NBA Player Props For Wednesday | Feb. 28

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Feb 28, 2024

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There are only six games on the slate for Wednesday, but with 12 teams hitting the hardwood, bettors will still have a large number of player props from which to choose.

Whether bettors are backing superstars or ancillary role players, there will be options.

Yesterday, Dallas Mavericks’ guard Luka Doncic put up another superstar stat line, posting 45 points, nine rebounds, and 14 assists in the Mavericks’ loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The best odds for the over on Doncic’s pts+rebs+asts combo was over 50.5 at +100 on DraftKings.

Congrats to all bettors that backed Doncic to fill the stat sheet, compiling 68 pts+rebs+asts.

The Cavaliers stole the game on this last-second three point shot from Max Strus.

That three-pointer gave Strus 21 points on the night, and the best odds on the over for Strus’ points total was over 8.5 points at -125 on bet365.

Bettors should look for the best value available, superstar or not.

Let’s take a look at some player props for this Wednesday, and as always, all prop picks are paired with the best odds.

Brandon Ingram – SF, New Orleans Pelicans

The New Orleans Pelicans will visit the Indiana Pacers tonight, and with a high total of 238 points (over -108/under -112) at DraftKings, someone is going to score some points!

The Pacers have done a less-than-stellar job at defending small forwards, allowing an average of 22.8 points per game to small forwards this season.

Here’s a look at how starting small forwards have fared against Indiana over the last five games.

IND OpponentOpp. Small ForwardSF Points/GameSF Results vs. IND
Feb. 12: CharlotteCody Martin7.511 pts (5-8 FG)
Feb. 14 TorontoRJ Barrett19.123 pts (9-17 FG)
Feb. 22: DetroitSimone Fontecchio9.714 (6-12 FG)
Feb. 25: DallasJosh Green9.114 (6-8 FG)
Feb. 26: TorontoRJ Barrett19.124 (11-16 FG)

Those five starting small forwards averaged only 17.2 points, but they shot 37-of-61 (60.7%) from the field.

All five of those small forwards finished with more points than their season points per game, averaging 4.22 points more than their season average.

Pelicans’ small forward Brandon Ingram has been dealing with a bum ankle, but in his last two games since his return, he put up 22 points in 39 minutes against the Chicago Bulls, and 24 points in 34 minutes against the New York Knicks.

Ingram appears to be just fine for tonight’s game, and if he follows the pattern of recent small forwards and scores four points more than his season average, Ingram should score 25 points against the Pacers.

Pick: Ingram – OVER 21.5 Points

Best Odds: (-118) FanDuel

Evan Mobley – PF, Cleveland Cavaliers

The Chicago Bulls will host the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight, and that should be a promising matchup for the Cavs’ frontcourt.

Since the loss of power forward Patrick Williams, the 6-foot-6 DeMar DeRozan has essentially become Chicago’s starting power forward.

Derozan starting at the No. 4 spot on the floor has created a size problem for the Bulls.

Cleveland’s big men, center Jarrett Allen and power forward Evan Mobley, should take advantage of that.

In the 12 games without Williams, Chicago has allowed opposing power forwards to average 7.3 rebounds per game.

Mobley has been averaging 10.0 rebounds per game, and at 6-foot-11, being the biggest man on the floor should certainly give the USC product an edge over fellow USC product, DeMar Derozan.

Mobley is a double-double machine, picking up the stat combo in 53% of his starts, and he has a solid value of +155 at BetMGM for the double-double.

The opportunity to haul in a chunk or rebounds seems too good to ignore though.

Pick: Mobley – OVER 8.5 Rebounds

Best Odds: (-110) BetMGM

D’Angelo Russell – PG, Los Angeles Lakers

The Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers will duel in the Crypto.com Arena tonight.

In this dual home game, the Lakers and Clippers are a combined 40-16 at home, so this one should be a doozy.

The home team Clippers will look to defend the court, and they have struggled to string together wins lately, failing to win back-to-back games since February 5th.

If the Lakers are going to win the Battle of LA, they’ll need their offense firing on all cylinders and taking clean shots.

When it comes to ball movement and finding open shots, the Lakers are seventh in the NBA in assists, led by LeBron James’ 7.9 assists per game.

Second on the Lakers in assists is point guard D’Angelo Russell, with 6.4 assists per game, and in his last four games he is averaging 9.75 assists, largely buoyed by a 17 dime performance against the Utah Jazz on February 14th.

Even still, Russell has collected at least six assists in his last four games, and on Wednesday against the Clippers, he may be drawn up to pass more than shoot.

In two games against the Clippers this season, Russell has tallied 16 assists (8.0 apg), and I’m expecting the point guard to finish around eight assists again.

With an average of 6.4 assists per game, I like the over on Russell’s 5.5 assists.

Pick: Russell – OVER 5.5 Assists

Best Odds: (-111) FanDuel

Jakob Poeltl – C, Toronto Raptors

The Toronto Raptors host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and that creates a prime opportunity for the Raptors’ center Jakob Poeltl.

Dallas has allowed the fifth-most points to opposing centers this season (24.6 ppg) and the sixth-most rebounds (15.4 ppg).

Here’s how opposing centers have fared against the Mavericks in the last ten games, with centers that lead their respective team in minutes played:

DAL OpponentOpp. CenterCenters’ MinutesC Results
Feb. 3: MilwaukeeBobby Portis31 Minutes12 pts, 10 rebs
Feb. 5: PhiladelphiaPaul Reed22 Minutes2 pts, 6 rebs
Feb. 6: BrooklynNic Claxton34 Minutes9 pts, 11 rebs
Feb. 8: New YorkPrecious Achiuwa41 Minutes13 pts, 16 rebs
Feb. 10: Oklahoma CityChet Holmgren22 Minutes13 pts, 12 rebs
Feb. 12: WashingtonMarvin Bagley28 Minutes12 pts, 13 rebs
Feb. 14: San AntonioVictor Wembanyama27 Minutes26 pts, 9 rebs
Feb. 22: PhoenixJusuf Nurkic19 Minutes5 pts, 5 rebs
Feb. 25: IndianaMyles Turner29 Minutes33 pts, 8 rebs
Feb. 27: ClevelandJarrett Allen32 Minutes19 pts, 9 rebs

In those 10 games, opposing centers were averaging 14.4 points and 9.9 rebounds per game in 28.5 minutes.

There were also four double-doubles in those 10 games, with a few others just narrowly missing out.

Poeltl has picked up six double-doubles in his last 10 games, and is averaging 11.1 points and 8.6 rebounds in 26.6 minutes per game this season.

The Raptors are only 3.5-point underdogs tonight, and if they want to pull off the upset at home, they’ll need to win on the boards and in defensive mismatches against the Dallas frontcourt in the paint.

Poeltl is the man to get it done.

Pick: Poeltl – Double-Double

Best Odds: (+150) BetMGM

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About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and en...

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