SMU vs. UCF: Best Odds and College Football Preview for 11/13/2021


By Dan Watson | November 7, 2021, 8:38 pm

The SMU Mustangs (7-2, 0-0 AAC) are solid favorites — expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5) — against the UCF Knights (6-3, 0-0 AAC) in a battle of two conference rivals. The game has an over/under of 59.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

SMU stats and betting info

Betting trends for SMU

  • SMU’s ATS record is 4-4-0 this season.
  • The Mustangs are 3-2 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of SMU’s eight games with a set total .
  • SMU and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s total (59.5 points) four times this season.
  • On average, the Mustangs have seen a 66.6 over/under in their games this season, 7.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Mustangs average 484.0 yards per game, 131.4 more yards than the 352.6 the Knights allow per outing.
  • SMU is 7-1 overall when the team churns out more than 352.6 yards.
  • The Mustangs have 14 giveaways this season, while the Knights have 16 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 322.2 (2900) 10
Rush yards 161.8 (1456) 68
Points scored 40.1 (361) 8
Pass yards against 287.7 (2589) 123
Rush yards against 126.1 (1135) 32
Points allowed 25.7 (231) 66

Key players for SMU

  • Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 2,887 yards (320.8 ypg) to lead SMU, completing 70.1% of his passes and collecting 34 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 158 rushing yards (17.6 ypg) on 54 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Tre Siggers’ team-high 570 rushing yards (63.3 per game) have come on 126 carries, with five touchdowns this year.
  • Danny Gray’s 780 receiving yards (86.7 yards per game) lead the team. He has 47 receptions with nine touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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UCF stats and betting info

Betting trends for UCF

  • UCF is 3-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Knights have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 7.5 points or more this season (0-1).
  • UCF games have gone over the point total in five out of nine opportunities (55.6%).
  • In UCF’s nine games this season, five have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s point total of 59.5.
  • Knights’ games have a total points bet of 61.3 points this season, 1.8 points more than the over/under for this game.
  • The Knights rack up just 9.2 fewer yards per game (404.6) than the Mustangs give up per outing (413.8).
  • UCF is 3-1 overall when the team totals over 413.8 yards.
  • This season the Knights have turned the ball over 13 times, one more than the Mustangs’ takeaways (12).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 217.1 (1954) 82
Rush yards 187.4 (1687) 44
Points scored 32.4 (292) 36
Pass yards against 197.1 (1774) 29
Rush yards against 155.4 (1399) 73
Points allowed 24.1 (217) 58

Key players for UCF

  • Mikey Keene leads UCF with 1,089 passing yards (121.0 ypg) on 104-of-160 passing with 12 touchdowns compared to six interceptions this season.
  • Isaiah Bowser has carried the ball 123 times for a team-high 549 yards (61.0 per game), with seven touchdowns this year.
  • Ryan O’Keefe’s team-leading 582 receiving yards (64.7 yards per game) have come on 58 receptions with five touchdowns.

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