Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 10:46 pm

The Toronto Blue Jays (88-71) and the Baltimore Orioles (52-107) square off on Friday in game 1 of a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:07 PM ET from Rogers Centre.

Toronto has Steven Matz expected to start, while Baltimore has not named a starter.

Best Odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles.

Blue Jays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 107 games this season and have come away with the win 60 times (56.1%) in those contests.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 69 of their 159 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays have scored the third-most runs in the league this season with 816.
  • Toronto has played as the favorite in eight of its past 10 games and has gone 3-5 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to clear the total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Matz gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 29th of the season. He is 13-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 139 strikeouts through 143 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday, Sept. 23, the left-hander went three innings against the Twins, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Over Matz’s 28 starts, his team is 14-14.
  • Matz’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 14 of 28 contests.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 158 .313 .402 .596 46 107 185
Marcus Semien 159 .266 .337 .541 44 101 170
Teoscar Hernández 139 .296 .345 .522 31 112 159
George Springer 75 .249 .340 .519 19 41 71
Bo Bichette 156 .297 .343 .478 28 101 186
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Orioles Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have compiled a 47-98 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 32.4% of those games).
  • Baltimore has had an over/under set by bookmakers 159 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 77 of those games (77-76-6).
  • The Orioles score the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (650 total, 4.1 per game).
  • Baltimore has a 4-3 record over the seven games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings — all of which had a set run total — the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nick Ciuffo 1 .333 .333 .667 0 0 1
Cedric Mullins 154 .295 .364 .527 30 59 174
Tyler Nevin 3 .286 .444 .429 0 2 2
Ryan Mountcastle 141 .255 .310 .492 33 89 133
Austin Hays 127 .255 .304 .464 22 70 122

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