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pulled off a strong win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week, winning 32-9.

Bucs’ quarterback Baker Mayfield continues his strong season, becoming the first in franchise history to throw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns in a playoff game.

Something even Tom Brady couldn’t accomplish for the Bucs.

Although Brady did win a Super Bowl with Tampa Bay, and that’s certainly more memorable.

The Detroit Lions are coming off their first playoff win in 32 years, a 38-6 victory over the Dallas Cowboys on January 5th, 1992.

To put the Lions’ playoff drought in perspective, here’s a look back at what the world was like 32 years ago.

  • George H.W. Bush was the U.S. President.
  • Gasoline prices were $1.13/gallon.
  • “Hook”, starring Dustin Hoffman and Robin Williams, was the No. 1 movie at the box office.
  • Michael Jackson’s “Black or White” was the No. 1 song.
  • Lions’ quarterback Jared Goff was not born for another two years and nine months.

It’s been a while.

Enough looking back, and let’s look ahead to this NFC Divisional round matchup this Sunday.

For this Buccaneers-Lions showdown, I’ll place a Same Game Parlay on Caesars.

Baker Mayfield – ALT Passing Yards: 275+ and ALT TD Passes: 3+

I’m all aboard the Mayfield train.

Mayfield has quieted doubters on his ability to lead an NFL offense, throwing for 4,044 yards and 28 touchdowns this season and compiling a passer rating of 94.6.

Also, Mayfield has a sneaky good track record in the playoffs, recording a passer rating of 102.7 with a 7:1 touchdown to interception ratio in three career postseason games.

Detroit’s defense has struggled against the pass. This defensive comparison, courtesy of BestOdds EDGE, can provide further details.

The Bucs’ passing defense is 30th in the NFL, allowing 253.4 passing yards per game, and they allowed 250 passing yards to Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts last week when Hurts was working without his No. 1 target, A.J. Brown.

Also, BestOdds EDGE tells me that both of these defenses are a brick wall to opposing rushers, Detroit’s rushing defense being ranked 2nd and Tampa Bay’s ranked 4th, so this could be a potential football flinging fiesta.

Inside the domed Ford Field, I like this game as a potential shootout even more.

Mayfield will need to continue his consistent play, and against this Lions’ defense, I believe he will, especially with his back against the wall.

Mayfield is built Ford tough.

Pick: Mayfield – ALT Passing Yards: 275+ (+101) Caesars

Pick: Mayfield – ALT TD Passes: 3+ (+305) Caesars

Mike Evans – ALT Receiving Yards: 100+ and To Score A Touchdown

Mike Evans has not had a 100-yard receiving game since Week 13 against the Carolina Panthers.

Saying that a man is due seems like a surefire way to lose a bet, but the man is due.

Evans has a great matchup on the defensive side, being primarily covered by Lions’ cornerback Jerry Jacobs.

Look at how Jacobs’ opponents have done in the last five games.

DET OpponentWR with JacobsWR Results
Week 15: DenverCourtland Sutton5 rec, 71 yds
Week 16: MinnesotaJustin Jefferson6 rec, 141 yds, TD
Week 17: DallasBrandin Cooks5 rec, 60 yds, TD
Week 18: MinnesotaJustin Jefferson12 rec, 192 yds, TD
Wild Card: Los Angeles (N)Puka Nacua9 rec, 181 yds, TD

Those receivers are averaging 7.4 receptions and 129 yards in the last five games.

Evans should be able to continue the dominance over Jacobs this week.

Evans averaged exactly eight targets per game over the regular season, but with both of these teams having stout rushing defenses, Evans could see more targets than usual.

In the 11 games Evans played where he saw eight or more targets, Evans scored 11 touchdown catches, and averaged 5.5 receptions for 86.7 receiving yards.

Evans can outperform those numbers this week.

Pick: Evans – ALT Receiving Yards: 100+ (+195) Caesars

Pick: Evans – To Score A Touchdown (+110) Caesars

Jared Goff – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ and ALT TD Passes: 3+

Goff completed 22-of-27 passes in the Wild Card win over the Los Angeles Rams last week.

Those 27 pass attempts were the second-lowest number of attempts for Goff all season; with only 25 attempts in a win over the New Orleans Saints back in Week 13 being the lowest.

Simply put, I believe Goff will get back to work this Sunday.

The Buccaneers’ passing defense is just about as ineffective as the Lions’ defense, so Mayfield and Goff should be trading darts all afternoon.

Last time these two teams met, back in Week 6, Goff completed 30-of-44 passes for 353 yards and two touchdowns.

As we get deeper into the playoffs, I’m expecting Goff to turn up the heat.

Surprisingly, Goff has yet to record a 300-yard performance in seven career playoff games.

Also, Goff has never thrown more than one touchdown pass in any of those playoff appearances, which is absolutely befuddling.

Once again, the man is due.

Pick: Goff – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ (+109) Caesars

Pick: Goff – ALT TD Passes: 3+ (+205) Caesars

Sam LaPorta – ALT Receiving Yards: 50+ and To Score A Touchdown

Lions’ tight end Sam LaPorta returned from injury last week, playing the Wild Card game with a leg brace.

The leg brace didn’t stop him from finding the endzone, scoring a touchdown in his first career playoff game.

The Buccaneers’ defense has been awful at slowing down opposing tight ends this season.

Tampa Bay allowed the third-most catches (102), the third-most yards (1,077), and the sixth-most touchdowns (7) to tight ends in the regular season.

Here’s a quick look at how tight ends fared against the Bucs in the last five games of the regular season:

TB OpponentOpposing TETE Results
Week 14: AtlantaKyle Pitts3 rec, 57 yds, TD
Week 15: Green BayTucker Kraft4 rec, 57 yds, TD
Week 16: JacksonvilleEvan Engram10 rec, 95 yds
Week 17: New OrleansJuwan Johnson8 rec, 90 yds, TD
Week 18: CarolinaTommy Tremble2 rec, 11 yds

The one touchdown Tampa Bay allowed last week: Philadelphia tight end Dallas Goedert.

In the Week 6 meeting between the Bucs and Lions, LaPorta saw 11 targets from Goff, so I’m expecting a decent workload for LaPorta again.

LaPorta may have a bad wheel, but he’ll keep it rolling in the Motor City.

Pick: LaPorta – ALT Receiving Yards: 50+ (+109) Caesars

Pick: LaPorta – To Score A Touchdown (+150) Caesars

TB vs. DET SGP Legs – CaesarsOdds
Baker Mayfield – ALT Passing Yards: 275++101
Baker Mayfield – ALT TD Passes: 3++305
Mike Evans – ALT Receiving Yards: 100++195
Mike Evans – To Score A Touchdown+110
Jared Goff – ALT PAssing Yards: 300++109
Jared Goff – ALT TD Passes: 3++205
Sam LaPorta – ALT Receiving Yards: 50++109
Sam LaPorta – To Score A Touchdown+150
Buccaneers vs. Lions SGP Odds+10000

An even 100-1 odds!

A $10 wager on this Divisional Round parlay would win $1,000!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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