Best NFL QBs In 2022

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Each year Tom Brady plays in the NFL, his list of unbelievable records and accomplishments continues to grow.

2021 was no different for the NFL G.O.A.T., as Brady continued to add to his legacy and career accomplishments.

This time TB12 led the NFL in total passing yards at the age of 45.

In just two seasons with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Brady has thrown for 9,949 yards.

Pretty incredible to think a mid-40s QB would be averaging 5,000-yard passing seasons, but Brady is obviously not your average QB.

Although he is not the betting favorite to lead the league in passing yards in 2022, the G.O.A.T. is once again near the top of the odds list.

In a league dominated by young QBs like Mahomes, Herbert, Allen, Jackson, Burrow, and many others, it is the 45-year-old who still gets most of the spotlight.

Top 10 NFL Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers

Would you be surprised if I told you that Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady have combined to win the NFL MVP award seven times?

Would you be surprised if I told you that it was actually Rodgers who has won the award four times, compared to Brady’s three?

Aaron Rodgers doesn’t necessarily put up the most passing yards or throw the most touchdowns, but he is, more often than not, the league’s most efficient passer.

Rodgers has won the NFL MVP award the last two seasons. Not since Brett Favre in 1995 – ‘97 has someone won the award three consecutive times.

Packers fans who got to watch Favre and now Rodgers probably don’t realize just how lucky they are.

Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

One day, Tom Brady will retire, and the New England Patriots will finally feel good about letting the NFL G.O.A.T. walk away after 20 years of service.

Unfortunately for the Patriots’ decision makers, that doesn’t appear to be happening anytime soon.

In two years with his new team in Tampa Bay, Brady has thrown for almost 10,000 yards and won many football games.

Although it doesn’t appear that Rob Gronkowski will be catching seam routes for him this year, sportsbooks still expect the Bucs QB to put up big numbers in 2022.

Brady is +800 to lead the league in passing yards, ahead of names like Stafford, Allen, Burrow, and Rodgers. Not bad for a 45-year-old.

Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills

Patrick Mahomes opened as the betting favorite for the 2022 NFL MVP award.

But it is Josh Allen who is currently the odds favorite after the public money bet him down. 2021 was a coming-out party for Allen and the Bills, despite losing to Kansas City in the playoffs.

During that instant classic of a playoff game, the Bills’ offense scored 36 points, and Allen was 27 for 37, with 329 passing yards and 4 TDs.

The Buffalo QB also rushed for 68 yards and wasn’t intercepted. It was enough of a performance to start a lot of conversation about whether Josh Allen is the game’s best QB.

Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs

Imagine throwing for over 4,800 yards in a single season and then having some fans and media critics wonder what is wrong.

That was his reality in 2021, despite posting ridiculous numbers once again.

The Chiefs QB was picked-off 13 times last year and only 11 times combined in the two seasons previous.

Let’s assume the five-year veteran does a better job taking care of the ball this year. Would anyone be surprised to see him win his second MVP award?

Even without Tyreek Hill, Mahomes is going to post big numbers.

Justin Herbert – Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert threw for over 5,000 yards for the Los Angeles Chargers last year, but he would trade those all in for a playoff appearance.

Statistically speaking, Herbert is as good as any QB in the league. For him to be known as the league’s best QB, those stats must translate into playoff wins.

Herbert has 32 starts in two years. He’s on pace to have a Hall of Fame career.

The Chargers will see Mahomes, Derek Carr, and Russell Wilson a combined six times this year.

Herbert and the Chargers have a difficult road to the playoffs, but many personal accolades will follow if they get there.

Matthew Stafford – Los Angeles Rams

In 165 starts with the woeful Detroit Lions, Matthew Stafford threw for over 45,000 yards.

In just 17 starts with the Los Angeles Rams, Stafford had over 4,800 yards passing, but more importantly, he won a Super Bowl, validating all those years he spent not winning in Detroit.

Stafford had over 400 completions with his new club, and the Rams offense is again built to throw the ball this year.

We all knew he was capable of big numbers when he was with Detroit, but Stafford has shown he is also a winner now that he has jumped to LA.

MVP voters no doubt prefer those who win, and at +1600, there might be some value on Stafford to capture some personal hardware in 2022.

Derek Carr – Las Vegas Raiders

Imagine throwing for 4,800 yards in a season and still finding yourself the fourth-ranked QB in your division according to NFL MVP odds.

Herbert, Mahomes, and Wilson all have lower odds to take home this year’s MVP award, but Derek Carr had Davante Adams fall into his lap this past offseason.

That won’t hurt his chances.

Carr has the passing yard totals to match up with the other three big names in the AFC West, but last year he only threw for 23 touchdowns.

A receiving core with Adams, Hunter Renfrow, and Darren Waller as options should suggest that Carr will throw many more TDs this year than he did last.

Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals

After a devastating injury during his rookie season, the football world almost forgot that Joe Burrow was a number one overall pick and had a spectacular college career with LSU.

Burrow spent 2021 reminding fans why the Bengals selected him first overall, and Cincinnati fans have no reason to regret that pick.

Burrow threw for over 4,600 yards, and 34 touchdowns and trailed only Aaron Rodgers for overall QB Rating.

The Bengals surprised many by representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, and only a late Rams TD prevented them from being world champions.

That’s a decent season for Burrow, who only has 26 regular-season NFL starts.

Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys

Despite playing for the always popular Dallas Cowboys, Dak Prescott probably doesn’t get as much attention as he deserves for the stats he put up last year.

Prescott finished seventh in total passing yards, tied for fourth in passing TDs, and third in overall QB Rating.

Prescott was seventh in total passing yards.

He was fourth in passing touchdowns and finished third in overall QB Rating. At +1600 to win his first MVP award, he might offer the best current value of the bunch.

Russell Wilson – Denver Broncos

In 2021, ten different NFL quarterbacks threw for more than 4,000 yards.

The last time the Denver Broncos had a QB throw for over 4,000 yards in a season was in 2014 when Peyton Manning did it.

Teddy Bridgewater, Drew Lock, Joe Flacco, Case Keenum, and Trevor Semien all led the Broncos’ aerial attack post-Manning. None of them ever reached 4,000 yards in a season with Denver.

In nine seasons with the Seattle Seahawks, Russell Wilson has eclipsed 4,000 yards passing three times.

Wilson is also a short completion away from 40,000 career passing yards and proved several times in Seattle that he can hang with the league’s best.

Russell will now go head to head with Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Derek Carr six times a year while playing in the AFC west.

He may have wanted out of Seattle, but I’m not sure he wanted to take on those three gunslingers six times a year.

Betting The NFL Passing Yards Leader

In year one with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady led his new team to a Super Bowl win.

Although the G.O.A.T. fell short of his Super Bowl goal in year two, he did manage to lead the league in total passing yards with over 5,300.

2021 Passing Yards Leaders

PlayerYards PassingTeam
Tom Brady5,316Buccaneers
Justin Herbert5,014Chargers
Matthew Stafford4,886Rams
Patrick Mahomes4,839Chiefs
Derek Carr4,804Raiders

Looking at the odds for QBs to lead the league in passing this year, it is no surprise to see names like Herbert, Brady, Mahomes, and Stafford at the top of the list.

Matt Ryan (+2500) is out of Atlanta now, and Colts fans hope he can provide Super Bowl aspirations.

Browns castoff Baker Mayfield (+6500) appears to have the edge in Carolina and is way down the odds list.

Betting The NFL QB To Throw The Most Touchdowns

If you look at last year’s total passing yards leaders, you will notice a correlation between yards passing and total touchdown passes thrown.

2021 Total TD Passes Leaders

PlayerTDs PassesTeam
Tom Brady43 Buccaneers
Matthew Stafford41 Rams
Justin Herbert38 Chargers
Patrick Mahomes
Dak Prescott
Aaron Rodgers
Bay Packers

It’s Herbert who is the odds leader at many sportsbooks to start the 2022 season.

Herbert, Brady, Mahomes, and Stafford are all at the top of the odds list, joined by Bills QB Josh Allen.

Betting On The NFL MVP Award

Although the NFL MVP award is not specifically for quarterbacks, it is becoming rare when someone at another position is named the league’s best player.

For nine consecutive years, the NFL MVP has been a quarterback.

The last none QB to win the award was Minnesota Vikings RB Adrian Peterson

This year; Josh Allen begins the season as the MVP betting favorite. The top 16 players on the MVP odds list are all quarterbacks.

Jonathan Taylor has the best non-QB odds at +5000, tied with Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa. Tua is the 17th-ranked QB according to the odds.

Always Shop Around

When it comes to beating the sportsbooks, a bettor’s greatest advantage is to shop around and play only their very Best Odds.

This is true for every type of sports bet available but can be especially true when we get into futures and player prop betting.

For example, let’s look at some preseason odds posted for this year’s NFL MVP award.

2022 NFL MVP Award Odds

Dak PrescottDraftKings +1600FanDuel +1200BetMGM +1300
Kirk CousinsDraftKings +5000FanDuel +4000BetMGM +5100
Jonathan TaylorDraftKings +5000FanDuel +6000BetMGM +8100

Dak Prescott is a legitimate threat to win the MVP award.

He posted great numbers last year, plays on a team that is expected to win their division, and will probably host a playoff game.

Prescott can also be found as low as +1200 and as high as +1600 to win the award.

As a $100 bettor, that is a difference of $400 in profit.

However, as we look further down the table, we see even larger odds discrepancies with QB Kirk Cousins and Colts RB Jonathan Taylor.

The pricing difference between sportsbooks for Jonathan Taylor is pretty fascinating.

DraftKings clearly recognizes his talent and believes he has an outside chance to win the award.

But at +8100 with BetMGM, Taylor is paying significantly higher than either DraftKings or FanDuel.

In this scenario, if someone wants to bet on Taylor to be named the game’s best player, it is obvious where they need to place that bet.