South Florida vs. UCF Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 4:42 pm

The UCF Knights (7-4, 0-0 AAC) and South Florida Bulls (2-9, 0-0 AAC) will play each other in a battle of two conference rivals. The Knights are heavy favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -19). The over/under for this one is set at 62.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

UCF stats and betting info

Betting trends for UCF

  • So far this season, UCF has compiled a 4-7-0 record against the spread.
  • The Knights are a perfect 2-0 against the spread when favored by 19 points or more this season.
  • UCF games have hit the over in seven out of 11 opportunities (63.6%).
  • Seven UCF games this season have gone over Friday’s total of 62.5 points.
  • The Knights have seen a 60.8 average over/under in their games this season, 1.7 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Knights rack up 77.8 fewer yards per game (410.1) than the Bulls give up per outing (487.9).
  • In games that UCF amasses more than 487.9 yards, the team is 3-0 overall.
  • The Knights have turned the ball over 15 times this season, two fewer than the Bulls have forced (17).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 220.0 (2420) 76
Rush yards 190.1 (2091) 41
Points scored 33.5 (369) 26
Pass yards against 212.5 (2338) 45
Rush yards against 161.5 (1777) 81
Points allowed 26.3 (289) 68

Key players for UCF

  • Mikey Keene has 1,471 passing yards (133.7 ypg) to lead UCF, completing 64.7% of his passes and collecting 15 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season.
  • Johnny Richardson’s team-high 599 rushing yards (54.5 per game) have come on 93 carries, with three touchdowns this year. He’s also tacked on 18 catches for 170 yards (15.5 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Ryan O’Keefe’s 682 receiving yards (62.0 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 72 receptions and six touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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South Florida stats and betting info

Betting trends for South Florida

  • So far this season, South Florida has put together a 6-5-0 record against the spread.
  • The Bulls are 3-1 against the spread when an underdog by 19 points or more this season.
  • In South Florida’s 11 games with a set total, six have hit the over (54.5%).
  • In South Florida’s 11 games this season, three have finished with more combined scoring than Friday’s over/under of 62.5.
  • The over/under for this contest is 5.4 points more than the average over/under in Bulls’ games this season (57.1 points).
  • The Bulls collect 20.6 fewer yards per game (353.5) than the Knights give up (374.1).
  • South Florida is 2-2 overall when the team totals over 374.1 yards.
  • The Bulls have turned the ball over one more time (21 total) than the Knights have forced a turnover (20) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 189.7 (2087) 106
Rush yards 163.7 (1801) 65
Points scored 24.1 (265) 98
Pass yards against 278.0 (3058) 122
Rush yards against 209.9 (2309) 115
Points allowed 36.3 (399) 120

Key players for South Florida

  • Timmy McClain has thrown for 1,666 yards (151.5 ypg) to lead South Florida, completing 54.5% of his passes and recording five touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 255 rushing yards (23.2 ypg) on 105 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Jaren Mangham has carried the ball 139 times for a team-high 578 yards (52.5 per game), with 15 touchdowns this year.
  • Xavier Weaver’s 640 receiving yards (58.2 yards per game) lead the team. He has 37 receptions with two touchdowns.

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