Spurs vs. Nuggets Player Props | Keldon Johnson | Saturday


By Lester Mackay | December 11, 2021 6:09 PM

Keldon Johnson and the San Antonio Spurs take the court against the Denver Nuggets on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET.

Let’s examine all of Johnson’s prop bets for this contest, looking at stats and trends to choose the top value picks.

Welcome to the BestOdds NBA player props betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze Keldon Johnson’s chances of cashing in on his player prop totals in this game.

Johnson Season Stats

  • Johnson posts 14.4 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.5% from the field and 40.6% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Saturday’s over/under for Johnson is 12.5 points. That’s 1.9 fewer than his season average of 14.4.
  • Johnson’s per-game rebound average of 6.4 is 0.9 more than his prop bet over/under in Saturday’s game (5.5).
  • Johnson’s combined points and rebounds average (20.8 per game) is 2.3 more than the 18.5 PR over/under set for Saturday’s matchup.
  • Johnson has recorded more than 12.5 points 14 times this season (through 23 games).
  • Johnson’s single-game rebound output has gone over 5.5 boards 12 times through 23 games played this season.

Johnson’s Notable Teammates

Name PTS PTS Share REB REB Share AST 3PM 3PM Share 3PT % FGM Share FG %
Keldon Johnson 14.4 12.7% 6.4 13.6% 1.9 1.1 10.5% 40.6% 12.4% 46.5%
Dejounte Murray 18.9 17.4% 8.4 18.6% 8.5 1.5 14.2% 34.7% 18.3% 44.7%
Derrick White 13.7 12.6% 3.7 8.2% 5.0 1.6 15.8% 30.0% 11.6% 41.5%
Jakob Poeltl 12.1 7.9% 9.3 14.6% 2.6 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 61.4%
Lonnie Walker IV 10.3 9.5% 2.9 6.5% 2.5 1.5 15.0% 29.8% 8.7% 38.0%
Devin Vassell 11.5 8.4% 3.7 6.6% 1.3 1.8 13.8% 37.8% 8.1% 46.9%

Player Performance vs. Denver

  • Johnson averages 14.8 points per game against the Nuggets, 2.3 more than his over/under for this matchup.
  • Johnson collects 4.5 rebounds per game in matchups with the Nuggets, 1.0 less than his prop total for this contest.
  • Johnson collects assists against the Nuggets at a higher rate — 0.3 more per game — than his prop bet total for this matchup.
  • In matchups with the Nuggets, Johnson has made 0.2 more three-pointers per game than this contest’s over/under (0.5).
  • Johnson has a combined points, rebounds and assists average against the Nuggets that is 1.6 higher than his prop bet over/under for this matchup.
  • Johnson racks up 19.3 combined points and rebounds per game in matchups with the Nuggets, which is 0.8 more than his PR prop total for this outing.
  • Johnson has collected 16.6 combined points and assists per game against the Nuggets, 3.1 less than his prop bet over/under in this matchup.

Denver Nuggets Stat Rankings

Average Per Game Rank
Points Scored 104.7 24
Points Allowed 105.2 8
Assists Allowed 24.2 18
Rebounds Allowed 44.6 12

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