Tulsa vs. SMU Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 2:40 am

The SMU Mustangs (8-3, 0-0 AAC) and Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-6, 0-0 AAC) will face off in a matchup of two conference rivals. The Mustangs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). An over/under of 62 points has been set for the matchup.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

SMU stats and betting info

Betting trends for SMU

  • SMU is 5-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Mustangs have a 4-2 record against the spread.
  • SMU games have gone over the point total in five out of 10 opportunities (50%).
  • SMU and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (62 points) six times this season.
  • This season, the average total for Mustangs games is 66.0 points, 4.0 more than the over/under of 62 points for this contest.
  • The Mustangs rack up 93.4 more yards per game (471.5) than the Golden Hurricane allow per outing (378.1).
  • In games that SMU totals over 378.1 yards, the team is 8-0 overall.
  • The Mustangs have turned the ball over two more times (16 total) than the Golden Hurricane have forced a turnover (14) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 305.1 (3356) 16
Rush yards 166.4 (1830) 63
Points scored 39.1 (430) 9
Pass yards against 281.2 (3093) 124
Rush yards against 137.1 (1508) 47
Points allowed 27.9 (307) 82

Key players for SMU

  • Tanner Mordecai has 3,330 passing yards (302.7 ypg) to lead SMU, completing 69.1% of his passes and collecting 38 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. He’s also chipped in on the ground with 182 rushing yards (16.5 ypg) on 65 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Tre Siggers has carried the ball 147 times for a team-high 727 yards (66.1 per game), with nine touchdowns this year.
  • Danny Gray’s 803 receiving yards (73.0 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 49 receptions and nine touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Tulsa stats and betting info

Betting trends for Tulsa

  • Tulsa has a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Golden Hurricane are 3-0 against the spread.
  • Tulsa has hit the over in seven of its 10 games with a set total (70%).
  • Three of Tulsa’s games finished with a combined score over 62 points this season.
  • The over/under for this contest is 6.6 points more than the average over/under in Golden Hurricane’s games this season (55.4 points).
  • The Golden Hurricane collect 21.2 more yards per game (439.5) than the Mustangs allow (418.3).
  • Tulsa is 3-3 overall when the team piles up over 418.3 yards.
  • This year the Golden Hurricane have turned the ball over 21 times, eight more than the Mustangs’ takeaways (13).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 246.6 (2713) 56
Rush yards 192.9 (2122) 38
Points scored 25.4 (279) 91
Pass yards against 225.7 (2483) 62
Rush yards against 152.4 (1676) 67
Points allowed 27.1 (298) 74

Key players for Tulsa

  • Davis Brin has thrown for 2,713 yards (246.6 ypg) to lead Tulsa, completing 59.1% of his passes and tossing 15 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions this season.
  • Shamari Brooks’ team-high 851 rushing yards (77.4 per game) have come on 174 carries, with six touchdowns this year.
  • Josh Johnson’s team-high 841 receiving yards (76.5 yards per game) have come on 68 receptions with four touchdowns.

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