San Diego State vs. UNLV Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 14, 2021, 4:40 pm

The No. 23 San Diego State Aztecs (9-1, 0-0 MWC) and UNLV Rebels (2-8, 0-0 MWC) will play each other in a matchup of two conference rivals. The Aztecs are heavy favorites (-12). The game has an over/under of 40.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

San Diego State stats and betting info

Betting trends for San Diego State

  • San Diego State is 5-4-1 against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 12-point favorites this season, the Aztecs are 2-1 against the spread.
  • Four of San Diego State’s 10 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
  • This season, five of San Diego State’s 10 games have gone over Friday’s over/under of 40.5 points.
  • On average, the Aztecs have seen a 43.9 over/under in their games this season, 3.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • The Aztecs rack up 332.1 yards per game, 79.1 fewer yards than the 411.2 the Rebels allow per matchup.
  • When San Diego State churns out over 411.2 yards, the team is 2-1.
  • The Aztecs have turned the ball over 11 times this season, four fewer than the Rebels have forced (15).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 140.8 (1408) 124
Rush yards 191.3 (1913) 39
Points scored 27.7 (277) 69
Pass yards against 222.8 (2228) 51
Rush yards against 82.9 (829) 4
Points allowed 17.1 (171) 9

Key players for San Diego State

  • Lucas Johnson has thrown for 801 yards (80.1 ypg) to lead San Diego State, completing 60.8% of his passes and tossing six touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 192 rushing yards (19.2 ypg) on 41 carries.
  • Greg Bell has carried the ball 178 times for a team-high 847 yards (84.7 per game), with seven touchdowns this year.
  • Daniel Bellinger’s 283 receiving yards (28.3 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s collected 26 receptions and two touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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UNLV stats and betting info

Betting trends for UNLV

  • UNLV has a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Rebels have a 3-2 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 12 points or more.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of UNLV’s nine games with a set total .
  • This season, eight of UNLV’s games have ended with a score higher than 40.5 points.
  • Rebels’ games have a total points bet of 54.4 points this season, 13.9 points more than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Rebels collect only 7.8 more yards per game (313.5) than the Aztecs give up (305.7).
  • In games that UNLV churns out more than 305.7 yards, the team is 1-5.
  • The Rebels have turned the ball over 18 times this season, three more turnovers than the Aztecs have forced (15).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 193.1 (1931) 104
Rush yards 120.4 (1204) 105
Points scored 21.5 (215) 114
Pass yards against 266.1 (2661) 112
Rush yards against 145.1 (1451) 61
Points allowed 31.8 (318) 105

Key players for UNLV

  • Cameron Friel has thrown for 1,541 yards (154.1 ypg) to lead UNLV, completing 63.4% of his passes and tossing six touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Charles Williams, has carried the ball 222 times for 1,089 yards (108.9 per game), with 13 touchdowns this year. He’s proven to be a dual threat, racking up 133 receiving yards (13.3 per game) on nine catches.
  • Kyle Willams’ 594 receiving yards (59.4 yards per game) lead the team. He has 40 receptions with two touchdowns.

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