Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 19, 2021, 2:56 pm

The Alabama State Hornets (3-6, 0-0 SWAC) are small favorites (-2.5) against the Texas Southern Tigers (3-7, 0-0 SWAC) in a battle of two conference rivals. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 63.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Alabama State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Alabama State

  • Alabama State’s ATS record is 3-5-0 this season.
  • The Hornets have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 2.5 points or more this season (0-1).
  • Four of Alabama State’s eight games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • This season, Alabama State games have gone over this game’s 63.5-point over/under just twice.
  • On average, the over/under in Hornets games is 12.7 points fewer than the over/under of 63.5 points in this contest.
  • The Hornets average 113.8 fewer yards per game (19.6), than the Tigers allow per matchup (133.4).
  • The Hornets have two giveaways this season, while the Tigers have three takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 189.6 (1706) 86
Rush yards 93.2 (839) 114
Points scored 19.2 (173) 110
Pass yards against 202.8 (1825) 51
Rush yards against 139.6 (1256) 49
Points allowed 31.1 (280) 93

Key players for Alabama State

  • Ryan Nettles has thrown for 1,183 yards (131.4 ypg) to lead Alabama State, completing 59.3% of his passes and collecting 10 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 104 rushing yards (11.6 ypg) on 44 carries with one rushing touchdown.
  • The team’s top rusher, Ezra Gray, has carried the ball 88 times for 335 yards (37.2 per game), with two touchdowns this year.
  • Jeremiah Hixon’s team-high 496 receiving yards (55.1 yards per game) have come on 38 receptions with four touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Texas Southern stats and betting info

Betting trends for Texas Southern

  • So far this season, Texas Southern has put together a 3-5-0 record against the spread.
  • The Tigers have a 2-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in seven of Texas Southern’s eight games with a set total .
  • Six of Texas Southern’s games ended with a combined score higher than 63.5 points this season.
  • A difference of 3.4 points separates this game’s over/under (63.5 points) and the average total points bet in Tigers’ games (60.1 points) this season.
  • The Tigers collect 74.2 yards per game, just 14.4 more than the 59.8 the Hornets allow.
  • In games that Texas Southern churns out over 59.8 yards, the team is 0-2.
  • The Tigers have turned the ball over two times this season, one more turnover than the Hornets have forced (1).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 250.3 (2503) 28
Rush yards 187.7 (1877) 21
Points scored 33.8 (338) 17
Pass yards against 259.6 (2596) 114
Rush yards against 201.1 (2011) 116
Points allowed 37.3 (373) 116

Key players for Texas Southern

  • Andrew Body has thrown for 2,049 yards (204.9 ypg) to lead Texas Southern, completing 60.8% of his passes and collecting 13 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s also run for 509 yards (50.9 ypg) on 90 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • LaDarius Owens’ team-high 608 rushing yards (60.8 per game) have come on 71 carries, with three touchdowns this year.
  • Ke’Lenn Davis’ team-leading 909 receiving yards (90.9 yards per game) have come on 49 receptions with four touchdowns.

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