49ers vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay | Week 12

If the 6-4 Seahawks can pull off a win against the 7-3 49ers, the NFC West will be all tied up at the top.

It may be a difficult task for Seattle, considering that starting quarterback Geno Smith is currently dealing with a triceps injury and running back Kenneth Walker III is suffering from an oblique issue.

Seahawks’ wide receiver DK Metcalf is also listed as ‘questionable’ with a toe injury and was listed as a non-participant in Tuesday’s practice, so Metcalf is another potential absence to monitor prior to kickoff.

For this Thanksgiving Night divisional rivalry, I’ll be placing a Same Game Parlay on FanDuel.

Brock Purdy – OVER 250.5 Passing Yards AND OVER 1.5 TD Passes

Purdy is averaging 266.2 passing yards per game, and against the Seahawks’ 22nd-ranked passing defense, he has a good shot at hitting the over on his 250.5 yards prop.

In the last four games, Purdy has thrown for a chunk of yards, eclipsing the 300-yard mark twice and averaging 316.5 passing yards per game.

Brock Purdy season ranks

NFL Rank
Pass Rating 115.1 1st
Comp pct 70.2% 1st
TD/Att 6.5% 1st
Yards/Att 9.7 1st
Yards/Comp 13.8 1st pic.twitter.com/EdrEsr7aZ0

— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 21, 2023

Purdy also has back-to-back games of three touchdown passes, so collecting two on Thursday is certainly within reach.

The 49ers had a three-game losing streak prior to their Week 9 bye, but out of the bye week, they’re 2-0 with a combined score of 61-17.

This is largely due to the ridiculously strong play from Purdy.

This is the same Seahawks’ defense that allowed Andy Dalton of the Carolina Panthers to throw for 361 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3.

Week 3 was a while ago, but lapses in Seattle’s secondary reappear from time to time.

Sam Howell of the Commanders just posted 312 yards and three touchdowns against the Seahawks two weeks ago.

Purdy has a good matchup to record a nice Thanksgiving Night.

Pick: Purdy – OVER 250.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Pick: Purdy – OVER 1.5 TD Passes (-148)

Christian McCaffrey – OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards AND Any Time Touchdown

I believe the game script will eventually call for the 49ers to run out the clock on a big lead, so I would expect McCaffrey to receive plenty of carries in this one.

Similar to last week, San Francisco took a commanding lead against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and McCaffrey saw 21 carries.

It was the fourth game of the season in which McCaffrey saw 20 or more carries.

Here’s a quick look at how McCaffrey has fared when taking 20 or more carries:

In those four games with a heavy workload on the ground, McCaffrey is averaging 113 yards and 1.25 rushing touchdowns.

Seattle allowed 77 rushing yards to Royce Freeman of the Los Angeles Rams last week, so McCaffrey collecting 80 yards on the ground seems like a likely result.

Pick: McCaffrey – OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Pick: McCaffrey – Any Time Touchdown

George Kittle – OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards AND Any Time Touchdown

In the Seahawks’ last five games, they have allowed a total of 34 catches for 339 yards and one touchdown to tight ends.

That’s an average of 6.8 catches and 67.8 yards per game to tight ends in the last five weeks.

Kittle collecting six catches for 60 yards against Seattle on Thursday is a realistic result, and BestOdds EDGE projects the 49ers’ explosive tight end for 56 receiving yards.

Kittle would only need 49 yards to hit the over on his receiving yards prop, which is a number he has reached in six of 10 games this season.

Kittle has been producing big numbers of late, benefitting heavily from Purdy’s recent surge.

In the last four games, Kittle is averaging 6.25 catches and 108 receiving yards, and he has scored touchdowns in each of the last two games.

The Purdy-to-Kittle connection is on fire right now, and I’m going to stick with it until it cools off.

Pick: Kittle – OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Pick: Kittle – Any Time Touchdown (+170)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba – OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards

Chances are that Seattle will be playing from behind for the majority of this game.

That’s just what I’m assuming from a game script I’ve played out in my own head.

If that scenario is as likely as I believe it to be, then there should be plenty of pass attempts coming from the arm of the Seahawks’ quarterback; whoever it may be.

If DK Metcalf is limited, or in street clothes on the sideline, I like Jaxon Smith-Njigba to make an impact for Seattle’s offense.

This chart, courtesy of BetsOdds EDGE, shows how Smith-Njigba has been performing against his receiving yards props.

Smith-Njigba is typically hitting the over on his props, and in the last five games, he is averaging 51 receiving yards per game.

The rookie receiver should see enough targets, and make enough catches, to go over his 36.5 receiving yards prop.

Pick: Smith-Njigba – OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

A $10 wager on this Same Game Parlay would win $267.89!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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