Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: Best Odds and Preview for September 5, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 4, 2021, 7:48 pm

Luis Arraez has 99 hits this season, and will try to notch his 100th when his Minnesota Twins (58-77) take on the Tampa Bay Rays (86-50) on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET. The Twins are the underdog (+174) in this contest against the Rays (-201).

Tampa Bay’s Luis Patino starts against Minnesota’s Griffin Jax.

Best Odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins in which the Rays are currently the pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Rays vs Twins Moneyline Action

Rays vs Twins Moneyline Action
Rays Twins
% of Bets 97% 3%
% of Stake 68% 32%

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won in 59, or 66.3%, of the 89 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Tampa Bay and their opponents have gone over in 72 of their 134 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays have scored the most runs (728) in baseball so far this year.
  • Tampa Bay has played as the favorite in nine of its past 10 games and has gone 7-2 in those contests.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on four occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Patino gets the start for the Rays, his 12th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.24 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 57 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Monday against the Red Sox, when the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • Over Patiño’s 11 starts, his team is 6-5.
  • Patiño has had 11 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.

Key Players

Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .359 .537 19 50 87
Mike Zunino 88 .204 .299 .538 27 51 56
Brandon Lowe 128 .231 .327 .497 32 79 105
Randy Arozarena 119 .273 .349 .466 19 61 123
Wander Franco 57 .278 .340 .458 7 36 63
BestOdds rating 9.4
$1,001 In Free Bets

Twins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Twins have been the moneyline underdog 62 total times this season. They’ve gone 25-37 in those games.
  • Minnesota has played in 134 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-53-5).
  • The Twins score the 16th-most runs in baseball (609 total, 4.5 per game).
  • Minnesota played as the moneyline underdog in seven of its last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Twins will send Jax (3-3) out to make his ninth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 6.71 ERA and 44 strikeouts through 53 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander went five innings against the Brewers, giving up six earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In Jax’s eight starts, his team is 4-4.
  • Jax has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those games finished over the total.

Key Players

Byron Buxton 35 .301 .345 .617 10 19 40
Jorge Polanco 125 .280 .337 .508 26 82 136
Josh Donaldson 108 .251 .350 .478 21 59 91
Miguel Sanó 109 .218 .304 .459 24 62 82
Max Kepler 97 .212 .305 .427 16 46 74

Pick for Rays vs. Twins

Betting split data provided by regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis favors the Rays to win over the Twins.

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