Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: Best Odds and Preview for September 29, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 28, 2021, 10:45 pm

Nick Martini leads the Chicago Cubs (67-90) into a contest with the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-98) after his four-hit performance in an 8-6 loss to the Pirates. The Pirates are favored on the moneyline (-120) for this tilt against the underdog Cubs (+100), which begins at 6:35 PM ET on Wednesday.

Chicago is expected to start Kyle Hendricks, while Pittsburgh has yet to name a starter.

Best Odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs.

Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have come away with eight wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 76 of their 157 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 587 total runs (3.7 per game) this season.
  • Over the past 10 games, Pittsburgh has been favored just one time and came away with a win in that contest.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Pirates and their foes are 7-3 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Michael Chavis 7 .391 .391 .609 1 3 9
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 37 .287 .361 .593 8 24 31
Bryan Reynolds 154 .296 .376 .508 24 88 162
Colin Moran 94 .267 .340 .407 10 50 80
Ben Gamel 107 .252 .343 .401 8 26 79
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Cubs Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have won 30.9% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (29-65).
  • Chicago has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 157 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 75 of those games (75-74-8).
  • The Cubs have the No. 21 offense in baseball scoring 4.3 runs per game (681 total runs).
  • Chicago went 1-8 across the nine games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Cubs combined with their opponents to go over the total nine times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Hendricks (14-7 with a 4.81 ERA and 126 strikeouts in 176 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his 32nd of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Twins, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Hendricks’ team has a 17-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Hendricks has had 31 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 19 of those matchups finished over the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Frank Schwindel 51 .355 .397 .640 13 38 71
Patrick Wisdom 106 .231 .303 .518 28 61 78
Trayce Thompson 8 .118 .348 .471 2 2 2
Rafael Ortega 95 .283 .349 .455 10 32 79
Willson Contreras 123 .231 .334 .429 21 53 93

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