NCAAF Player Prop Bets Week 6

In sports, it’s not exactly what goal you achieve, but who you beat to achieve that goal.

Kentucky running back Ray Davis ran for 280 yards and three touchdowns against the Florida Gators last week.

Very impressive!

If he can do something similar this week against the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs, I’d be blown away.

Maryland quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns against the Indiana Hoosiers last week.

Awesome!

If Tagovailoa produces similar numbers against the Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 6, my brain will melt.

If you picked the over on Davis’ rushing yards prop and Tagoavailoa’s passing props last week, congratulations, you definitely won.

Great achievements from Davis and Tagovailoa in Week 5, but the stakes will be raised this week.

For bettors, it can be difficult to find monster performances, like the two mentioned above, but let’s check out some potential props this week.

Ray Davis – RB, Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats’ running back Ray Davis flexed some muscle against the Florida Gators last week.

Davis compiled 280 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 26 carries and even caught a nine-yard touchdown, too.

Florida had 13 players on the field…

And Ray Davis STILL scored 💀

He has 4 TDs for Kentucky (-113 ML)

🎥: @UKFootball | #CFB
pic.twitter.com/54RacwPRx2

— FanDuel Sportsbook (@FDSportsbook) September 30, 2023

Those numbers may be hard to replicate against the Georgia Bulldogs in Week 6.

While Georgia did allow the Auburn Tigers to run for 219 yards last week, Auburn quarterbacks Payton Thorne and Robby Ashford accounted for the bulk of those rushing yards, totaling 125 yards on just 16 carries.

That’s a solid clip of 7.8 yards per carry.

The Tigers’ backfield tandem of Jarquez Hunter and Brian Battie didn’t run as well as their QBs, piling up just 94 yards on 27 carries.

That’s an underwhelming 3.5 yards per carry.

The ability of Auburn’s quarterbacks to escape the pocket and pick up yards on the ground is a missing component in Kentucky’s offense.

Wildcats’ quarterback Devin Leary currently has -17 rushing yards.

Even Dennis Leary has more rushing yards this year than Devin Leary.

Ray Davis can’t do it all, all the time, and his rushing yards prop is currently set at 71.5 yards (-114, FanDuel).

No running back has recorded more rushing yards against Georgia than the 59 yards Jarquez Hunter tallied last week.

I feel comfortable taking the under on Davis’ potentially inflated 71.5 rushing yards.

Pick: Davis – Under 71.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel

Tyler Van Dyke – QB, Miami Hurricanes

Van Dyke has posted some solid numbers this season, and even in his toughest test to date, he threw for 374 yards and five touchdowns against Texas A&M back in Week 2.

Tyler Van Dyke in the 1st half vs. Texas A&M 🏈

-13/17
-235 passing yards
-3 touchdowns
-0 interceptions

Miami leads 21-17 at halftime pic.twitter.com/B4arUB9o8S

— 247Sports (@247Sports) September 9, 2023

For a good quarterback in a historical NCAA Football program that’s currently a strong competitor in the ACC, Van Dyke hasn’t received a whole lot of love.

I will give him some love this week.

The Hurricanes face the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Saturday. The same Georgia Tech team that suffered a MAC-attack last week, losing to the Bowling Green Falcons.

In the loss, the Yellow Jackets allowed Bowling Green to throw for a respectable 263 yards.

I have no reason to believe that Van Dyke can’t surpass that number.

Despite their surprising loss, Georgia Tech still has the offense to put points on the scoreboard, and because of that, I see Van Dyke throwing enough to keep Miami on top and hit the over.

Pick: Van Dyke – OVER 267.5 Passing Yards

Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel

Cameron Skattebo – RB, Arizona State Sun Devils

The Sun Devils take on Coach Prime and the Colorado Buffaloes this week.

Arizona State will need to keep the explosive Buffaloes’ in check, and one way of doing that is by keeping them off the field entirely.

I expect Skattebo to see a huge chunk of carries to grind down the clock and keep the Buffs on the sideline.

Colorado’s defense has been absolutely awful.

The Buffs are allowing 184.2 rushing yards per game (110th in the NCAA) and 296 passing yards per game (123rd in the NCAA).

This game has a similar feel to the USC-Arizona State game from September 23rd.

Cameron Skattebo runs it in and Arizona State and USC are tied 7-7 early 👀pic.twitter.com/cfRltyWKdJ

— 247Sports (@247Sports) September 24, 2023

After rushing for 111 yards and a touchdown against USC, a not great but slightly better defense than Colorado’s, Skattebo is capable of producing a comparable line this week.

Skattebo is seeing an average of 22 carries in his last two games and his workload is on the rise.

With Skattebo as the focal point of the Sun Devils’ offense, he should see plenty of open grass ahead of him on Saturday.

Pick: Skattebo – OVER 86.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-115) DraftKings

Caleb Williams – QB, USC Trojans

The USC Trojans beat the Arizona Wildcats last season, 45-37.

In that contest, USC quarterback Caleb Williams threw for 411 yards and five touchdowns.

I’m expecting a similar result in 2023.

Williams is on a warpath to match Archie Griffin as the only back-to-back Heisman Trophy winners, and it’s midseason games against inferior opponents like this one that can help pad the numbers in that effort.

Williams has thrown for four or more touchdowns in three of his five appearances this season, and throwing four touchdown passes this week is certainly in the cards.

Still the first half and Caleb Williams has 248 passing yards and 4 pass TDs! 🔥

USC up 34-7 in Colorado 😳

pic.twitter.com/7Dh0LSjd3K

— Bovada (@BovadaOfficial) September 30, 2023

Amazingly, Arizona has allowed only four touchdown passes all season. Three to Mississippi State QB Will Rogers and one to UTEP backup quarterback Kevin Hurley.

This low number of opposing touchdown passes feels like an unrealistic anomaly to me.

Even in last week’s loss to the Washington Huskies, Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. completed 30 of 40 passes for 363 yards and still finished with zero touchdown passes!

Arizona did allow four rushing touchdowns to the Huskies from inside the five-yard line.

That’s a slap in the face to Penix Jr. and his Heisman chances.

This week, facing the 99th-ranked Arizona passing defense, Caleb Williams will clear up some of this mythical math on touchdown passes that isn’t quite adding up.

Pick: Williams – OVER 3.5 TD Passes
Best Odds: (-108) FanDuel