Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Odds & Game Analysis | NFL Week 12 Predictions


By Ed Winchester | November 22, 2021, 8:40 pm

The Indianapolis Colts (6-5) will be trying to extend a three-game winning streak against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3). Despite that, the Buccaneers are slight favorites (-2.5). The game has an over/under of 51 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NFL matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Indianapolis Colts in which the Buccaneers are currently the pick to cover the spread at sportsbooks based on money wagered, yet the Colts have picked up a majority of the total number of tickets wagered.

Buccaneers Vs. Colts Spread Betting Action

Buccaneers vs Colts Moneyline Action
Buccaneers Colts
Bet % 48% 52%
Stake % 63% 37%

Tampa Bay stats and betting info

Betting trends for Tampa Bay

  • Tampa Bay has a 3-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers have a 3-5 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
  • Five of Tampa Bay’s nine games with a set total have hit the over (55.6%).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 325.1 (2926) 1
Rush yards 90.9 (818) 26
Points scored 31.0 (279) 9
Pass yards against 267.9 (2411) 22
Rush yards against 79.8 (718) 1
Points allowed 23.6 (212) 19

Key players for Tampa Bay

  • Tom Brady has 2,870 pass yards for Tampa Bay, completing 67.4% of his passes and tossing 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions this season.
  • Leonard Fournette has racked up 486 yards on 112 carries while finding the end zone four times as a runner. He’s also caught 38 passes for 284 yards (31.6 per game).
  • Ronald Jones II has carried the ball 44 times for 194 yards (21.6 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Chris Godwin’s leads his squad with 717 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 57 catches (out of 77 targets) and scored four touchdowns.
  • Mike Evans has caught 41 passes for 606 yards (67.3 yards per game) and nine touchdowns this year.
  • Antonio Brown has racked up 29 grabs for 418 yards, an average of 46.4 yards per game. He’s scored four times as a receiver this season.

Tampa Bay injuries

Buccaneers: Donovan Smith: Questionable (Ankle), Jamel Dean: Out (Concussion), Ali Marpet: Questionable (Concussion), Tanner Hudson: Out (Not Injury Related), A.Q. Shipley: Out (Neck)

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Indianapolis stats and betting info

Betting trends for Indianapolis

  • Indianapolis’ ATS record is 7-4-0 this season.
  • The Colts are 5-2 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
  • The teams have hit the over in seven of Indianapolis’ 11 games with a set total.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 228.1 (2509) 23
Rush yards 147.9 (1627) 4
Points scored 28.1 (309) 2
Pass yards against 260.1 (2861) 16
Rush yards against 111.6 (1228) 15
Points allowed 22.3 (245) 12

Key players for Indianapolis

  • Carson Wentz has compiled 2,484 yards (225.8 per game) while completing 63% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes with three interceptions this season. He’s also rushed for 138 yards with one touchdown.
  • Jonathan Taylor’s team-high 1,122 rushing yards have come on 193 carries, with 13 touchdowns. He also leads the team with 322 receiving yards (29.3 per game) on 32 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Nyheim Hines has run for 234 yards across 47 carries, scoring two touchdowns. He’s chipped in with 26 catches for 204 yards.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has totaled 57 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 752 (68.4 yards per game). He’s been targeted 81 times and has and five touchdowns.
  • Zach Pascal has recorded 328 receiving yards (29.8 yards per game) and three touchdowns on 32 receptions.

Indianapolis injuries

Colts: Quenton Nelson: Questionable (Back), Bobby Okereke: Out (Ankle), Ryan Kelly: Questionable (Neck), Anthony Walker: Questionable (Ribs), Philip Rivers: Questionable (Toe), Khari Willis: Questionable (Ribs), Isaiah Rodgers: Questionable (Knee), Zach Pascal: Questionable (Knee)

Pick for Buccaneers vs. Colts

Betting split data provided by regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth games analysis points to the Buccaneers being favored to cover the spread against the Colts.

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