Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for September 10, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 9, 2021, 11:45 pm

The Pittsburgh Pirates (50-90) host the Washington Nationals (58-82) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 6:35 PM ET from PNC Park. The favored Pirates (-130) enter the matchup after a series win over the Tigers, and the underdog Nationals (+110) are coming off of a series loss to the Braves.

Pittsburgh has Steven Brault starting things off, and Washington counters Josiah Gray.

Best Odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals.

Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have been favorites in 10 games this season and have come away with the win six times (60%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 67 of their 140 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 509 total runs (3.6 per game) this season.
  • Over their last 10 games, Pittsburgh has been favored twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to clear the total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Brault makes the start for the Pirates, his seventh of the season. He is 0-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 18 strikeouts through 25 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Friday against the Cubs, the lefty went four innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • All six of Brault’s starts this season have ended in defeat for his team.
  • Brault has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in two of those games.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 21 .286 .349 .768 7 15 16
Bryan Reynolds 137 .298 .374 .511 22 81 147
Colin Moran 79 .277 .342 .419 8 39 70
Ben Gamel 92 .259 .348 .404 6 21 70
Wilmer Difo 96 .272 .340 .377 3 20 52
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won 30.7% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (27-61).
  • Washington has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times this season for a 64-71-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Nationals are the 17th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.5 runs per game (623 total).
  • Washington played as the moneyline underdog in nine of its last 10 games, and went 3-6 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups — all of which had a set run total — the Nationals and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Gray makes the start for the Nationals, his ninth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 43 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Mets, the righty went three innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Gray’s team is 2-5 over his seven starts.
  • Gray has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those matchups hit the over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 129 .305 .434 .521 25 82 131
Lane Thomas 22 .313 .402 .530 3 12 26
Josh Bell 123 .251 .320 .479 25 80 107
Yadiel Hernandez 94 .275 .333 .436 8 25 56
Riley Adams 33 .250 .351 .417 2 8 21

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