NCAA Football Takeaways Week 9
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Oct 30, 2023
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Halloween is right around the corner and Week 9 of the College Football season was appropriately scary.
The Kansas Jayhawks knocked off the formerly undefeated Oklahoma Sooners, winning 38-33.
It was the first win for the Jayhawks over the Sooners since 1997, pushing Oklahoma down the AP Poll, from No. 6 to No. 10.
Sooners’ quarterback Dillon Gabriel only tallied 167 passing yards on 19 attempts, but the Heisman hopeful still picked up two rushing touchdowns to salvage his day offensively.
The defense for Oklahoma was most terrifying, allowing Kansas to collect 225 rushing yards on 41 carries (5.5 yards per carry), and granting the Jayhawks to score on a nine-yard rushing touchdown with 55 seconds remaining.
TOUCHDOWN KANSAS‼️ JAYHAWKS ON THE VERGE OF UPSETTING NO. 6 OKLAHOMA 🤯#RockChalk | #Kansas | #Sooners
— Saturday Cadence Podcast (@SaturdayCadence) October 28, 2023
pic.twitter.com/6oBcIuc00J
Kansas was a +10-point underdog on the spread when the lines opened, +7 at closing, and the upset victory over Oklahoma has propelled them into the Top-25, currently sitting at No. 22.
The Sooners weren’t the only ranked team to suffer from a spooky result in Week 9.
The North Carolina Tar Heels dropped their second ACC Conference meeting in a row, losing to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 46-42.
Yellow Jackets’ quarterback Haynes King had little issue with slicing apart North Carolina’s defense, completing 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards and four touchdown passes.
The loss to Georgia Tech may not be as jarring as UNC’s loss to the completely defeated Virginia Cavaliers the week prior, but the then-No. 17 Tar Heels have been dumped out of the AP Poll Top-25 altogether.
Week 9 was a spine-chilling week that saw underdogs of 10-points or more cover the spread in 18 of 27 such contests, that’s a 67% cover rate.
Five of them pulled off straight up wins, with UMass (+10) beating Army, Northwestern (+14) defeating Maryland, NC State (+10) downing Clemson, Louisiana (+11.5) topping South Alabama, and Georgia Tech (+12) over North Carolina.
Very ghoulish spreads.
Trick or Treat
The Air Force Falcons are a treat.
Air Force defeated the Colorado State Rams last week, and now they are 8-0 on the season.
The No. 17 Falcons join the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs, No. 2 Michigan Wolverines, No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes, No. 4 Florida State Seminoles, No. 5 Washington Huskies, No. 23 James Madison Dukes, and the unranked Liberty Flames as the only teams yet to suffer a loss in 2023.
Air Force’s defense continues to be one of the best in all of College Football, allowing just 249.6 total yards of offense per game and only 14.3 points per contest.
The Falcons are the class of the Mountain West Conference right now, sitting at -120 favorites to win the Conference on DraftKings.
The Falcons visit the Boise State Broncos in the final regular season matchup on November 24th, and that clash will possibly decide the Mountain West Conference.
Air Force is an 18.5-point favorite on BetRivers over the Army Black Knights this weekend, and the Falcons covering that lofty spread over their service academy foes is another treat, too.
After all, Army did just lose to UMass.
The USC Trojans are a trick.
USC is coming off a Pac-12 victory over the Cal Golden Bears, but just barely winning 50-49.
Since the end of September, the Trojans defense has been ghastly, allowing an average of 42.6 points per game.
The 49 points scored by Cal on Saturday represent a new high for USC’s defense, or in this case, a new low.
This is too much 😄✌🏼 pic.twitter.com/VKYo8ghai3
— Nico (@USC_Nico) October 29, 2023
Trojans’ quarterback Caleb Williams threw for 369 yards and scored four total touchdowns in the narrow victory.
Williams’ odds to win the Heisman currently sit at +8000 on FanDuel, and with USC playing as poorly as they are, that number probably isn’t going to get shorter anytime soon.
The Trojans host No. 5 Washington this week, and if USC’s defense continues to allow lesser-quality teams like Cal put up nearly 50 points, Michael Penix Jr. and the Huskies should have a very entertaining Saturday.
USC as an underdog by +3 feels like a trick. Treat yourself to Washington at -3 on the spread at Caesars.
The Colorado Buffaloes Are Buried
As soon as the gates opened on the 2023 College Football season, Colorado took a commanding lead, winning their first three games and absorbing an astronomical amount of national interest.
Lately, not so much.
As interesting as Coach Prime and the Sanders’ Family is, and the two-way talents of WR/CB Travis Hunter, this Buffaloes team has been so awful that there is not much else to root for here.
ANOTHER PICK FOR @TravisHunterJr!
— Colorado Buffaloes Football (@CUBuffsFootball) October 29, 2023
📺ABC pic.twitter.com/dl7bHAPkzo
Since the 3-0 start, Colorado has gone 1-4, with the one win coming on a late field goal over a very forgettable Arizona State Sun Devils team.
While the Buffaloes covered their +14-point spread against the UCLA Bruins last week, it was never really that exciting a contest after the first quarter.
It was 28-9 UCLA late in the fourth quarter, and if not for a touchdown pass from Shedeur Sanders in the waning minutes of the game, the scoreboard would look much less respectable for Coach Prime’s Colorado.
The final four games for the Buffaloes this season: No. 16 Oregon State Beavers, Arizona Wildcats, Washington State Cougars, and No. 18 Utah Utes.
Early in the season, I would have looked at those games and saw multiple wins for the Buffs.
Now, I see none.
It would be a real shame for Colorado to start the season as they did, only to fail in securing enough wins to be deemed bowl-eligible.
FanDuel has listed the Buffs’ season win total at over/under 5.5 regular season wins, with the under favored at -320; the over at +240.
Colorado could always reemerge as Pac-12 zombies in the Big 12 Conference in 2024.
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