Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 2:39 am

Paul Bunyan’s Axe is the prize when the No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (8-3, 0-0 Big Ten) and Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-4, 0-0 Big Ten) clash on Saturday, November 27, 2021 at Huntington Bank Stadium. The Badgers are 6.5-point favorites. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 39.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Wisconsin stats and betting info

Betting trends for Wisconsin

  • Wisconsin has a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Badgers have a 4-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.
  • Wisconsin games have hit the over in six out of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
  • This season, Wisconsin and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under of 39 points seven times.
  • This season, the average total for Badgers games is 42.7 points, 3.7 more than the over/under of 39 points for this contest.
  • The Badgers collect 390.3 yards per game, 100.8 more yards than the 289.5 the Golden Gophers give up per matchup.
  • In games that Wisconsin totals more than 289.5 yards, the team is 7-2 overall.
  • The Badgers have turned the ball over 21 times this season, seven more turnovers than the Golden Gophers have forced (14).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 161.3 (1774) 118
Rush yards 229.0 (2519) 9
Points scored 27.0 (297) 76
Pass yards against 173.5 (1908) 6
Rush yards against 64.3 (707) 1
Points allowed 15.8 (174) 5

Key players for Wisconsin

  • Graham Mertz has thrown for 1,650 yards (150.0 ypg) to lead Wisconsin, completing 59.3% of his passes and collecting nine touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season.
  • Braelon Allen’s team-high 1,062 rushing yards (96.5 per game) have come on 140 carries, with 12 touchdowns this year.
  • Danny Davis III’s team-leading 418 receiving yards (38.0 yards per game) have come on 27 receptions with two touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.5
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Minnesota stats and betting info

Betting trends for Minnesota

  • Minnesota’s ATS record is 6-5-0 this year.
  • The Golden Gophers are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • Out of Minnesota’s 11 games with a set total, six have hit the over (54.5%).
  • Seven of Minnesota’s games finished with a combined score over 39 points this season.
  • A difference of 9.8 points separates the average total points bet in Golden Gophers’ games (48.8 points) and this matchup’s over/under (39 points).
  • The Golden Gophers average 130.4 more yards per game (368.1) than the Badgers allow per outing (237.7).
  • When Minnesota amasses over 237.7 yards, the team is 7-4.
  • The Golden Gophers have turned the ball over 10 times, 11 fewer times than the Badgers have forced turnovers (21).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 163.5 (1798) 117
Rush yards 204.6 (2251) 23
Points scored 26.4 (290) 79
Pass yards against 185.9 (2045) 14
Rush yards against 103.6 (1140) 11
Points allowed 18.7 (206) 13

Key players for Minnesota

  • Tanner Morgan has 1,736 passing yards (157.8 ypg) to lead Minnesota, completing 58.8% of his passes and collecting nine touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season.
  • Ky Thomas has carried the ball 127 times for a team-high 625 yards (56.8 per game), with four touchdowns this year.
  • Chris Autman-Bell’s 453 receiving yards (41.2 yards per game) lead the team. He has 33 receptions with five touchdowns.

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