NFL Wild Card Round Parlay

We’ve put together a three-leg alternate yards parlay featuring George Pickens (PIT at BAL), Jayden Daniels (WAS at TB) and Justin Jefferson (MIN at LAR).

Pickens plays on Saturday (8 p.m. ET), Daniels on Sunday (8 p.m. ET) and Jefferson on Monday (8 p.m. ET).

Read our Wild Card NFL odds and prop picks for more information regarding this weekend’s slate.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Wild Card Weekend Parlay: Alternate Yards

Pickens 25+ rec yds, Daniels 175+ pass yds and Jefferson 60+ rec yds (-136 at FanDuel)

Pickens’ Outlook (25+ Receiving Yards)

The Steelers WR1 had his worst game of the entire season last week against Cincinnati after recording just one catch for six yards.

Pickens couldn’t get on the same page as quarterback Russell Wilson but did have six targets.

It was his first game this year not accruing 25 or more receiving yards. He’s recorded at least 25 yards in 13-of-14 (92.85%) contests and is averaging 64.3 yards per game.

Aside from this past week, Pickens hasn’t recorded less than 48 yards with Wilson as his signal-caller.

He’s clearly the most talented pass catcher on the Steelers, and since Week 7, when Wilson took over as the starter, Pickens has averaged 7.1 targets per game, a 30.6% first-read share and a 75.4% catchable target rate.

In his previous matchup against Baltimore, he collected eight receptions for 89 yards on 12 targets.

The Ravens have allowed the fourth-most yards to opposing wide receiver rooms (166.29) and are seventh-worst defending the pass (surrendering 237.4 yards per contest).

Pittsburgh is a 9.5-point underdog to Baltimore, and if oddsmakers are accurate, a pass-heavy game script could occur due to potentially playing from behind, which would benefit Pickens.

The majority of bookmakers feature Pickens’ regular receiving yards total between 53.5 and 55.5 yards for this game.

Daniels’ Outlook (175+ Pass Yards)

Daniels is the frontrunner for NFL Rookie of the Year thanks to leading the Commanders to a 12-5 record and a playoff berth.

Throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns and just nine interceptions, along with the fourth-highest quarterback rating in the league (70.4), helps his case.

The dual-threat quarterback also ran for 891 yards and six scores.

Daniels previously faced Tampa Bay in Week 1 (his regular-season debut) and threw for 184 yards.

In this game, he rushed the ball 16 times, which he’s only done once against Atlanta in a contest that went to overtime.

It’s unlikely he’ll run this much against Tampa Bay, which would increase his pass attempts and opportunities to attain pass yards.

Since then, he’s become much more comfortable as a passer against NFL-caliber defenses with a regular season under his belt.

Excluding Week 6 against Carolina, when he left injured early in the first quarter, and Week 18, when he barely played due to head coach Dan Quinn wanting to rest the starters for the playoffs, Daniels has thrown for 175 or more yards in 15/15 games.

The 2023 Heisman Trophy winner faces a nice matchup against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed an average of 250.4 pass yards per game (third-most in the NFL).

Opposing teams have also recorded 175 or more pass yards in 16/17 (94.1%) outings versus the Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay’s opponents averaged 36.94 pass attempts per game, which is the second-most in the league.

The Bucs are three-point favorites, so the Commanders may be forced to throw frequently if they end up trailing, which helps Daniels accumulate pass yards.

Depending on the sportsbook, Daniels’ regular pass yards total is set between 232.5 and 235.5 yards for this outing.

Jefferson’s Outlook (60+ Receiving Yards)

Jefferson finished with the second-most receiving yards (1,533) in the NFL during the regular season behind his former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase (1,708).

Many analysts and fans in the NFL world consider Jefferson to be the best wide receiver in the league over the past few seasons.

The three-time Pro Bowler averaged 90.2 receiving yards per game and recorded 60 or more receiving yards in 13/17 (76.4%) contests.

Los Angeles previously faced Jefferson in Week 8 and allowed him to record eight receptions for 115 yards on nine targets against its secondary.

Jefferson is projected to line up against the following Rams defenders: Ahkello Witherspoon (70% catch rate), Quentin Lake (65% catch rate) and Darious Williams (64% catch rate).

While he’s often double-teamed, Jefferson’s volume (8.8 targets per game average) and yards per catch average (14.9) don’t usually make it difficult to reach 60 yards receiving.

His volume has increased over the past month, averaging 11.75 targets per outing.

Most sportsbooks list Jefferson’s standard receiving total at 91.5 yards against the Rams.

Parlay Odds Comparison

The odds for this parlay hold much more value at FanDuel compared to DraftKings. The yardage selections were unable to be combined at other bookmakers.

Sportsbook	Odds
FanDuel	-136
DraftKings	-175