Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: ALDS Game 4 Best Odds and Preview for October 11, 2021


By Claudio Fortuna | October 10, 2021, 11:45 pm

Two of MLB’s most productive power hitters go head-to-head when the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) and the Boston Red Sox (92-70) play at 7:07 PM ET on Monday at Fenway Park. Brandon Lowe has 39 homers (sixth in the league) for the favored Rays (-115), and Rafael Devers ranks 10th in MLB play with 38 dingers this season for the Red Sox (-105).

Both teams have not named a starter.

Best Odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox.

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have been favorites in 103 games this season and have come away with the win 66 times (64.1%) in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 81 of their 160 opportunities.
  • The Rays have scored the second-most runs in the league this season with 857.
  • Tampa Bay has been favored four times over their past 10 contests and won all of those games.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on two occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Brandon Lowe 149 .247 .340 .523 39 99 132
Mike Zunino 105 .216 .301 .559 33 62 72
Randy Arozarena 141 .274 .356 .459 20 69 145
Wander Franco 70 .288 .347 .463 7 39 81
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have gone 28-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50.9% of those games).
  • In the 162 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-86-3).
  • The Red Sox are the fifth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 5.1 runs per game (829 total).
  • Over the last 10 games, Boston was named the moneyline underdog by bookmakers only one time, a game it lost.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Rafael Devers 156 .281 .354 .541 38 115 166
J.D. Martínez 148 .284 .348 .516 28 99 162
Xander Bogaerts 144 .295 .370 .493 23 79 156
Travis Shaw 25 .238 .319 .524 3 11 10

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