2022 College Football National Championship Odds
Is there a better day to bet than the day a College Football National Championship is getting crowned?
Well, it depends on your taste, but if you like College Football, this is your big event. The two best teams in the nation go head-to-head to see who reigns supreme at the collegiate level.
It also serves as a chance to say goodbye on a high for players who declare for the NFL Draft. It’s high stakes, high tension, high-level competition.
National Championship Betting Odds Explained
To get to the National Championship Game, the teams first have to endure the regular season and be able to get into the College Football Playoffs.
Only Division I teams can opt to get into the postseason. Out of them all, only four teams get to the playoffs, the winners of the semifinals advance to the National Championship game.
Entering the CFP is a tough task in its own right. To enter, a 13-member committee picks and seeds the four teams. The system to choose who enters is a Plus-One system.
The semifinal games take part in a six major bowl games rotation. The Cotton Bowl, Fiesta Bowl, Orange Bowl, Peach Bowl, Rose Bowl, and Sugar Bowl are the usual hosts of the CFP Semifinals.
These games are played on New Year’s Day. The National Championship game takes place on the first Monday, usually a week after the semifinals. Before we get into the teams favored to be here and pushing for the title, let’s see the selection process.
Out of the 13 members in the committee, there is one athletic director from each of the five biggest conferences. These are the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, and SEC.
The other people in the boardroom are former coaches, players, athletic directors, and administrators. The last spot goes to a retired member from the media.
Every week during the second half of the regular season, the committee releases a top 25 ranking. The top four teams come in order for the playoffs.
Among the criteria used, the strength of the schedule is one of the most relevant ones.
Conference championships, team records, and head-to-head results are taken into account. Other points like injuries and weather are minimal, but also a part of the selection process.
As a fun fact, 24 out of the 28 teams selected for the CFP have been undefeated or have one loss at best but were conference champions in the Power Five.
Alabama Crimson Tide – A perennial contender since Nick Saban arrived as head coach, the Crimson Tide has claimed 18 national titles. Since 2010, they have been champions five times.
Saban’s record at Bama per the time of writing is 175-23. Talk about dominance. Part of the SEC, specifically on the West bracket, Alabama, looks poised for a two-peat.
Their team has a lot of different names, mainly on the offensive side. No Mac Jones at QB, no Devonta Smith or Jaylen Waddle at wideouts, and no Najee Harris at RB.
Still, they are a top-tier program. Bryce Young is the new guy under center. He is in his second year. With a 71.3% passing completion, he is secure and averages 9.2 yards per attempt. He likes to throw it down.
It helps to have John Metchie as a receiver who had 916 yards last year and averaged 16.7 yards per catch, even more than what Heisman-winner Smith had. At RB, Brian Robinson Jr. is no Najee Harris but has the tools to break out this year in hopes of getting into the NFL.
The defense has a lot of names back, plus a massive linebacker of personnel. Bama has enough talent on D to keep the opposing offenses in a world of trouble.
Georgia Bulldog – Another SEC team, but from the Eastside, Georgia is a big-boy team for this season. The Georgia offense was good, but not the National Champions’ good.
Now, with JT Daniels as QB, the passing attack has taken a new dimension. Combine that with an above-average offensive line, and the offense might just be able to get over the hump.
However, the real reason they are this favored is their defense. The saying “defense wins championships” is something the Bulldogs want to make a reality.
Last year, only two teams were able to get over 360 yards, and only four got over 300. They have 18.5 sacks in the first five games in the season, and last year they finished first against the run.
Their secondary lost their two starting cornerbacks, but they got Derion Kendrick from Clemson. The secondary will still be a big unit, capable of canceling opposing passing offenses.
Not to mention their dangerous pass rush, one of the best in the nation. If the offense can match the defense, Georgia has a real shot at winning.
Ohio State – Another perennial contender in the College Football age is back at it. Ryan Day has a record of 27-3 as head coach for the Buckeyes. They already stumbled this year, but the Buckeyes can turn it around.
Of course, not having Justin Fields at QB complicates the task of repeating their offensive prowess. CJ Stroud is not a top-tier talent, but he is an effective leader in this offense. They have Chris Olave, a stud receiver who is a deadly deep threat.
Five starters are back from last year on the defensive side. However, their defense was okay at best in 2020. Their run defense is very good, though.
A good way to make your defense massively better is pressuring the opposing QB and nullifying the run game. Ohio State can make it, but can they do it at the highest of levels?
Oklahoma Sooners – The Sooners have the highest touted QB in the nation for the upcoming NFL Draft in Spencer Rattler.
However, his season hasn’t started as he would like to. Yes, the Sooners are unbeaten but Rattler has thrown 10 TDs to 4 INTs already. It’s not the best ratio for a guy who should be dominating defenses left and right, up and down, and center.
Lincoln Riley is a top-level head coach, even rumored to get to the NFL once upon a time. But this team beats itself. Oklahoma needs to end up undefeated when you look at their schedule.
As long as they don’t turn the ball over -as much- they should be fine. They have a lot of things coming their way. It might be a good year for them.
Cincinnati Bearcats – The Bearcats are the best team in the AAC beyond any doubt in 2021. However, it’s been a long time since the Bearcats defeated an over .500 Power Five program, six years to be exact.
Last year, they had their shot in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl against Georgia and failed. They have an unfair obligation right now to be perfect and dominant. Even doing so, it might not be enough for the Bearcats.
This team has the talent and experience to do well this season, and to get to the CFP. They are a fun team, with a very good QB in Desmond Ridder who has size, mobility, and a decent enough passing accuracy. Combine it with the threats like WR Michael Young Sr. and Alec Pierce make it a big offense.
Penn State – The Nittany Lions have to protect the ball. They really have to. They had 17 turnovers last season, and that’s not the way to cash the +2500 odds in their favor.
You cannot win the National Championship if you lose the turnover battle against top programs. This is not only a thing to get better in the offensive department, but in defense as well. They only had four picks in 2020.
Losing Micah Parsons is a big hole in the linebacker space, which is a bit of a problem, as they need to put pressure. They upped their level late last year, but you need to be consistent.
This is somewhat of a rebound season for Penn State after a 4-5 record last year. The silver lining was they ended on a high with four straight wins. It was a character-building type of season that needs to be projected at a high level in 2021.
It’s tough because their schedule throws them at Iowa, Ohio State, and Wisconsin, which makes it hard to see them winning the Big Ten title.
Michigan Wolverines – Let’s take Ohio State out of the equation because they are at a whole other level. It is not fair to put that pressure on the Wolverines. Of course, you’re Michigan and you HAVE to aim to beat Ohio State every once in a while. But Michigan has to understand who the juggernaut is.
It’s the other things that are problematic for the Wolverines. Things like struggling against bad sides, being blown out by Indiana, or outperformed by a lackluster Wisconsin. Those are the kind of performances that seed doubts on the Wolverines. It’s a bad sight.
This is especially bad because Jim Harbaugh has always been able to win against teams Michigan is supposed to beat.
For this season, the talent is there, they should be beating most teams, outside of, like, the elite ones. The realistic approach to this season is to get Michigan in a position where the last game of the regular season matters to them. Avoid the silly losses, overcome, and compete.
Iowa Hawkeye – 1922. That’s the last time the Hawkeyes had an unbeaten season. Per the time of writing, they are 5-0 in 2021 while commanding the Big Ten conference over Ohio State, to mention a few. Iowa’s offense is the key. They depend on how explosive they can be.
Their defense is solid enough, probably the best or one of the best in the Big Ten. Also, their offensive line will be good, because that’s what Iowa offensive lines are, good.
If the offense capitalizes on that, Iowa could be making some noise. They need a perfect season to cash on that +3500, though.
Oregon Duck – When we think of the usual four teams going into the CFP, the names that come to mind are Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Oklahoma most likely. However, if we base this on a talent-wise perspective, Georgia and yes, Oregon, have to be in the conversation.
In other words, the Ducks have a lot of NFL-ready talent. They have depth, the systems, and a friendly schedule to aim for the CFP for the first time since the now long-passed 2014 season.
They need to prove they are ready to be the best. And to be the best, you have to beat the best, and Oregon should do that once they are already in the CFP.
Texas Longhorns – A massive running game is what Texas brings to the table. It’s been a while since Texas has been a powerhouse in the NCAAF. Their schedule is too good for them. They should be winning plenty of games.
It’s time for the Longhorns to prove something after the hiring of Steve Sarkisian. They have high expectations, but can they handle the pressure? Can they win the Big 12? They need results.
Michigan State Spartans – Known for their tough defensive brand, the Spartans now have a decent offense as well. They are grinders to the highest of levels. If you support them, you’re going to sweat it out, but so far it’s working for them.
They leave no room for error; they cut their margin of mistakes, but the Spartans can’t hang with the best of the best. Going into tight games won’t work against the powerhouses of NCAAF.
Clemson Tigers – It’s been a while since Clemson was this low on the odds. It’s the post-Trevor Lawrence era, and that’s a tough thing to overcome in just one year. Can Clemson do it?
Well, the guy to lead them is new QB DJ Uiagelelei. He was a top-tier recruit who was the substitute of Trevor Lawrence last year.
Uiagelelei has the tough task to follow in the footsteps to keep the program relevant. The good thing for him is their wideout corps is more than okay. It’s explosive.
National Championship Handicapping
Look guys, handicapping is not an exact science. But, you can put yourself into a position where you can find an edge on the oddsmakers.
Bet Online On The National Championship Game
Like we said before, this is like Christmas for NCAAF bettors.
Sportsbooks know this, they throw big bonuses where you can boost your bets and win the big bucks without needing to throw the house out of the window. Large deposits will only multiply your possible winnings while mitigating risks.
By betting online, you also have access to lots and lots of markets, including pre-match, live betting, props, etc.
Last but not least, you can shop lines to find the best college football odds available to make the most of the reward. The best odds, the best payout. Simple.
Coaching Matters A Lot
College Football is a very strategic game. Yes, you can have a great head coach, but if your talent is limited, there is little to nothing you can do.
However, in the National Championship game, you have the best two programs. Here, coaching is the difference between winning and losing.
There’s a reason Nick Saban, Dabo Sweeney, Lincoln Riley, and others win the big bucks. They can be the difference makers. So don’t bet without considering what the coaching has looked like along the season.
Considering the National Championship is the result of a long season, you have a lot of footage to go and study. The resume matters, the fatigue matters, everything matters.
It’s not the same having to overcome one or two tough matches, than having to endure a tough conference. Take into consideration the programs that the two finalists faced.
Popular National Championship Bets
As always, remember, this is a massive game in real life, but in the betting world, it pays the same. So, it’s important for you to analyze and note which betting type is the one you need to choose.
These are some of the most popular ones:
Betting on the moneyline means you are putting your money on the straight-up winner of the game. The underdogs will get a plus number in the odds, while the favorites will have minus-odds attached to them.
For example, you would look something like this in a sportsbook.
- Alabama -170
- Ohio State +150
What this means is Alabama is the favorite. It implies that you have to lay $170 to win $100. For Ohio State, a $100 wager will win you $150.
In other words, the minus odds are what you need to risk to earn $100. The plus odds are what you’d be winning in a $100 bet.
In this type of bet, you’re betting on a team to win by an expected number of points. In the case of an underdog, it means they can win or lose by less than the projected points handicapped to the favorite.
Let’s take a look at an example.
- Alabama -5.5 (-110)
- Ohio State +5.5 (-110)
In this case, Alabama is favored to win by 5.5 points. This means that to win the spread, Bama needs to win by six points or more. Ohio State can win or lose by no more than five points and still cash.
Known as Over/Under bets. The sportsbook will come with a projected number of points to be scored between both teams.
You, as a totals bettor, will choose if the teams combine to go over or under that number. It looks like this:
- Alabama -5.5 (-110)
- Ohio State +5.5 (-110)
- Totals: 60.5
Don’t be scared to watch the totals be so high. It happens in College Football. Scores are too high compared to the NFL, for example.
Take into consideration the National Championship pits the best two teams. This means usually two prolific attacks are there.
National Championship Betting Strategy
There are some betting strategies you can use to approach the big game to put yourself in a better position to win. And now, we will present you with some of the strategies to bet on the National Championship game.
Stats Aren’t Everything
This comes hand in hand with our tip before the resumes. If a team has a lighter schedule on their way to the National Championship game, their stats will look even better than what they might actually be.
If you don’t face top opposition, and you are a top program, of course, you’re going to crush them. So run your analysis to a further point.
Lines Move, Get Going
If you are betting for the favorite, chances are betting early is the best option for you, because this means most bettors will put money on it. This will make the line get bigger, hence minimizing your chances of winning.
If you bet on the underdog, it’s the opposite. Wait until sharps shifts the line away from the underdog, buying yourself a margin of more points.