UNLV vs. Air Force Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 4:41 pm

The Air Force Falcons (8-3, 0-0 MWC) are big favorites — expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -17.5) — versus the UNLV Rebels (2-9, 0-0 MWC) in a battle of two conference rivals. An over/under of 50 points has been established for the matchup.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Air Force stats and betting info

Betting trends for Air Force

  • Air Force is 7-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • Air Force has gone over in four of its 10 games with a set total (40%).
  • Air Force and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday’s total (50 points) three times this season.
  • This season the average total for Falcons games is 46.8 points, 3.2 fewer than the over/under of 50 points for this contest.
  • The Falcons rack up only 15.7 more yards per game (415.9) than the Rebels allow per outing (400.2).
  • Air Force is 5-2 overall when the team piles up over 400.2 yards.
  • This year, the Falcons have 10 turnovers, six fewer than the Rebels have takeaways (16).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 90.0 (990) 129
Rush yards 325.9 (3585) 1
Points scored 29.5 (324) 62
Pass yards against 199.4 (2193) 22
Rush yards against 95.5 (1051) 6
Points allowed 19.5 (215) 18

Key players for Air Force

  • Haaziq Daniels has thrown for 932 yards (84.7 ypg) to lead Air Force, completing 45.7% of his passes and tossing five touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s also run for 698 yards (63.5 ypg) on 139 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
  • Brad Roberts’ team-high 1,181 rushing yards (107.4 per game) have come on 263 carries, with 11 touchdowns this year.
  • Brandon Lewis’ 447 receiving yards (40.6 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 16 receptions and one touchdown.
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UNLV stats and betting info

Betting trends for UNLV

  • UNLV is 7-3-0 ATS this season.
  • The Rebels have a 3-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 17.5 points or more this season.
  • UNLV has gone over in five of its 10 games with a set total (50%).
  • This season, four of UNLV’s games have ended with a score higher than 50 points.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 3.1 points fewer than the average over/under in Rebels’ games this season (53.1 points).
  • The Rebels rack up 320.8 yards per game, 25.9 more yards than the 294.9 the Falcons allow.
  • UNLV is 2-6 overall when the team picks up more than 294.9 yards.
  • The Rebels have turned the ball over six more times (20 total) than the Falcons have forced a turnover (14) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 209.4 (2303) 89
Rush yards 111.5 (1226) 115
Points scored 21.4 (235) 109
Pass yards against 259.4 (2853) 107
Rush yards against 140.8 (1549) 51
Points allowed 31.5 (346) 99

Key players for UNLV

  • Cameron Friel has thrown for 1,608 yards (146.2 ypg) to lead UNLV, completing 62.4% of his passes and collecting six touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season.
  • Charles Williams’ team-high 1,124 rushing yards (102.2 per game) have come on 238 carries, with 13 touchdowns this year. He’s also added 192 yards (17.5 per game) on 12 catches.
  • Steve Jenkins’ 683 receiving yards (62.1 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 44 receptions and four touchdowns.

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