New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: ALWC Game 1 Best Odds and Preview for October 5, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | October 4, 2021, 2:45 pm

The New York Yankees (92-70) visit the Boston Red Sox (92-70) in the AL Wild Card Game on Tuesday 8:08 PM ET at Fenway Park.

Gerrit Cole gets the starting nod for New York, and Nathan Eovaldi is Boston’s pick to start.

Best Odds for New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox.

Yankees Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have come away with 75 wins in the 133 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • New York and their opponents have hit the over in 69 of their 162 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Yankees have scored the 19th-most runs in the league this season with 711 (4.4 per game).
  • New York has played as the favorite in seven of its past 10 games and has gone 4-3 in those contests.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on four occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Cole makes the start for the Yankees, his 31st of the season. He is 16-8 with a 3.23 ERA and 243 strikeouts over 181 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Blue Jays, the right-hander threw six innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • In Cole’s 30 starts, his team is 16-14.
  • Cole has started 30 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 14 of them.

Key Players

Aaron Judge 148 .287 .373 .544 39 98 158
Giancarlo Stanton 139 .273 .354 .516 35 97 139
Joey Gallo 95 .223 .379 .490 25 55 69
Anthony Rizzo 92 .248 .346 .446 14 40 80
Anthony Rizzo 49 .249 .340 .428 8 21 43
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have won 28 of the 55 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50.9%).
  • Boston has played in 162 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-86-3).
  • The Red Sox score the fifth-most runs in baseball (829 total, 5.1 per game).
  • In the last 10 games, Boston was named the moneyline underdog by bookmakers only once, a game it lost.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Eovaldi (11-9) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 33rd start of the season. He’s put together a 3.75 ERA in 182 1/3 innings pitched, with 195 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Orioles, the right-hander tossed six scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • Eovaldi’s team is 19-13 over his 32 starts.
  • Eovaldi has had 32 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 16 of those matchups finished over the total.

Key Players

Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
José Iglesias 20 .356 .406 .508 1 7 21
Rafael Devers 156 .281 .354 .541 38 115 166
J.D. Martínez 148 .284 .348 .516 28 99 162
Xander Bogaerts 144 .295 .370 .493 23 79 156

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