UMass vs. New Mexico State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 12:38 am

The New Mexico State Aggies (1-10) and UMass Minutemen (1-10) will meet in a matchup of two conference rivals. The Aggies are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6). The expected point total for the game is 58.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

New Mexico State stats and betting info

Betting trends for New Mexico State

  • New Mexico State has a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Out of New Mexico State’s 11 games with a set total, six have hit the over (54.5%).
  • Eight New Mexico State games this season have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 58.5 points.
  • This season, the average total for Aggies games is 60.0 points, 1.5 more than the over/under of 58.5 points for this contest.
  • The Aggies average 124.0 fewer yards per game (347.9), than the Minutemen allow per matchup (471.9).
  • The Aggies have turned the ball over 16 times this season, five more turnovers than the Minutemen have forced (11).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 255.7 (2813) 44
Rush yards 92.2 (1014) 125
Points scored 20.6 (227) 114
Pass yards against 309.7 (3407) 129
Rush yards against 186.7 (2054) 104
Points allowed 41.6 (458) 128

Key players for New Mexico State

  • Jonah Johnson has thrown for 2,282 yards (207.5 ypg) to lead New Mexico State, completing 56.9% of his passes and tossing eight touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 146 rushing yards (13.3 ypg) on 121 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Juwuan Price’s team-high 514 rushing yards (46.7 per game) have come on 110 carries, with six touchdowns this year.
  • Jared Wyatt’s 503 receiving yards (45.7 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 43 receptions and two touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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UMass stats and betting info

Betting trends for UMass

  • So far this year, UMass has put together a 4-7-0 record against the spread.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 6 points or more, the Minutemen have a 3-5 record against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in six of UMass’ 11 games with a set total .
  • Four of UMass’ games ended with a combined score higher than 58.5 points this season.
  • Minutemen games have an over/under of 57.6 points this season, 0.9 points fewer than the total points bet for this contest.
  • The Minutemen average 206.0 fewer yards per game (290.5) than the Aggies allow (496.5).
  • This year the Minutemen have turned the ball over 20 times, one more than the Aggies’ takeaways (19).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 156.0 (1716) 120
Rush yards 134.5 (1480) 92
Points scored 15.4 (169) 128
Pass yards against 234.1 (2575) 73
Rush yards against 237.8 (2616) 126
Points allowed 43.0 (473) 130

Key players for UMass

  • Brady Olson leads UMass with 1,153 passing yards (104.8 ypg) on 104-of-216 passing with eight touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season.
  • Ellis Merriweather’s team-high 968 rushing yards (88.0 per game) have come on 195 carries, with three touchdowns this year.
  • Rico Arnold’s 384 receiving yards (34.9 yards per game) lead the team. He has 25 receptions with two touchdowns.

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