How Quickly Do NHL Betting Odds React to Blockbuster Trades?
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Updated:
Malcolm DarnleySenior Writer
Brian Deschamps
Fact Checker
The Connor Hellebuyck trade saga has finally ended, and the one-time Winnipeg Jets goalie will now be the starting netminder for the New Jersey Devils. Below, we detail how the betting market reacted to the blockbuster trade announcement.
Hellebuyck Trade Saga Timeline
- Early summer, 2026 – Connor Hellebuyck privately tells the Winnipeg Jets he wants to be traded
- August, 2026 – After two months with no trade, Hellebuyck goes public with his trade request
- September, 2026 – The 2020, 2024, 2025 Vezina Trophy Winner does not report to training camp and is suspended without pay by the team
- October, 2026 – Hellebuyck tells the Jets he will now report to the team, meaning the Jets will once again have to pay him
- October 23, 2026 – The Jets deal Connor Hellebuyck to the New Jersey Devils for four players and two draft picks.
New Jersey Devils Betting Odds Drop Quickly
Connor Hellebuyck has won three Vezina Trophies (Best Goalie), a Hart Trophy (League MVP), and an Olympic Gold Medal. When the trade was announced, the market reacted quickly.
- NHL Odds on New Jersey to win the Stanley Cup dropped from +2500 to +1400 within hours, if not sooner, after the trade was completed.
- The Devils saw a similar drop in their odds to win the Eastern Conference.
- Sportsbooks believe in Hellebuyck enough that they no longer offer odds on New Jersey to make the playoffs.
New Jersey Devils Betting Odds Comparables
- Before the trade, the Devils were +2500. For comparison, bet365 currently has Ottawa and Montreal both at +2500 to win the Stanley Cup.
- New Jersey is now +1400 to win the Cup. The Minnesota Wild (+1200), Washington Capitals (+1600), and Dallas Stars (+1600) are now comparable teams in betting odds.
What Impact Will Dylan Larkin Have
If you want to beat the market and predict where Dylan Larkin will eventually be traded, below are the top four potential trade partners, according to my Google AI Overview.
Bettors should remember that Larkin is still a quality player, but the odds will not be impacted as much as they were after the Hellebuyck trade. Share page
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