Western Illinois vs. Northern Iowa Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 19, 2021, 2:52 pm

The Northern Iowa Panthers (5-5, 0-0 MVFC) and Western Illinois Leathernecks (2-8, 0-0 MVFC) will meet in a battle of two conference rivals. The Panthers are big favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -18.5). The game has an over/under of 55.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Northern Iowa stats and betting info

Betting trends for Northern Iowa

  • Northern Iowa is 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • Out of Northern Iowa’s eight games with a set total, four have hit the over (50%).
  • This season, Northern Iowa games have hit the over on this game’s 55.5-point over/under just once.
  • This season the average total for Panthers games is 44.3 points, 11.2 fewer than the over/under of 55.5 points for this contest.
  • The Panthers rack up just 12.9 fewer yards per game (27.5) than the Leathernecks give up per outing (40.4).
  • The Panthers have turned the ball over one more time (2 total) than the Leathernecks have forced a turnover (1) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 212.3 (2123) 57
Rush yards 134.1 (1341) 80
Points scored 24.9 (249) 65
Pass yards against 217.3 (2173) 72
Rush yards against 96.2 (962) 14
Points allowed 19.4 (194) 22

Key players for Northern Iowa

  • Theo Day has thrown for 1,886 yards (188.6 ypg) to lead Northern Iowa, completing 55.8% of his passes and recording 14 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season.
  • Dom Williams’ team-high 512 rushing yards (51.2 per game) have come on 94 carries, with three touchdowns this year.
  • Isaiah Weston’s 765 receiving yards (76.5 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 31 receptions and five touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Western Illinois stats and betting info

Betting trends for Western Illinois

  • Western Illinois has a 4-4-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Leathernecks have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 18.5 points or more this year (0-1-1).
  • Five of Western Illinois’ nine games with a set total have hit the over (55.6%).
  • This season, seven games Western Illinois played finished with a combined score over 55.5 points.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 3.9 points fewer than the average over/under in Leathernecks’ games this season (59.4 points).
  • The Leathernecks rack up only 10.2 more yards per game (43.7) than the Panthers give up (33.5).
  • The Leathernecks have turned the ball over one more time (1 total) than the Panthers have forced a turnover (0) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 314.7 (3147) 8
Rush yards 72.9 (729) 126
Points scored 26.5 (265) 55
Pass yards against 246.4 (2464) 101
Rush yards against 207.5 (2075) 120
Points allowed 38.6 (386) 120

Key players for Western Illinois

  • Connor Sampson has thrown for 3,019 yards (301.9 ypg) to lead Western Illinois, completing 64.4% of his passes and recording 22 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season.
  • Myles Wanza’s team-high 476 rushing yards (47.6 per game) have come on 99 carries, with three touchdowns this year.
  • Dennis Houston’s team-leading 986 receiving yards (98.6 yards per game) have come on 85 receptions with six touchdowns.

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