NFL Week 5 Featured Games and How to Bet Them

Over the first four weeks of the season, NFL ATS bettors have watched underdogs cash in at a 56.3% rate. (34-26-4) Over the last two weeks, the dogs have covered the spread at an impressive 65% clip. (20-10-2) Last week, the Browns, Giants, Cowboys, Jaguars, Patriots, and Panthers were all plus money on the ML (moneyline) and won outright.  Will Week 5 of the NFL schedule continue the underdog theme, or will this be the week when the betting favorites punch back?

Chicago Bears (3-1 ATS) at Green Bay Packers (1-3 ATS)

Location: Lambeau Field, Wisconsin Start Time: Sunday, Oct 11th, 1pm EST Point Spread: CHI -2.5 Over / Under: +45.5 Moneyline: CHI -130 Divisional games are always fun.  These two teams know each other well, having met 213 times. Currently, the Packers hold the all-time edge, with a 108-96-6 record.  However, it is the 3-1 Bears who arrive at Lambeau Field as the -2.5 road favorite. Fun Betting Stats to Know:

• Divisional underdogs are 12-5 ATS this year, and 9-8 straight up.
• In Week 1, the Bears (with Caleb Williams) scored 59 points. They have scored a combined 53 points in their last three games
• Green Bay has failed to score more than 23 points in any of their four games this season

San Francisco 49ers (3-1 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1-2 ATS)

Location: Lumen Field, Seattle Start Time: Sunday, Oct 11th, 425pm EST Point Spread: SEA -3 Over / Under: +46.5 Moneyline: SEA -170 I may have mentioned this before, but divisional games are always fun!  The NFC West is the toughest division in all of football. Currently, the 49ers (+950 to win the Super Bowl) and Seahawks (+950 to win the Super Bowl) are both 3-1 and tied at the top of the division.  However, the 2-2 LA Rams (+650) are the current betting favourites to win the Super Bowl.  That is one tough division.  Fun Betting Stats to Know 

• 49ers QB Brock Purdy is currently second in MVP Odds at +410 (FanDuel)
• San Francisco has a point differential of +58 through four games (best in NFL)
• Seahawks have scored 30 or more points in three consecutive games

Always Shop Around

Knowing where to bet on NFL games matters for both sharp and recreational players. San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy was once known as Mr. Irrelevant, the last player selected (262nd) in the 2022 NFL draft. Now, Purdy is no longer called Mr. Irrelevant and is instead a serious MVP threat.  NFL MVP Odds 

Player	DraftKings	BetRivers	FanDuel
Brock Purdy	+300	+350	+400

Our odds table above is another great example of why a sports bettor’s single greatest advantage is to shop around and play only the best odds available. A $10 wager on Purdy to win MVP at DraftKings pays out $30 in profit.  That same $10 bet at FanDuel pays an additional $10 in profit, a 5% edge for the bettor. A 5% advantage on one specific wager may not seem like much, but over time those edges add up and could be the difference between profitability or being just another recreational bettor.