Texas State vs. Arkansas State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 10:39 pm

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-9, 0-0 Sun Belt) are slim favorites (-2) against the Texas State Bobcats (3-8, 0-0 Sun Belt) in a matchup of two conference rivals. An over/under of 61.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Arkansas State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Arkansas State

  • Arkansas State has a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In Arkansas State’s 10 games with a set total, three have hit the over (30%).
  • Arkansas State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under (61.5 points) five times this season.
  • On average, the Red Wolves have seen a 66.4 over/under in their games this season, 4.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Red Wolves collect 40.4 fewer yards per game (388.3), than the Bobcats allow per outing (428.7).
  • When Arkansas State churns out over 428.7 yards, the team is 2-2.
  • The Red Wolves have turned the ball over 22 times this season, 10 more turnovers than the Bobcats have forced (12).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 316.4 (3480) 12
Rush yards 71.9 (791) 128
Points scored 25.5 (281) 89
Pass yards against 255.5 (2811) 103
Rush yards against 266.4 (2930) 130
Points allowed 39.9 (439) 126

Key players for Arkansas State

  • Layne Hatcher has 2,146 passing yards (195.1 ypg) to lead Arkansas State, completing 57.9% of his passes and throwing 17 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions this season.
  • Lincoln Pare’s team-high 373 rushing yards (33.9 per game) have come on 93 carries, with one touchdown this year. He’s also added 26 catches for 280 yards (25.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Te’vailance Hunt’s 748 receiving yards (68.0 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s registered 52 receptions and six touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Texas State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Texas State

  • Texas State is 6-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 2-point underdogs this year, the Bobcats are 5-3 against the spread.
  • Texas State games have gone over the point total in five out of 11 opportunities (45.5%).
  • There have been four Texas State games that have ended with a combined score over 61.5 points this season.
  • Bobcats games have an over/under of 57.3 points this season, 4.2 points fewer than the total points bet for this game.
  • The Bobcats average 177.3 fewer yards per game (344.6) than the Red Wolves give up (521.9).
  • This year the Bobcats have turned the ball over 20 times, three more than the Red Wolves’ takeaways (17).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 199.5 (2194) 102
Rush yards 145.2 (1597) 83
Points scored 23.0 (253) 104
Pass yards against 244.0 (2684) 91
Rush yards against 184.7 (2032) 102
Points allowed 34.0 (374) 115

Key players for Texas State

  • Brady McBride has 1,508 passing yards (137.1 ypg) to lead Texas State, completing 59.6% of his passes and collecting 12 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. He’s also contributed on the ground with 143 rushing yards (13.0 ypg) on 77 carries with one rushing touchdown.
  • The team’s top rusher, Calvin Hill, has carried the ball 116 times for 585 yards (53.2 per game), with two touchdowns this year.
  • Javen Banks’ team-high 545 receiving yards (49.5 yards per game) have come on 36 receptions with five touchdowns.

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