NBA Best Player Props Today – May 5th & 6th, 2025

The NBA Playoffs feature two games tonight and two tomorrow, and we’ve provided a player prop pick in this article for both evenings.

Two Game 1s are happening tonight. In the East, the No. 2 seed Boston Celtics host the No.3 New York Knicks.

In the West, the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder host the No. 4 Denver Nuggets.

Last night’s NBA action featured the No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors defeating the No. 2 Houston Rockets 103-89 away from home in a mouthwatering Game 7.

It’s still early, but a small shockwave was sent through the Eastern Conference after the 4-seed Indiana Pacers upset the No. 1 seed Cleveland Cavaliers 121-112 despite being 8.5-point underdogs.

Our player prop tips below are for Chet Holmgren (OKC vs. DEN, tonight at 9:30 p.m. ET) and Draymond Green (GS at MIN, May 6 at 9:30 p.m. ET).

Remember to bet responsibly and keep a watchful eye on your bankroll.

Note: All odds were correct at the time of writing.

Chet Holmgren Under 2.5 Blocks (-120) at Hard Rock Bet

The 2022 No. 2 overall pick has gone under this line in seven of his last 10 games (70%) and has averaged 2.44 blocks during that span.

He’s also failed to hit the mark in 13 of his past 17 (76.47%), with his average lowering to 1.7 blocks in that period.

The 7-foot-1 center and power forward plays a lot as the Thunder’s primary rim protector. He’ll face a Denver squad that allowed opposing centers to record the seventh-fewest blocks (1.79 per game) during the regular season.

During the regular season, Holmgren averaged 2.2 blocks per game. The Gonzaga product is coming off a four-block performance in a tightly contested 117-115 Game 4 win over the Grizzlies on April 26.

He’s failed to record back-to-back games of over 2.5 blocks in his past 18 games.

Oklahoma City is listed as 9.5-point favorites against Denver, so there is a chance a blowout will occur and the starters will be pulled early.

The Nuggets endured a long seven-game series against the Clippers and could be winded.

Hard Rock Bet features valuable odds of -120 for this bet compared to every other book featuring the line at a steeper price.

Odds Comparison for Holmgren under 2.5 blocks

Sportsbook	Blocks Line (Under)	Odds
Hard Rock Bet	2.5	-120
bet365	2.5	-125
BetMGM	2.5	-125
DraftKings	2.5	-130
Fliff	2.5	-135
FanDuel	2.5	-136

Draymond Green Under 15.5 Pts and Rbs (-110) at BetMGM

Green had a great game in the Warriors’ win over the Rockets on Sunday and accumulated 22 points and rebounds, but he outperformed his usual stat line by a significant amount.

The Michigan State product has gone under 15.5 points and rebounds in eight of his previous 10 games (80%) and averaged 13.2 during that span.

Green’s points and rebounds: Last 10 games

• 22 (at HOU)
• 13 (vs. HOU)
• 8 (at HOU)
• 14 (vs. HOU)
• 15 (vs. HOU)
• 13 at HOU)
• 10 (at HOU)
• 10 (vs. MEM)
• 17 (vs. LAC)
• 10 (at POR)

Green has also gone under the mark in 11 of his past 15 contests (73.3%).

While undersized at 6-foot-6, Green plays both center and power forward depending on the lineup. He’ll face Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert (7-foot-1), Julius Randle (6-foot-10 and Naz Reid (6-foot-9).

His opponent this week, Minnesota, ranks seventh best in the NBA in terms of allowing the fewest points (20.45) and rebounds (14.32) to opposing centers as a collective group. 

Against power forwards, Minnesota does even better, allowing the third-fewest rebounds per game (9.48) and fourth-fewest points (21.32).

Over the course of his past eight games against top 10 ranked defenses against rebounds, Green has gone under 15.5 points and rebounds on seven occasions (88%).

During the regular season, Green averaged 15.1 points and rebounds per game, and so far in the postseason, 13.1.

The Timberwolves are listed as six-point favorites on the spread and if oddsmakers are correct and it stays close, Green will likely receive his usual healthy workload if he can stay out of foul trouble.

There is a chance the Warriors get blown out after playing an exhausting seven-game series, whereas the Wolves have had plenty of rest after taking care of the Lakers in five games.

Minnesota last played on April 30.

Fatigue for the 35-year-old is another factor to consider. Green is coming off a 40-minute Game 7 and a 37-minute Game 6, which are much higher than his season average of 29.2 minutes per game.

BetMGM’s odds of -110 for Green to record under 15.5 points and rebounds are the best price of any sportsbook. Two sportsbooks in the table below actually feature his line at 14.5 at worse odds.

For context on the value of this line, it was also listed on an offshore sportsbook (which we don’t recommend using) with a line of 14.5 and odds of -135 to go under.

Odds Comparison for Green under 15.5 points and rebounds

Sportsbook	Pts and Rebs Line (Under)	Odds
BetMGM	15.5	-110
bet365	15.5	-115
Caesars	15.5	-117
DraftKings	15.5	-125
Fliff	14.5	-115
FanDuel	14.5	-130