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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: Best Odds and Preview for September 26, 2021

Willy Adames has 98 hits this season, and will try to collect his 100th when the Milwaukee Brewers (93-62) square off against the New York Mets (73-81) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Brewers are favored (-190) over the Mets (+160).

Freddy Peralta starts for Milwaukee while New York will counter with Carlos Carrasco.

Best Odds for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets.

Brewers Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have been chosen as favorites in 124 games this year and have walked away with the win 75 times (60.5%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee and their opponents have hit the over in 70 of their 155 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Brewers have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 707 (4.6 per game).
  • Milwaukee has been favored in 10 of its past 10 games and won four of those matchups.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to clear the total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Peralta goes for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Brewers, his 27th of the season. He is 9-5 with a 2.65 ERA and 190 strikeouts in 139 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Monday against the Cardinals, the righty went six innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Peralta’s team has put together a 17-9 record in his 26 starts.
  • Peralta has had 26 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 10 of those games finished over the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willy Adames 93 .287 .366 .519 18 54 98
Avisaíl García 129 .266 .327 .498 29 85 119
Kolten Wong 110 .274 .335 .452 14 49 117
Tyrone Taylor 85 .243 .316 .468 12 42 54
Eduardo Escobar 41 .256 .341 .442 6 20 40
See full review ›

Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 21-44 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 32.3% of those games).
  • New York has played in 154 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-82-8).
  • The Mets score the third-fewest runs in baseball (601 total, 3.9 per game).
  • In the last 10 games, New York was the moneyline underdog seven times, but lost each matchup.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Mets will send Carrasco (1-3) to the mound for his 11th start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 42 strikeouts over 44 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, Sept. 18, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Phillies, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Carrasco’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 10 contests.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 41 .303 .373 .538 9 20 44
Brandon Nimmo 83 .305 .414 .434 6 24 90
Pete Alonso 144 .255 .331 .508 35 89 136
J.D. Davis 72 .285 .381 .436 5 23 51
Javier Báez 91 .248 .290 .484 22 65 83

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