Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: Best Odds and Preview for Week 2


By BestOdds Analyst | September 13, 2021, 8:38 pm

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) and Atlanta Falcons (0-1) will face off in a battle of two division rivals. The Buccaneers are heavy favorites (-12.5). The total for this one is set at 52 points.

Best odds for Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NFL matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons in which the Buccaneers are currently the clear pick among bettors to cover the spread.

Buccaneers Vs. Falcons Spread Betting Action

Buccaneers vs Falcons Moneyline Action
Buccaneers Falcons
Bet % 78% 22%
Stake % 86% 14%

Tampa Bay stats and betting info

Betting trends for Tampa Bay

  • Tampa Bay won nine games against the spread last season, while failing to cover seven times.
  • The Buccaneers were favored by 12.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents combined to go over the point total nine out of 16 times last season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 298.5 (4776) 4
Rush yards 94.9 (1519) 28
Points scored 30.8 (492) 3
Pass yards against 269.4 (4311) 23
Rush yards against 80.6 (1289) 1
Points allowed 22.2 (355) 8

Key players for Tampa Bay

  • Tom Brady put up a passing stat line last year of 4,633 passing yards with a 65.7% completion rate (401-of-610), 40 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and an average of 289.6 yards per game.
  • Last year, Ronald Jones II picked up 978 rushing yards (69.9 yards per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Giovani Bernard ran for 416 yards on 124 carries (26.0 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns last year. Bernard also made his name known on the passing side of the game with 47 receptions for 355 yards (22.2 ypg) and three touchdowns.
  • In the previous season, Mike Evans hauled in 70 catches for 1,006 yards (62.9 ypg) while he was targeted 109 times. He also scored 13 touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin amassed 840 yards on 65 grabs with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 84 times and averaged 52.5 receiving yards per game last year.
  • Rob Gronkowski hauled in 45 passes on 77 targets for 623 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 38.9 yards per game last year.

Tampa Bay injuries

Buccaneers: Chris Godwin: Doubtful (Concussion), Antony Auclair: Out (Calf)

BestOdds rating 9.4
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Atlanta stats and betting info

Betting trends for Atlanta

  • Atlanta went 7-9-0 ATS last year.
  • In Atlanta’s games last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 288.8 (4620) 5
Rush yards 95.8 (1532) 27
Points scored 24.8 (396) 16
Pass yards against 307.4 (4918) 32
Rush yards against 104.8 (1677) 6
Points allowed 25.9 (414) 19

Key players for Atlanta

  • Matt Ryan completed 65% of his passes to throw for 4,581 yards and 26 touchdowns last season.
  • Wayne Gallman averaged 42.6 rushing yards per game and tallied six rushing touchdowns last year.
  • Mike Davis rushed for 642 yards and six touchdowns last season. He also averaged 23.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Calvin Ridley was targeted 8.9 times per game and piled up 1,374 receiving yards and nine touchdowns over the course of 2020.
  • Russell Gage averaged 49.1 receiving yards on 6.8 targets per game in 2020, scoring four touchdowns.
  • Hayden Hurst worked his way to six receiving touchdowns and 571 receiving yards (35.7 ypg) last season.

Atlanta injuries

Falcons: Marlon Davidson: Doubtful (Knee), Charles Harris: Out (Ankle), Kendall Sheffield: Out (Foot), Jake Matthews: Questionable (Knee)

Pick for Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Bet split data from regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth games analysis points to the Buccaneers being favored to cover the spread against the Falcons.

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