Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: Best Odds and Preview for October 3, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 2, 2021, 9:45 pm

The Philadelphia Phillies (82-79) visit the Miami Marlins (66-95) at 3:10 PM ET on Sunday at LoanDepot Park. The Phillies are favored (-140) to break the 1-1 tie and take the series over the Marlins (+120).

Zack Wheeler gets the starting nod for Philadelphia, and Pablo Lopez is Miami’s choice to start.

Best Odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins.

Phillies Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have won in 49, or 53.3%, of the 92 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 77 of their 161 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have scored 730 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 13th in MLB.
  • Philadelphia has played as the favorite in seven of its past 10 games and has gone 5-2 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the total, the Phillies and their opponents are 3-7 in their previous 10 games.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his 33rd of the season. He is 14-10 with a 2.78 ERA and 247 strikeouts in 213 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Braves, when he went seven innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Wheeler’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts.
  • Wheeler’s starts went over the run total 12 times in 32 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryce Harper 140 .306 .425 .610 35 84 149
Matt Vierling 32 .338 .378 .500 2 6 23
Jean Segura 131 .290 .348 .436 14 58 149
J.T. Realmuto 131 .263 .343 .440 17 73 125
Brad Miller 139 .226 .319 .454 20 48 74
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
Promo Code BESTODDS
Promo
Code
BESTODDS

Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won 34.5% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (38-72).
  • Miami has played in 161 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-79-11).
  • The Marlins have the No. 28 offense in MLB play scoring 3.8 runs per game (618 total runs).
  • Miami was the moneyline underdog for nine of its last 10 games, and finished 2-7 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Lopez makes the start for the Marlins, his 20th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 101 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Sunday, July 11 against the Braves, when the righty went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Lopez’s team is 10-9 over his 19 starts.
  • Lopez has had 19 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those matchups.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nick Fortes 13 .276 .344 .586 3 5 8
Bryan De La Cruz 55 .297 .358 .431 5 19 58
Deven Marrero 8 .214 .313 .429 1 1 3
Jazz Chisholm 123 .248 .303 .426 18 52 114
Lewin Diaz 39 .212 .250 .466 8 13 25

BestOdds is the ultimate website for bettors new and old alike. We offer not just educational content but the latest news and best sports betting odds across regulated sportsbooks.

Bettors of all kinds will find our comparative tools, odds calculators, and insightful articles complete game-changers in their wagering strategies.