NCAAF Player Prop Bets Week 13
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Nov 22, 2023
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It’s the final week of the regular season in College Football!
One last chance to dig through the weekly slate for a potential treasure trove of NCAA football player props.
Although College Football normally dominates Saturdays, there are 13 games on Friday, including an in-state Pac-12 showdown between the No. 6 Oregon Ducks and the No. 16 Oregon State Beavers.
The Ducks and Beavers matchup has potentially massive implications on the College Football Playoffs and the Heisman Trophy race.
Saturday’s biggest matchup is clearly the Big Ten rivalry of the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes and the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines.
So, with a huge Week 13 ahead, let’s check out some player prop bets.
And as always, with the best odds.
Cade Klubnik – QB, Clemson Tigers
The Clemson Tigers are playing their best football in the waning weeks of the 2023 College Football season.
Clemson is on a three-game winning streak, which includes wins over then-No. 15 Notre Dame and then-No. 20 North Carolina.
This week, the Tigers won’t have to travel very far when visiting their in-state rival South Carolina Gamecocks.
South Carolina’s passing defense has been one of the worst all season, so a lighter throwing quarterback like Kublnik can find success this Saturday.
This 47 yards TD pass was a thing of beauty.
— PicksPro (@ThePicksPro) September 30, 2023
Cade Klubnik looking sharp so far.pic.twitter.com/VG1TYBGzIR
The Gamecocks’ defense is allowing an average of 260.5 passing yards per game, which is ranked 119th out of all 133 FBS College Football teams.
Clemson’s defense has allowed at least 20 points in seven of 11 games this season, so chances are that Spencer Rattler and South Carolina’s offense can record enough points to apply pressure on Klubnik to keep throwing.
In their last four games, the Gamecocks have allowed 589 rushing yards on 165 carries, which is only 3.56 yards per carry.
Klubnik will need to get the job done with his arm.
Pick: Klubnik – OVER 210.5 Passing Yards
Best Odds: (-115) DraftKings
Jalen Milroe – QB, Alabama Crimson Tide
Milroe has done a fine job escaping the pocket and picking up yards on the ground.
In 2023, Milroe is averaging just 33.2 rushing yards per game, but on occasion, he has clearly been the Crimson Tide’s most successful rusher, as evidenced by his 155 rushing yards and four touchdowns against LSU a few weeks ago.
Jalen Milroe in the 1st half vs. LSU
— 247Sports (@247Sports) November 5, 2023
-10/16
-165 passing yards
-102 rushing yards
-THREE rushing touchdowns
Alabama and LSU tied up at 21 🏈pic.twitter.com/095cojzI5n
This week’s SEC matchup against the Auburn Tigers is a prime opportunity for Milroe to show off his legs once again.
Auburn is ranked 82nd in the FBS in rushing defense, allowing an average of 164.7 rushing yards per game, and have typically given up a decent chunk of those yards to quarterbacks.
Here’s how opposing quarterbacks have run against Auburn’s defense over the last six games:
Auburn’s Opponent | Quarterback | QB Rushing Yards |
LSU | Jayden Daniels | 93 Yards |
Ole Miss | Jaxson Dart | 44 Yards |
Mississippi State | Mike Wright | 63 Yards |
Vanderbilt | Ken Seals | 20 Yards |
Arkansas | K.J. Jefferson | 50 Yards |
New Mexico State | Diego Pavia | 35 Yards |
That’s a total of 305 rushing yards against the Tigers’ defense, which is an average of 50.83 rushing yards per game to opposing QBs in that time.
A better than average mobile quarterback, like Milroe, could easily surpass 50 rushing yards against Auburn’s defense.
Pick: OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards
Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel
Marvin Harrison Jr. – WR, Ohio State Buckeyes
There are not a lot of stats that say Marvin Harrison Jr. will have a big game against the Michigan Wolverines this week.
And that makes sense, considering that Michigan has allowed a miniscule average of 144.8 passing yards per game, which is first in the NCAA.
There’s typically not many passing yards to go around against the Wolverines’ defense, but I still believe that Harrison can usurp the total of 83.5 receiving yards set on FanDuel.
MARVIN HARRISON JR.
— Bussin' With The Boys (@BussinWTB) October 21, 2023
Penn State must’ve forgot to game plan for him today.
11 catches (career high), 162 yards, and this TD pic.twitter.com/KrPDtc215o
Fun Fact: Only one receiver has tallied over 83.5 receiving yards against Michigan this season and it was wide receiver Christian Dremel of the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (85 Yards).
So, receivers don’t typically rack up yards against the Wolverines, but most receivers aren’t Marvin Harrison Jr. either.
For the first time this season, the Ohio State Buckeyes are underdogs on the spread, and with many expecting Michigan to knock down Ohio State, the Buckeyes may have more passing attempts than usual.
In Ohio State’s two biggest games of the season, quarterback Kyle McCord had his two highest passing attempt totals of the season, attempting 37 passes against then-No. 9 Notre Dame and 35 pass attempts against then-No. 7 Penn State.
In a game where McCord could attempt 40 or so passes, I feel comfortable backing his most targeted receiver in Harrison.
Pick: OVER 83.5 Receiving Yards
Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel
Bo Nix – QB, Oregon Ducks
Bo Nix has a very realistic shot of winning the 2023 Heisman Trophy.
To keep the trophy out of the hands of Jayden Daniels of LSU or Michael Penix of Washington, Nix will need to record gaudy numbers against the No. 16 Oregon State Beavers.
Oregon State’s passing defense is fairly average, allowing 233.9 passing yards per game (68th in NCAA), and it is the weaker point of their defense.
So, if the Ducks want to avoid another loss, it should come down to how well Nix performs.
Nix threw for six touchdowns last week before Oregon headed into the locker room for halftime, and he now has three straight games with four or more touchdown passes.
Nix may have to do it again on Saturday.
Bo Nix can't miss today
— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 18, 2023
pic.twitter.com/GwuVvaioUv
The Beavers have allowed some decent touchdown passing totals to a few quarterbacks, allowing four to Cameron Ward of Washington State and three to Noah Fifita of Arizona, so Nix has the opportunity to impress the Heisman voters one more time.
Pick: Nix – ALT Passing TDs: 4+
Best Odds: (+210) FanDuel
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