Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans: Best Odds and Preview for Week 4


By BestOdds Analyst | September 27, 2021, 8:38 pm

The Buffalo Bills (2-1) are considered favorites (-16.5) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game versus the Houston Texans (1-2) on October 3, 2021, starting at 1:00 PM ET. An over/under of 48 points has been set for the matchup.

Best odds for Bills vs. Texans

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NFL matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans in which the Texans are currently the pick to cover the spread at sportsbooks based on money wagered, yet the Bills have picked up a majority of the total number of tickets wagered.

Bills Vs. Texans Spread Betting Action

Bills vs Texans Moneyline Action
Bills Texans
Bet % 51% 49%
Stake % 45% 55%

Buffalo stats and betting info

Betting trends for Buffalo

  • Buffalo is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • One of Buffalo’s three games with a set total has hit the over (33.3%).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 269.3 (808) 12
Rush yards 127.3 (382) 7
Points scored 31.3 (94) 4
Pass yards against 194.0 (582) 5
Rush yards against 74.7 (224) 7
Points allowed 14.7 (44) 5

Key players for Buffalo

  • Josh Allen leads Buffalo with 807 yards (269.0 ypg) on 79-of-127 passing with seven touchdowns and one interception this season. He also has 88 rushing yards on 18 carries while scoring one touchdown on the ground.
  • Devin Singletary has carried the ball 35 times for a team-high 180 yards on the ground and has found the end zone one time.
  • Cole Beasley’s leads his squad with 194 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 23 receptions (out of 30 targets).
  • Emmanuel Sanders has put together a 194-yard season so far with two touchdowns, hauling in 11 passes on 20 targets.
  • Stefon Diggs’ 19 catches have turned into 191 yards and one touchdown.

Buffalo injuries

Bills: Mario Addison: Questionable (Knee), Zack Moss: Questionable (Toe), Del’Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadricep)

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Houston stats and betting info

Betting trends for Houston

  • Houston has covered the spread twice in three opportunities this year.
  • Two of Houston’s three games with a set total have hit the over (66.7%).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 228.7 (686) 24
Rush yards 94.7 (284) 22
Points scored 22.3 (67) 18
Pass yards against 283.0 (849) 23
Rush yards against 116.3 (349) 18
Points allowed 25.3 (76) 18

Key players for Houston

  • Mark Ingram II has rushed for 147 yards on 46 carries so far this year while scoring one time on the ground.
  • David Johnson has racked up 46 yards on 11 carries.
  • Brandin Cooks has racked up 322 receiving yards on 23 receptions to pace his squad so far this season while scoring one touchdown as a receiver.
  • Pharaoh Brown has collected 67 receiving yards (22.3 yards per game) on four receptions.
  • Jordan Akins’ five catches (on nine targets) have netted him 49 yards (16.3 ypg).

Houston injuries

Texans: Peter Kalambayi: Questionable (Hamstring), Cullen Gillaspia: Questionable (Hamstring)

Pick for Bills vs. Texans

Bet split data provided by regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis points to the Texans being favored to cover the spread against the Bills.

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