NFL Week 17 Odds

The Christmas season is here and that’s quite a gift for NFL fans this week. Christmas Day brings two games on Netflix, hopefully minus the buffering issues experienced…

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Published:Dec 31, 2021
Updated:Dec 24, 2024
Sean ChaffinSenior Writer

Both of those should be good matchups, with the Steelers hosting the Chiefs and the Texans hosting the Ravens. On Thursday, the Seahawks then travel to the Bears to take on Chicago.

It’s then a weekend football feast with a triple-header on Saturday and more action on Sunday, then the Lions and 49ers battling on Monday Night Football. The playoff push continues with just two weeks remaining in the regular season.

Celebrate the season with some holiday cheer and tune in to see how those wagers turn out. Here’s what to watch for in this massive week of football.

Matchups to Watch

Playoff positioning continues this week. The Ravens (10-5) are still in second behind the Steelers (10-5) in the AFC North, despite a big win at home last week against Pittsburgh.

Baltimore heads to Houston this week and will be seeking a win to stay in the race for the division title.

The one-two punch of Lamar Jackson (207 passing yards, 3 TDs) and Derrick Henry (162 rushing yards) continue to deliver for the Ravens.

The Texans (9-6) will be looking to bounce back from an 8-point loss in Kansas City.

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has come back to earth a bit after a huge rookie season. In 15 games played last season, he amassed 4,108 passing yards with 23 TDs and just 5 interceptions.

Through the same number of games this year, the TDs have dropped a bit to 19 with less than 3,500 yards, and the interceptions have more than doubled to 11.

Here’s a look at some other matchups to watch this week.

  • Falcons (8-7) at Commanders (8-7) – The Falcons moved into the top spot in the NFC South after an unexpected loss by the Buccaneers in Dallas. Atlanta has feasted on struggling teams in wins over the last two weeks (Giants, Raiders) and have a much tougher customer in this one. The Commanders put up a nice win last week at home against the Eagles with Jayden Daniels throwing five TDs.
  • Chiefs (14-1) at Steelers (10-5) – The Chiefs don’t have much to play for, but the Steelers can’t afford a loss if they want to stay ahead of the Ravens and win the AFC North. Baltimore exposed some real chinks in the Steelers’ defensive armor, chalking up 418 yards of total offense. The Chiefs just keep finding ways to win and Patrick Mahomes looked no worse for wear after some ankle injury concerns.
  • Packers (10-4, as of Monday) at Vikings (13-2) – The Vikings have clinched a spot in the playoffs, but this should be a tasty NFC North showdown. The Packers are also virtually a lock to be in the postseason as well. Look for plenty of big hits as these two rivals duke it out.

Week 17 NFL Odds

Ready to make those selections for this week?

Here’s a look at this week’s odds, courtesy of DraftKings (as of Monday, Dec. 23).

MatchupBetting LineMoneylineTotal
Chiefs at SteelersChiefs -2.5Chiefs -142
Steelers +120
43
Ravens at TexansRavens -4Ravens -218
Texans +180
47.5
Seahawks at BearsSeahawks -3Seahawks -175
Bears +145
42.5
Chargers at PatriotsChargers -4.5Chargers -230
Patriots +190
43
Broncos at BengalsBengals -3Broncos +144
Bengals -160
48.5
Cardinals at RamsRams -5.5Cardinals +200
Rams -245
49
Jets at BillsBills -9.5Jets +360
Bills -470
47.5
Colts at GiantsColts -8Colts -455
Giants +350
40.5
Packers at VikingsVikings -2Packers +105
Vikings -125
48
Panthers at BuccaneersBuccaneers -7.5Panthers +285
Buccaneers -360
48.5
Raiders at SaintsSaints -2.5Raiders +110
Saints -130
39.5
Titans at JaguarsJaguars -1Titans -102
Jaguars -118
39.5
Dolphins at BrownsDolphins -5.5Dolphins -205
Browns +250
40.5
Cowboys at EaglesEagles -7Cowboys +270
Eagles -340
42.5
Falcons at CommandersCommanders -5Falcons +170
Commanders -205 
47
Lions at 49ersLions -4Lions -198
49ers +164
51.5

Interesting Prop Bets

Last week, Lions QB Jared Goff passed for 336 yards and 3 TDs in a 34-17 win over the Bears, bouncing back from a tough loss against the Bills a week earlier. Our pick on two or more passing TDs paid off at -175.

For this week’s prop bet, look for Ravens running back Derrick Henry to top the 100-yard rushing mark at +105 against a pretty average Texans rush defense. He’s not just been good against sub-par defenses this season, but also against some solid units.

We have some more Week 17 Prop Picks from Lawrence, take a look if you want to see who he’s betting on this week!

Picks for the People

We hit on every over last week and produced a solid 6-3 record, just missing on the Vikings win by a half point.

This moved our overall season record to 67-48 with six straight winning weeks. Here’s a look at where to make those bets this week.

  • Ravens (10-5) at Texans (9-6) – The Ravens have the top offense in the league and are scoring more than 30 points per game. The Texans aren’t too shabby either and look for this one to go over the 47.5.
  • Seahawks (8-7) at Bears (4-11) – Seattle is on the playoff bubble and at least has something to play for. Bears QB Celab WIlliams had a solid game last week against the Lions (334 yards, 2 TDs). But can he repeat that? And the Bears offense still struggles mightily to score. Take Seattle to win by more than 3.
  • Chargers (9-6) at Patriots (3-12) – The Chargers put up 34 points on the Broncos last Thursday and have had some extra rest. There is not much room for error for the squad to grab one of the remaining AFC. Look for L.A. to get the job done with a big effort and win by more than the 4.5 point spread. 
  • Colts (7-8) at Giants (2-13) – Indianapolis is inconsistent as the record indicates, but is amazingly still in the playoff hunt, albeit with some help needed. That should at least serve as enough motivation to blow out the lowly Giants by more than 8.
  • Panthers (4-11) at Buccaneers (8-7) – Look for enough scoring to go over the 48.5 total. The Bucs should be dialing up the offense to try and snag a playoff spot.
  • Packers (10-2) at Vikings (13-2) – Another shootout that should top the 48-point total.
  • Raiders (3-12) at Saints – New Orleans may not have much, but at least has enough to beat the struggling Raiders by more than 2.5.
  • Lions at 49ers – Detroit returned to form last week and quarterback Jared Goff looks like a real MVP contender. The injury-ravaged Niners have lost five of the last six and look for the Lions to hit the accelerator with another win by more than 4.

Lawrence’s Week 17 Parlay Picks will be coming soon, so watch out for those if you follow his tips.

Good luck with our own picks this week and have a great holiday season!

About the Author: Sean Chaffin

Sean Chaffin is a freelance writer and former teacher in Ruidoso, New Mexico. He has covered poker and casino gaming for many years, and is a big football fan. Follow him @PokerTraditions.

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