Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: Best Odds and Preview for September 5, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 4, 2021, 9:46 pm

The Miami Marlins (57-79) have a 2-0 series lead and will attempt for a sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies (69-66) on Sunday at LoanDepot Park. The Phillies are favored (-170) against the underdog Marlins (+150) in the matchup, which starts at 1:10 PM ET.

Miami has Elieser Hernandez projected to start, while Philadelphia has not named a starter.

Best Odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins.

Phillies Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have won in 37, or 50.7%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 68 of their 135 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies rank 14th in the league with 615 total runs scored this season.
  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Philadelphia has a record of 5-4.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Phillies and their foes are 8-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Vierling 9 .474 .500 .684 0 2 9
Bryce Harper 114 .299 .400 .577 26 63 120
J.T. Realmuto 107 .264 .346 .444 14 58 101
Andrew McCutchen 119 .226 .341 .445 23 69 90
Jean Segura 107 .292 .351 .433 10 45 122
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins are 32-60 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games).
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 60 times this season for a 60-67-9 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have the No. 27 offense in baseball scoring four runs per game (538 total runs).
  • Miami was the underdog on the moneyline in seven of its last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Marlins will send Hernandez (1-1) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 27 strikeouts through 27 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the righty tossed five innings against the Mets, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • Hernandez’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Hernandez has had six starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and four of those games hit the over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Deven Marrero 6 .333 .455 .667 1 1 3
Bryan De La Cruz 30 .337 .381 .452 2 10 35
Jesús Aguilar 130 .261 .324 .460 22 93 117
Jazz Chisholm 98 .257 .317 .439 14 44 93
Miguel Rojas 112 .279 .338 .417 8 40 117

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