Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: ALDS Game 1 Best Odds and Preview for October 7, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | October 6, 2021, 8:45 am

The Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) take on the Boston Red Sox (92-70) to open the ALDS on Thursday 8:07 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

Boston has not named a starter while Tampa Bay is expected to start Shane McClanahan.

Best Odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox.

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have been victorous in 66, or 64.1%, of the 103 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Contests with Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 81 of 160 chances this season.
  • The Rays are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking second with 857 total runs this season.
  • Tampa Bay has been the favorite in four of their last 10 contests and won each of those games.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Rays and their opponents have combined to clear the total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • McClanahan (10-6) gets the starting nod for the Rays in his 26th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.43 ERA in 123 1/3 innings pitched, with 141 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last appeared on Friday against the Yankees, when he threw three innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • McClanahan’s team is 15-10 over his 25 starts.
  • McClanahan’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 25 contests.

Key Players

Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Brandon Lowe 149 .247 .340 .523 39 99 132
Mike Zunino 105 .216 .301 .559 33 62 72
Randy Arozarena 141 .274 .356 .459 20 69 145
Wander Franco 70 .288 .347 .463 7 39 81
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have compiled a 28-27 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50.9% of those games).
  • Boston has played in 162 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-86-3).
  • The Red Sox score the fifth-most runs in baseball (829 total, 5.1 per game).
  • Over the last 10 games, Boston has been named the moneyline underdog by oddsmakers only one time, a game it lost.
  • Over their last 10 matchups — all of which had a set run total — the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Connor Wong 5 .308 .357 .538 0 1 4
Rafael Devers 156 .281 .354 .541 38 115 166
Xander Bogaerts 144 .295 .370 .493 23 79 156
Travis Shaw 25 .238 .319 .524 3 11 10

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