Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: ALDS Game 2 Best Odds and Preview for October 8, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | October 7, 2021, 11:45 pm

Brandon Lowe and Rafael Devers face off in a showdown of top-10 sluggers when the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) and the Boston Red Sox (92-70) play at 7:02 PM ET on Friday. Lowe has 39 homers (sixth in the league) for the favored Rays (-120), while Devers is 10th in MLB play with 38 home runs this season for the underdog Red Sox (+100).

Tampa Bay has Shane Baz starting, while Boston will counter with Chris Sale.

Best Odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox.

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won in 66, or 64.1%, of the 103 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 81 of their 160 opportunities.
  • The Rays have scored 857 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB.
  • Tampa Bay has been the favorite in four of their last 10 contests and won each of those games.
  • When it comes to the total, the Rays and their opponents are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Baz (2-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rays, his fourth of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Yankees, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up one hit.
  • Baz’s team has won all three of his starts this season.
  • Baz’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of three contests.

Key Players

Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Brandon Lowe 149 .247 .340 .523 39 99 132
Mike Zunino 105 .216 .301 .559 33 62 72
Randy Arozarena 141 .274 .356 .459 20 69 145
Wander Franco 70 .288 .347 .463 7 39 81
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 28-27 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50.9% of those games).
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times this season for a 73-86-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Red Sox are the fifth-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 5.1 runs per game (829 total).
  • Boston has been named the moneyline underdog by oddsmakers only one time in the last 10 games, and lost that matchup.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Sale (5-1) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.16 ERA in 42 2/3 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Nationals, the left-hander threw 2 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Sale’s team has won seven of his nine starts.
  • Sale’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in nine games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Rafael Devers 156 .281 .354 .541 38 115 166
J.D. Martínez 148 .284 .348 .516 28 99 162
Xander Bogaerts 144 .295 .370 .493 23 79 156
Travis Shaw 25 .238 .319 .524 3 11 10

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