2022 NFL Conference Championship Parlay Picks
If you’re looking for sure picks, below are my best parlay bets for the Conference round.
I have evaluated the two Conference games and come up with my locks for a five-bet parlay. If you hit this five-bet $100 parlay, the payout would be just over $1,600.
Last week’s parlay didn’t hit, but I did get three out of five picks correct.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Picks For Moneyline Parlay
Moneyline: Chiefs (-325)
Kansas has returned to the AFC Championship match for the fourth time in as many years. They made a late comeback against the Bills to win in the craziest game of the season, if not the millennium to date.
The Chiefs have won 14 of their games this season but did lose to the Bengals in Week 17. However, they have the home-field advantage this time and a healthier roster.
The Bengals beat the Chiefs on Week 17 thanks to yet another Ja’Marr Chase huge game. He was uncoverable and finished with a staggering266 yards and three TDs.
I think Kansas will have learned their lessons from Week 17 and squeeze past the Bengals.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Picks For Spread Parlay
Spread: Bengals to cover (+7.5)(-120)
The Bengals have had an incredible season so far and exceeded many people’s expectations. They face the Chiefs on the road, having beaten them in Week 17.
The Bengals are outscoring their opponents by around five points per game this season. The Bengals are 12-7 against the spread compared to Kansas, who are 10-9 against the spread.
The Chiefs have outscored their opponents by 6.8 points per game this season. However, they struggled against the Bengals’ explosive offense in their last meeting and conceded 446 passing yards to Burrow.
I think the Chiefs will win, but the Bengals will cover the spread in a high-scoring and entertaining game.
Rams vs. 49ers Picks For O/U Parlay
Over/Under: (under 46 points)(-110)
These teams meet for the third time this season for the NFC championship. The previous scores were 27-24 in Week 18 and 31-10 in Week 10 in favor of the 49ers.
These teams have robust defenses. The Rams conceded 21.9 points per game, whilst the 49ers conceded 21.5 points per game during the season. These defenses are very similar and have often kept these teams in contention.
Both teams have stable offenses with star receivers. The Rams are scoring 27.1 points per game, and the 49ers are scoring 25.1. However, LA will be looking for revenge after their two regular-season loss to the 49ers.
I think this will be a defense-dominated game, so these teams will hit the under.
Rams vs. 49ers Picks For O/U Passing Yards Parlay
Over/Under Passing Yards: Jimmy Garoppolo (over 228.5 yards)(+110)
Jimmy Garoppolo has had an excellent season to date. He only managed 131 yards last week, but the game was low-scoring in parky conditions. He averages 241.9 yards per game this season with a 68% completion rate.
In the 49ers’ previous meeting with the Rams in Week 18, Garoppolo threw for 316 yards at an average of 9.9 yards per attempt. He also has two outstanding targets in Kittle and Samuel, who are 2021 pro bowlers.
The Rams conceded 241.7 passing yards per game during the regular season. However, they have been conceding just 215 passing yards per game in this year’s playoffs.
With Garoppolo’s stats, there is value out there for him to hit the over.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Picks For O/U Receiving Yards Parlay
Over/Under Receiving Yards: Ja’Marr Chase (over 85.5 yards)(-125)
Ja’Marr Chase has been exceptional this season. He’s had seven 100+ yard games this season and has been the focal point in their offense. This rookie has been the most significant reason why the Bengals have made it this far in the postseason.
Chase averages 88.4 yards per game at 17.7 yards per catch. He had the fourth-most receiving yards in the NFL regular season. He has a clear connection with Burrow, who is also having an outstanding break-out second season.
The Chiefs are conceding 257 passing yards per game in the playoffs. In the regular season, they conceded 251.4 passing yards per game. Their secondary isn’t their strongest point on defense.
With Chase’s stats and the Chiefs’ weak secondary, I think that this is a safe bet.
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