Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 14, 2021, 8:41 pm

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-4, 0-0 C-USA) and Florida Atlantic Owls (5-5, 0-0 C-USA) will face off in a battle of two conference rivals. The Hilltoppers are heavy favorites (-11). An over/under of 64.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Western Kentucky stats and betting info

Betting trends for Western Kentucky

  • Western Kentucky has a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Hilltoppers are 4-1 against the spread when favored by 11 points or more this season.
  • In Western Kentucky’s nine games with a set total, six have hit the over (66.7%).
  • Western Kentucky and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Saturday’s over/under of 64.5 points four times this season.
  • The Hilltoppers have seen a 66.3 average over/under in their games this season, 1.8 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Hilltoppers rack up 126.9 more yards per game (520.8) than the Owls allow per contest (393.9).
  • Western Kentucky is 5-4 overall when the team picks up over 393.9 yards.
  • This year, the Hilltoppers have 13 turnovers, three fewer than the Owls have takeaways (16).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 422.3 (4223) 1
Rush yards 98.5 (985) 122
Points scored 41.4 (414) 7
Pass yards against 265.7 (2657) 110
Rush yards against 165.3 (1653) 84
Points allowed 28.6 (286) 82

Key players for Western Kentucky

  • Bailey Zappe leads Western Kentucky with 4,156 passing yards (415.6 ypg) on 343-of-484 passing with 42 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season.
  • Adam Cofield’s team-high 337 rushing yards (33.7 per game) have come on 67 carries, with four touchdowns this year.
  • Jerreth Sterns’ 1,368 receiving yards (136.8 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 111 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Florida Atlantic stats and betting info

Betting trends for Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic is 4-5-1 ATS this season.
  • The Owls are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 11 points or more this year.
  • Three of Florida Atlantic’s 10 games with a set total have hit the over (30%).
  • This season, just one Florida Atlantic game has ended with more combined scoring than Saturday’s total of 64.5.
  • A difference of 12.5 points separates this game’s over/under (64.5 points) and the average total points bet in Owls’ games (52.0 points) this season.
  • The Owls rack up 411.0 yards per game, 20.0 fewer yards than the 431.0 the Hilltoppers allow.
  • When Florida Atlantic piles up more than 431.0 yards, the team is 3-1.
  • The Owls have 14 giveaways this season, while the Hilltoppers have 22 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 237.8 (2378) 63
Rush yards 173.2 (1732) 58
Points scored 27.1 (271) 71
Pass yards against 228.2 (2282) 63
Rush yards against 165.7 (1657) 86
Points allowed 23.0 (230) 48

Key players for Florida Atlantic

  • N’Kosi Perry leads Florida Atlantic with 2,230 passing yards (223.0 ypg) on 159-of-269 passing with 17 touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season. He also adds 171 rushing yards (17.1 ypg) on 92 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
  • The team’s top rusher, Johnny Ford, has carried the ball 109 times for 735 yards (73.5 per game), with five touchdowns this year. He’s also caught 17 passes for 225 yards (22.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • LaJohntay Wester’s team-leading 560 receiving yards (56.0 yards per game) have come on 45 receptions with four touchdowns.

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